Ted Grant Court · at Le Moyne
Closing line
FAIR -1.5✓ FAIR covered by 12.5
FAIR -1.5✓ FAIR covered by 12.5Closing total145.5Over by 34.5
| FAIR | This season | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 1-3 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 3-1 |
| 3-2 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FAIR 76–75 LEM · ✓ FAIR (53%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR | 56 | 41 | 97 |
| LEM | 38 | 45 | 83 |
1st half: FAIR 56, LEM 38 (FAIR by 18). The model had FAIR by 0.7 and a total of 70.6 (actual 94).
Team stats
| FAIR | LEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-67 52% | Field goals | 26-55 47% |
| 7-18 39% | 3-pointers | 11-23 48% |
| 20-23 87% | Free throws | 20-30 67% |
| 35 14 off | Rebounds | 34 14 off |
| 14 | Assists | 18 |
| 8 | Steals | 2 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
| 54 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| FAIR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Sparks G | 30 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-3 |
| Brandon Benjamin F | 29 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Deuce Turner G | 28 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 4-8 | 3-4 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig G | 25 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 7-10 | 1-2 |
| Eric Mejia G | 21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Michael Rogan G | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Nasir Rodriguez G | 12 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Isaac Munkadi F | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Halon Rawlins G | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Tony Williams G | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Cam Estevez G | 9 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Davidson, Tanner Ostop, Aidan May, Peyton Smith, Joe Ganton, Matt Curtis, Ryan Zan, Noah Best
| LEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakai Sanders G | 32 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1-9 | 0-2 |
| Deng Garang G | 32 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Trent Mosquera G | 31 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 5-10 | 5-6 |
| Shilo Jackson F | 22 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Jakob Blakley G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tennessee Rainwater F | 18 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Samuel Hincapie G | 16 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Eli Greenberg G | 14 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Trevor Roe F | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Josiah Lee G | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Isaac Nyakundi F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nate Fouts, Sam Donnelly, Kaelin Thomas, Ametri Moss
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFAIR -1.5
ModelFAIR -0.9
Model edgeLEM +0.6
L FAIR covered
Total
Market145.5
Model150.7
Model edgeOver 5.2
W Over
Projected score
FAIR 75.8 · LEM 74.9
FAIR 97 · LEM 83
Win probability
FAIR 53%
1st half
Spread
FAIR -0.7
FAIR -18.0
Total
70.6
94 points
Projected score
FAIR 35.7 · LEM 34.9
FAIR 56 · LEM 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFAIR -1.5
no move
CloseFAIR -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open151.5
▼ 6
Close145.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
FAIR -125 · LEM +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FAIR -1.5 · unchangedmodel FAIR -1
model FAIR -1
Opened 151.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 6 downmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAIRlast 5 | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% | 3-2 60% |
| LEMlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 3-1 75% | 2-2 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
FAIR 1–0 LEMFAIR leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · FAIR 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023-24 | LEM 72 @ FAIR 78 | FAIR -9.5 | LEM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fairfield
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
PSU
PSUL 68-76
+7.5
8
@
NJIT
NJITW 74-53
+14.5
10
@
HALL
HALLL 59-82
−8.5
14
vs
STO
STOW 73-71
−4.5
16
vs
L-MD
L-MDW 85-82
−2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
−7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
−18.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
+3.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
+0.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
+31.5
over 3under 2avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Le Moyne
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
XAV
XAVL 69-74
+19.5
9
@
BGSU
BGSUL 60-83
−11.5
13
@
MASS
MASSL 80-94
+2.5
17
vs
NIA
NIAW 74-68
+3.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@XAV
XAVL 69-74
−13.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUL 60-83
−11.5
13
@MASS
MASSL 80-94
+20.5
17
vsNIA
NIAW 74-68
+3.5
over 2under 2avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fairfield
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Loyola MD85–82
- Wvs Stonehill73–71
- L@ Seton Hall59–82
- W@ NJIT74–53
- L@ Penn State68–76
6 days since their last game.
Le Moyne
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Niagara74–68
- L@ UMass80–94
- L@ Bowling Green60–83
- L@ Xavier69–74
5 days since their last game.