Acrisure Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
SF -1.5✓ COLO covered by 11.5
Closing total150.5Under by 2.5
| This season | COLO | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 5-0 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 3-2 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 5-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SF 78–80 COLO · ✓ COLO (55%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 37 | 32 | 69 |
| COLO | 35 | 44 | 79 |
1st half: SF 37, COLO 35 (SF by 2). The model had COLO by 0.8 and a total of 74.1 (actual 72).
Team stats
| SF | COLO | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-59 44% | Field goals | 33-69 48% |
| 10-27 37% | 3-pointers | 8-20 40% |
| 7-13 54% | Free throws | 5-8 63% |
| 35 10 off | Rebounds | 35 11 off |
| 11 | Assists | 19 |
| 2 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| SF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Beasley G | 35 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 5-11 | 1-4 |
| Tyrone Riley IV G | 33 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5-8 | 2-4 |
| Junjie Wang F | 26 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4-12 | 3-6 |
| Vukasin Masic G | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Guillermo Diaz-Graham F | 16 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mookie Cook F | 26 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| David Fuchs F | 19 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Legend Smiley G | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Veniamin Abosi F | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Saba Gigiberia C | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sean Blakely Drummond, Weilun Zhao, Aidan Braccia, Ndewedo Newbury, Isa Silva
| COLO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangot Dak F | 30 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 6-14 | 1-2 |
| Sebastian Rancik F | 29 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 2-9 | 2-4 |
| Felix Kossaras G | 28 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Barrington Hargress G | 27 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 6-11 | 2-3 |
| Elijah Malone C | 20 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Johnson G | 24 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 7-10 | 1-2 |
| Alon Michaeli F | 15 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Josiah Sanders G | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Jalin Holland G | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Tacko Ifaola, Leonardo Van Elswyk, Jon Mani, Nick Randall, Ian Inman, Andrew Crawford
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSF -1.5
ModelCOLO -1.5
Model edgeCOLO +3.0
W COLO covered
Total
Market150.5
Model158.3
Model edgeOver 7.8
L Under
Projected score
SF 78.4 · COLO 79.9
SF 69 · COLO 79
Win probability
COLO 55%
1st half
Spread
COLO -0.8
SF -2.0
Total
74.1
72 points
Projected score
SF 36.7 · COLO 37.4
SF 37 · COLO 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSF -1.5
no move
CloseSF -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open157.5
▼ 7
Close150.5
Down 7 since the open
Moneyline
SF -115 · COLO -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SF -1.5 · unchangedmodel COLO -1.5
model COLO -1.5
Opened 157.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 7 downmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% | |
| 5-0 100% | 3-2 60% | 5-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San Francisco
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
MEM
L 70-76
−3.5
12
vs
PRST
W 80-70
−3.5
15
vs
BRAD
W 75-64
+1.5
18
vs
NWST
W 84-64
+3.5
22
vs
MINN
W 77-65
+13.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
MEM
L 70-76
−11.5
12
vs
PRST
W 80-70
−4.5
15
vs
BRAD
W 75-64
−7.5
18
vs
NWST
W 84-64
+4.5
22
vs
MINN
W 77-65
+1.5
over 2under 3avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado
5 games played
Straight up
5-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-0
100% overs · avg +21.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MTST
W 84-78
−5.5
8
vs
EWU
W 102-97
−11.5
14
vs
PROV
W 97-88
+7.5
17
vs
ALST
W 94-66
+5.5
21
vs
UCD
W 95-79
+1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
MTST
W 84-78
+13.5
8
vs
EWU
W 102-97
+46.5
14
vs
PROV
W 97-88
+21.5
17
vs
ALST
W 94-66
+3.5
21
vs
UCD
W 95-79
+21.5
over 5under 0avg +21.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San Francisco
4-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Minnesota77–65
- Wvs N'Western St84–64
- Wvs Bradley75–64
- Wvs Portland St80–70
- L@ Memphis70–76
5 days since their last game.
Colorado
5-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UC Davis95–79
- Wvs Alabama St94–66
- Wvs Providence97–88
- Wvs E Washington102–97
- Wvs Montana St84–78
6 days since their last game.