E.A. Diddle Arena · at Western KY
Closing line
WKU -12.5✓ WKU covered by 0.5
WKU -12.5✓ WKU covered by 0.5Closing total167.5Over by 9.5
 TNST | This season | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TNST 75–84 WKU · ✓ WKU (80%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNST | 43 | 39 | 82 |
| WKU | 51 | 44 | 95 |
1st half: TNST 43, WKU 51 (WKU by 8). The model had WKU by 5.7 and a total of 74.4 (actual 94).
Team stats
| TNST | WKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-58 41% | Field goals | 35-64 55% |
| 9-24 38% | 3-pointers | 2-15 13% |
| 25-34 74% | Free throws | 23-32 72% |
| 35 11 off | Rebounds | 39 12 off |
| 13 | Assists | 16 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 21 | Fouls | 24 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 62 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 26 |
Players
| TNST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nkrumah G | 35 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 6-12 | 1-5 |
| Dante Harris G | 34 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 3-8 | 2-3 |
| Travis Harper II G | 33 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 6-11 | 3-6 |
| Jalen Pitre F | 20 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Carlous Williams F | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Khalil London G | 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Antoine Lorick III F | 17 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Kavien Jones F | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| JC Brooks F | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jabrion Spikes G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jayden Jones, Damon Howard Jr., Jean Lafleur, Ogien Ayo, Maddux Bodenhamer, Alex Garcia
| WKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Newell F | 27 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-3 |
| Teagan Moore G | 27 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| LJ Hackman G | 21 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Terrion Murdix G | 21 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Blaise Keita F | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Armelo Boone G | 19 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5-8 | 0-2 |
| Leeroy Odiahi F | 15 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Cam Haffner G | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Bryant Selebangue F | 14 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Myers G | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Kade Unseld G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jack Edelen G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Louie Semona III F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Lawson Rice, Cade Stinnett, Noah Boyde
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWKU -12.5
ModelWKU -9.7
Model edgeTNST +2.8
L WKU covered
Total
Market167.5
Model158.9
Model edgeUnder 8.6
L Over
Projected score
TNST 74.6 · WKU 84.3
TNST 82 · WKU 95
Win probability
WKU 80%
1st half
Spread
WKU -5.7
WKU -8.0
Total
74.4
94 points
Projected score
TNST 34.4 · WKU 40.1
TNST 43 · WKU 51
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWKU -11.5
1 → WKU
CloseWKU -12.5
1 pt toward WKU
Total
Open167.5
no move
Close167.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
TNST +600 · WKU -1000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WKU -11.5 · closed WKU -12.5 · moved 1 toward WKUmodel WKU -9.5
model WKU -9.5
Opened 167.5 · unchangedmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNSTlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
| WKUlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TNST 0–1 WKUWKU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · TNST 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024-25 | TNST 60 @ WKU 84 | WKU -14.5 | WKU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tennessee St
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ BEL | L 79-87 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+7.5
over 1under 0avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Western KY
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
TNTC
TNTCW 82-70
−2.5
10
@
EKU
EKUW 87-79
+6.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 82-70
−1.5
10
@EKU
EKUW 87-79
+3.5
over 1under 1avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tennessee St
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Belmont79–87
A week or more of rest.
Western KY
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ E Kentucky87–79
- Wvs Tennessee Tech82–70
6 days since their last game.