Viejas Arena · at San Diego St
Closing line
SDSU -17.5✓ SDSU covered by 0.5
Closing total135.5Over by 24.5
| This season | SDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | Record | 4-3 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 3-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LAM 60–77 SDSU · ✓ SDSU (93%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAM | 41 | 30 | 71 |
| SDSU | 51 | 38 | 89 |
1st half: LAM 41, SDSU 51 (SDSU by 10). The model had SDSU by 9.9 and a total of 64.4 (actual 92).
Team stats
| LAM | SDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-58 36% | Field goals | 29-60 48% |
| 14-35 40% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 15-20 75% | Free throws | 23-31 74% |
| 30 9 off | Rebounds | 40 12 off |
| 13 | Assists | 13 |
| 9 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 6 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 20 | Fouls | 19 |
| 10 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| LAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Lee Jr. G | 36 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 5-13 | 5-10 |
| Andrew Holifield F | 33 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3-12 | 2-9 |
| Cody Pennebaker G | 21 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Errol White F | 20 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Braden East F | 20 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| King-Njhsanni Wilhite G | 21 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3-8 | 3-5 |
| Janko Bulajic C | 18 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| B.B. Knight G | 15 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4-10 | 3-7 |
| Eian Lowe G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Gambrell G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Spencer Ezewiro F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Quinton Sanders, Christian Thomas, Jayden Barrs, Izuchukwu Emelife
| SDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Byrd G | 30 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 6-10 | 3-5 |
| Reese Dixon-Waters G | 22 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4-11 | 1-3 |
| Magoon Gwath F | 20 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 5-12 | 0-2 |
| Miles Heide F | 17 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Elzie Harrington G | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sean Newman Jr. G | 23 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| BJ Davis G | 22 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 5-8 | 1-1 |
| Pharaoh Compton F | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jeremiah Oden F | 15 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Taj DeGourville G | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tae Simmons F | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Thokbor Majak, Latrell Davis, Raymar Gonzales, Cam Lawin
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSDSU -17.5
ModelSDSU -16.6
Model edgeLAM +0.9
L SDSU covered
Total
Market135.5
Model137.5
Model edgeOver 2.0
W Over
Projected score
LAM 60.4 · SDSU 77
LAM 71 · SDSU 89
Win probability
SDSU 93%
1st half
Spread
SDSU -9.9
SDSU -10.0
Total
64.4
92 points
Projected score
LAM 27.3 · SDSU 37.2
LAM 41 · SDSU 51
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSDSU -19.5
2 → LAM
CloseSDSU -17.5
2 pts toward LAM
Total
Open137.5
▼ 2
Close135.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
LAM +1200 · SDSU -2400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SDSU -19.5 · closed SDSU -17.5 · moved 2 toward LAMmodel SDSU -16.5
model SDSU -16.5
Opened 137.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 2 downmodel 137.5
model 137.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% | |
| 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% | 3-4 43% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lamar
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −9.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@
TCU
L 65-78
+5.5
17
@
ULM
W 79-66
+1.5
23
@
MONT
W 68-63
+9.5
24
vs
OAK
L 68-83
−11.5
3
vs
UL
W 65-55
−0.5
6
vs
AMCC
L 49-57
−11.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@
TCU
L 65-78
−4.5
17
@
ULM
W 79-66
+4.5
23
@
MONT
W 68-63
−17.5
24
vs
OAK
L 68-83
+2.5
3
vs
UL
W 65-55
−9.5
6
vs
AMCC
L 49-57
−30.5
over 2under 4avg −9.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Diego St
7 games played
Straight up
4-3
57% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg −4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg +16.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 77-45 | -25.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 9 | vs | W 73-57 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs | L 107-108 | -14.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 54-94 | +6.5 | L −33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 97-80 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 81-91 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 77-66 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
LBSU
W 77-45
+6.5
9
vs
IDST
W 73-57
−5.5
18
vs
TROY
L 107-108
−15.5
24
vs
MICH
L 54-94
−33.5
25
vs
ORE
W 97-80
+19.5
26
vs
BAY
L 81-91
−7.5
3
vs
UVU
W 77-66
+2.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
LBSU
W 77-45
−13.5
9
vs
IDST
W 73-57
−5.5
18
vs
TROY
L 107-108
+77.5
24
vs
MICH
L 54-94
−0.5
25
vs
ORE
W 97-80
+35.5
26
vs
BAY
L 81-91
+23.5
3
vs
UVU
W 77-66
−1.5
over 3under 4avg +16.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Lamar
3-3 overall · 0-1 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Texas A&M-CC49–57
- Wvs Louisiana65–55
- Lvs Oakland68–83
- W@ Montana68–63
- W@ UL Monroe79–66
4 days since their last game.
San Diego St
4-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Utah Valley77–66
- Lvs Baylor81–91
- Wvs Oregon97–80
- Lvs Michigan54–94
- Lvs Troy107–108
A week or more of rest.