Thomas & Mack Center · at UNLV
Closing line
UNLV -10.5✓ UNLV covered by 3.5
UNLV -10.5✓ UNLV covered by 3.5Closing total161.5Over by 22.5
 JOES | This season | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | Record | 2-2 |
| 1-3 | ATS | 2-2 |
| 2-2 | O/U | 4-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JOES 76–84 UNLV · ✓ UNLV (76%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOES | 40 | 45 | 85 |
| UNLV | 45 | 54 | 99 |
1st half: JOES 40, UNLV 45 (UNLV by 5). The model had UNLV by 4.8 and a total of 75.0 (actual 85).
Team stats
| JOES | UNLV | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-65 40% | Field goals | 31-69 45% |
| 9-28 32% | 3-pointers | 4-15 27% |
| 24-34 71% | Free throws | 33-49 67% |
| 37 13 off | Rebounds | 58 25 off |
| 25 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 7 | Blocks | 8 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 33 | Fouls | 23 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| JOES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deuce Jones G | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 4-15 | 1-5 |
| Derek Simpson G | 35 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8-13 | 2-4 |
| Jaiden Glover-Toscano G | 30 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 6-15 | 5-12 |
| Dasear Haskins F | 24 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Justice Ajogbor C | 19 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Smith C | 18 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Austin Williford G | 14 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Anthony Finkley F | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Kevin Kearney F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Khaafiq Myers G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Mekai Johnson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Will Lange F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Steven Solano C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Billy Rayer, Owen Verna, Al Amadou
| UNLV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn G | 37 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 7-16 | 3-8 |
| Jacob Bannarbie F | 30 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Howie Fleming Jr. G | 25 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 4-9 | 0-3 |
| Issac Williamson G | 24 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Kimani Hamilton F | 14 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyrin Jones F | 30 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Walter Brown F | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Naas Cunningham F | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Al Green G | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mason Abittan, Myles Che, Emmanuel Stephen, Ladji Dembele, Jalen Cunningham, Xavier Brumfield
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNLV -10.5
ModelUNLV -8.2
Model edgeJOES +2.3
L UNLV covered
Total
Market161.5
Model160.2
Model edgeUnder 1.3
L Over
Projected score
JOES 76 · UNLV 84.2
JOES 85 · UNLV 99
Win probability
UNLV 76%
1st half
Spread
UNLV -4.8
UNLV -5.0
Total
75.0
85 points
Projected score
JOES 35.1 · UNLV 39.9
JOES 40 · UNLV 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNLV -8.5
2 → UNLV
CloseUNLV -10.5
2 pts toward UNLV
Total
Open157.5
▲ 4
Close161.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
JOES +425 · UNLV -650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNLV -8.5 · closed UNLV -10.5 · moved 2 toward UNLVmodel UNLV -8
model UNLV -8
Opened 157.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 4 upmodel 160
model 160
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOESlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% | 2-2 50% |
| UNLVlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% | 4-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Joseph's
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −10 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
LAF
LAFW 85-76
−4.5
8
vs
DREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@
VT
VTL 59-94
−22.5
17
@
PENN
PENNL 74-83
−14.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −10 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
+22.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−5.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−6.5
over 2under 2avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNLV
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-0
100% overs · avg +19.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
UTM
UTML 81-86
−21.5
8
vs
UTC
UTCW 101-69
+24.5
11
vs
MONT
MONTL 93-102
−19.5
16
@
MEM
MEMW 92-78
+23.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
+20.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+14.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
+37.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+6.5
over 4under 0avg +19.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Joseph's
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Penn74–83
- L@ Virginia Tech59–94
- Wvs Drexel76–65
- Wvs Lafayette85–76
3 days since their last game.
UNLV
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Memphis92–78
- Lvs Montana93–102
- Wvs Chattanooga101–69
- Lvs UT Martin81–86
4 days since their last game.