Michelob ULTRA Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
MICH -6.5✓ MICH covered by 33.5
MICH -6.5✓ MICH covered by 33.5Closing total148.5Under by 0.5
 SDSU | This season | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 4-0 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 1-3 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SDSU 71–85 MICH · ✓ MICH (89%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU | 33 | 21 | 54 |
| MICH | 45 | 49 | 94 |
1st half: SDSU 33, MICH 45 (MICH by 12). The model had MICH by 8.2 and a total of 72.8 (actual 78).
Team stats
| SDSU | MICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-62 27% | Field goals | 34-68 50% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 11-33 33% |
| 13-16 81% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 34 12 off | Rebounds | 49 15 off |
| 8 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 11 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 12 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| SDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Dixon-Waters G | 26 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1-7 | 1-6 |
| Miles Byrd G | 26 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Taj DeGourville G | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Magoon Gwath F | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Miles Heide F | 20 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elzie Harrington G | 22 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 6-9 | 1-1 |
| BJ Davis G | 17 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Jeremiah Oden F | 14 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Pharaoh Compton F | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tae Simmons F | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Sean Newman Jr. G | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-2 |
| Thokbor Majak F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Raymar Gonzales, Latrell Davis, Cam Lawin
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 26 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5-7 | 2-4 |
| Aday Mara C | 24 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 23 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 21 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Elliot Cadeau G | 18 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| L.J. Cason G | 22 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-5 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 22 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Will Tschetter F | 16 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-6 |
| Trey McKenney G | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Oscar Goodman F | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Winters Grady G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Malick Kordel C | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ricky Liburd, Howard Eisley Jr., Charlie May, Harrison Hochberg
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -5.5
1 → MICH
CloseMICH -6.5
1 pt toward MICH
Total
Open149.5
▼ 1
Close148.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -5.5 · closed MICH -6.5 · moved 1 toward MICHmodel MICH -14
model MICH -14
Opened 149.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 1 downmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MICH -6.5 | MICH -13.8 | MICH +7.3 | W MICH covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 155.5 | Over 7.0 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | SDSU 70.9 · MICH 84.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MICH -8.2 | MICH -12.0 |
| 1H total | 72.8 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | SDSU 32.3 · MICH 40.5 | SDSU 33 · MICH 45 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDSUlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% |
| MICHlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 1-3 25% | 2-2 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SDSU 0–1 MICHMICH leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SDSU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021-22 | SDSU 58 @ MICH 72 | MICH -9 | MICH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San Diego St
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg +19.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
LBSU
LBSUW 77-45
+6.5
9
vs
IDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vs
TROY
TROYL 107-108
−15.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
−13.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
+77.5
over 1under 2avg +19.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
OAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vs
WAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
14
@
TCU
TCUW 67-63
−3.5
19
vs
MTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−2.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−34.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−12.5
over 2under 2avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San Diego St
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Troy107–108
- Wvs Idaho St73–57
- Wvs Long Beach St77–45
6 days since their last game.
Michigan
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs MTSU86–61
- W@ TCU67–63
- Wvs Wake Forest85–84
- Wvs Oakland121–78
5 days since their last game.