Allen Fieldhouse · at Kansas
Closing line
KU -22.5✓ PRIN covered by 3.5
Closing total144.5Under by 11.5
| This season | KU | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 2-1 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 1-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PRIN 61–86 KU · ✓ KU (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PRIN | 29 | 28 | 57 |
| KU | 37 | 39 | 76 |
1st half: PRIN 29, KU 37 (KU by 8). The model had KU by 14.9 and a total of 69.1 (actual 66).
Team stats
| PRIN | KU | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-58 31% | Field goals | 25-53 47% |
| 10-35 29% | 3-pointers | 5-21 24% |
| 11-16 69% | Free throws | 21-28 75% |
| 31 8 off | Rebounds | 43 9 off |
| 12 | Assists | 12 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 0 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 12 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| PRIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalen Davis G | 34 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 6-20 | 2-8 |
| Jack Stanton G | 32 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-11 | 4-10 |
| Jackson Hicke G | 31 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 4-10 | 4-7 |
| Malik Abdullahi F | 28 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| CJ Happy F | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacob Huggins F | 22 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Landon Clark G | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jacob Hammond F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Sebastian Whitfield G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Peyton Seals G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zio Kim G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cash McSweeney F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Mandes G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jake Sussberg G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Will Kutzler, Cooper Mueller
| KU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre White G | 32 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Melvin Council Jr. G | 28 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4-11 | 0-2 |
| Flory Bidunga F | 27 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 10-11 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Tiller F | 26 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Kohl Rosario G | 23 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayden Dawson G | 24 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Elmarko Jackson G | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Samis Calderon F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Nginyu Ngala G | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Wilder Evers G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Paul Mbiya C | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jamari McDowell G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Will Thengvall G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Justin Cross F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Corbin Allen, Darryn Peterson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketKU -22.5
ModelKU -24.9
Model edgeKU +2.4
L PRIN covered
Total
Market144.5
Model147.4
Model edgeOver 2.9
L Under
Projected score
PRIN 61.2 · KU 86.2
PRIN 57 · KU 76
Win probability
KU 99%
1st half
Spread
KU -14.9
KU -8.0
Total
69.1
66 points
Projected score
PRIN 27.1 · KU 42
PRIN 29 · KU 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKU -24.5
2 → PRIN
CloseKU -22.5
2 pts toward PRIN
Total
Open148.5
▼ 4
Close144.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
PRIN +2500 · KU -10000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KU -24.5 · closed KU -22.5 · moved 2 toward PRINmodel KU -25
model KU -25
Opened 148.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 4 downmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | |
| 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Princeton
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
AKR
L 69-104
−21.5
11
vs
BUCK
W 73-63
+5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
AKR
L 69-104
+16.5
11
vs
BUCK
W 73-63
−10.5
over 1under 1avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −9.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
GB
W 94-51
+12.5
7
@
UNC
L 74-87
−10.5
11
vs
AMCC
W 77-46
+5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
GB
W 94-51
−7.5
7
@
UNC
L 74-87
+1.5
11
vs
AMCC
W 77-46
−22.5
over 1under 2avg −9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Princeton
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bucknell73–63
- L@ Akron69–104
4 days since their last game.
Kansas
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas A&M-CC77–46
- L@ North Carolina74–87
- Wvs Green Bay94–51
4 days since their last game.