Trask Coliseum · at UNC Wilmington
Closing line
UNCW -14.5✓ UPST covered by 1.5
UNCW -14.5✓ UPST covered by 1.5Closing total155.5Under by 22.5
 UPST | This season | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 0-1 |
| 2-0 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UPST 70–84 UNCW · ✓ UNCW (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPST | 26 | 34 | 60 |
| UNCW | 39 | 34 | 73 |
1st half: UPST 26, UNCW 39 (UNCW by 13). The model had UNCW by 8.0 and a total of 72.2 (actual 65).
Team stats
| UPST | UNCW | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-55 38% | Field goals | 24-56 43% |
| 5-19 26% | 3-pointers | 4-14 29% |
| 13-18 72% | Free throws | 21-28 75% |
| 31 13 off | Rebounds | 42 18 off |
| 7 | Assists | 8 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 7 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 21 | Fouls | 17 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| UPST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Learic Davis F | 34 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Karmani Gregory G | 29 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 4-12 | 1-6 |
| Tyler Smith G | 25 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Jafeth Martinez F | 19 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Mason Bendinger G | 19 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carmelo Adkins G | 31 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 5-16 | 3-7 |
| Isaiah Skinner G | 16 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Coen Collier C | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nic Book F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kanye Jones G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chico Johnson, TJ Lewis, Breylin Garcia, CJ Rich
| UNCW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Hodge G | 37 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-6 |
| Noah Ross G | 35 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3-11 | 0-0 |
| Greedy Williams G | 31 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Christian May G | 30 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Patrick Wessler C | 23 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madison Durr G | 21 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Gavin Walsh F | 19 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Makoi Mabor Makoi F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Makel Smith, Jahnathan Lamothe, Adam Tokpah, Matija Prodanovic, JoJo Fullwood, CJ Luster II, Grady Whitt
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNCW -14.5
ModelUNCW -13.5
Model edgeUPST +1.0
W UPST covered
Total
Market155.5
Model154.1
Model edgeUnder 1.4
W Under
Projected score
UPST 70.3 · UNCW 83.8
UPST 60 · UNCW 73
Win probability
UNCW 88%
1st half
Spread
UNCW -8.0
UNCW -13.0
Total
72.2
65 points
Projected score
UPST 32.1 · UNCW 40.1
UPST 26 · UNCW 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCW -13.5
1 → UNCW
CloseUNCW -14.5
1 pt toward UNCW
Total
Open160.5
▼ 5
Close155.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
UPST +900 · UNCW -1800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCW -13.5 · closed UNCW -14.5 · moved 1 toward UNCWmodel UNCW -13.5
model UNCW -13.5
Opened 160.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 5 downmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPSTlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% |
| UNCWlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UPST 0–1 UNCWUNCW leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UPST 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024-25 | UNCW 89 @ UPST 85 | UPST +9.5 | UPST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SC Upstate
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −11 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CBU
CBUL 75-87
+2.5
5
@
FRES
FRESW 67-66
+10.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CBU
CBUL 75-87
+9.5
5
@FRES
FRESW 67-66
−31.5
over 1under 1avg −11 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNC Wilmington
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +6.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ KENT | L 77-86 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@KENT
KENTL 77-86
−5.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@KENT
KENTL 77-86
+6.5
over 1under 0avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SC Upstate
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Fresno St67–66
- L@ CA Baptist75–87
A week or more of rest.
UNC Wilmington
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kent State77–86
5 days since their last game.