Kansas City Roos at Eastern Washington Eagles: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Dec 6, 5:00 PM ETReese Court · at E Washington

Final

#254EWUE Washington90▲ winner

Closing lineEWU -9.5✓ EWU covered by 14.5

Closing total151.5Over by 4.5

Season records: Kansas City and E Washington
KC	This season	EWU
0-7	Record	0-7
1-6	ATS	4-3
2-5	O/U	6-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: KC 74–80 EWU · ✓ EWU (72%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
KC	28	38	66
EWU	47	43	90

1st half: KC 28, EWU 47 (EWU by 19). The model had EWU by 3.9 and a total of 72.1 (actual 75).

Team stats

KC		EWU
25-54 46%	Field goals	31-66 47%
3-12 25%	3-pointers	9-29 31%
13-21 62%	Free throws	19-26 73%
31 9 off	Rebounds	38 16 off
7	Assists	16
7	Steals	11
2	Blocks	3
21	Turnovers	14
18	Fouls	19
38	Points in paint	40
17	Fast-break points	13

Players

KC	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
CJ Evans G	31	14	3	2	6-13	0-0
Jayson Petty G	31	12	7	0	4-9	2-5
Jerome Palm F	30	10	7	1	4-7	0-0
Karmello Branch G	26	3	2	0	1-6	1-4
Kasheem Grady II G	17	6	0	2	3-5	0-1
Bench
Jamaria Clark G	17	5	0	2	1-3	0-1
Chris Dockery F	15	8	5	0	3-4	0-0
D'Andre Harrison F	12	3	2	0	1-1	0-0
Trey Booker-Lowery G	8	2	1	0	1-3	0-1
Addarin Scott F	8	2	1	0	1-3	0-0
Baba Mbengue C	5	1	1	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Jason Hilliard, Cory Curtis Jr., Kernan Bundy, Max Sims

EWU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Isaiah Moses G	29	14	2	3	6-10	1-4
Jojo Anderson G	25	17	6	2	5-8	4-6
Straton Rogers G	24	6	5	1	2-2	0-0
Kiree Huie F	24	19	4	2	7-12	0-0
Emmett Marquardt F	20	13	5	1	4-7	3-6
Bench
Alton Hamilton IV F	21	12	7	4	4-9	0-1
Johnny Radford G	14	3	0	0	1-6	1-5
Tyler Powell G	13	2	3	2	0-3	0-3
Cole Scherer G	10	2	0	1	1-4	0-2
Shaumba Ngoyi F	8	2	0	0	1-2	0-0
Elijah Thomas G	7	0	1	0	0-2	0-2
Maddox Monson G	5	0	0	0	0-1	0-0

Did not play: Alan Gballou, Angelo Winkel, Andrew Cook

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	EWU -9.5	EWU -6.7	KC +2.8	L EWU covered
Total	151.5	154.0	Over 2.5	W Over
Projected score	—	KC 73.7 · EWU 80.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	EWU -3.9	EWU -19.0
1H total	72.1	75
1H projected score	KC 34.1 · EWU 38	KC 28 · EWU 47

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KC WLLLL	1-6	14%	1-4	1-6
EWU WLLWL	4-3	57%	—	0-1

Venue/role: KC away, as underdog; EWU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
KC UUUUU	2-5	29%	0-7
EWU OOOOO	6-1	86%	0-7

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KClast 7	0-7 0%	1-6 14%	2-5 29%
EWUlast 7	0-7 0%	4-3 57%	6-1 86%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Kansas City

7 games played

Straight up

0-7

0% wins

Against the spread

1-6

14% covers · avg −5.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-5

29% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-70%

L L L L L L L

7 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

1-614%

L L W L L L L

4 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

2-529%

O O U U U U U

5 straight unders0 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@SIU	L 78-101	+12.5	L −10.5	141.5	O 179
Nov 11	vsIONA	L 91-105	+4.5	L −9.5	156.5	O 196
Nov 15	@TEX	L 55-71	+31.5	W +15.5	159.5	U 126
Nov 19	@TCU	L 45-81	+23.5	L −12.5	150.5	U 126
Nov 24	@LIN	L 67-80	+4.5	L −8.5	152.5	U 147
Nov 29	@WEB	L 61-82	+10.5	L −10.5	155.5	U 143
Dec 3	vsIDST	L 59-68	+5.5	L −3.5	137.5	U 127

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SIU

L 78-101

−10.5

IONA

L 91-105

−9.5

TEX

L 55-71

+15.5

TCU

L 45-81

−12.5

LIN

L 67-80

−8.5

WEB

L 61-82

−10.5

IDST

L 59-68

−3.5

covered 1didn’t cover 6avg −5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SIU

L 78-101

+37.5

IONA

L 91-105

+39.5

TEX

L 55-71

−33.5

TCU

L 45-81

−24.5

LIN

L 67-80

−5.5

WEB

L 61-82

−12.5

IDST

L 59-68

−10.5

over 2under 5avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

E Washington

7 games played

Straight up

0-7

0% wins

Against the spread

4-3

57% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

6-1

86% overs · avg +11.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-70%

L L L L L L L

7 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

4-357%

W W W L L W L

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

6-186%

O U O O O O O

5 straight overs4 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@UCLA	L 74-80	+29.5	W +23.5	149.5	O 154
Nov 5	@LMU	L 62-70	+9.5	W +1.5	153.5	U 132
Nov 8	@COLO	L 97-102	+16.5	W +11.5	152.5	O 199
Nov 12	@SEA	L 67-94	+8.5	L −18.5	148.5	O 161
Nov 23	@CARK	L 65-92	-4.5	L −31.5	154.5	O 157
Nov 25	@UNT	L 71-79	+12.5	W +4.5	141.5	O 150
Dec 3	@DEN	L 89-93	+1.5	L −2.5	155.5	O 182

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UCLA

L 74-80

+23.5

LMU

L 62-70

+1.5

COLO

L 97-102

+11.5

SEA

L 67-94

−18.5

CARK

L 65-92

−31.5

UNT

L 71-79

+4.5

DEN

L 89-93

−2.5

covered 4didn’t cover 3avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UCLA

L 74-80

+4.5

LMU

L 62-70

−21.5

COLO

L 97-102

+46.5

SEA

L 67-94

+12.5

CARK

L 65-92

+2.5

UNT

L 71-79

+8.5

DEN

L 89-93

+26.5

over 6under 1avg +11.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Kansas City @ E Washington

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Kansas City

E Washington

Kansas City

E Washington