LJVM Coliseum · at Wake Forest
Closing line
WAKE -30.5✓ WAKE covered by 3.5
WAKE -30.5✓ WAKE covered by 3.5Closing total165.5Over by 18.5
 UML | This season | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | Record | 2-1 |
| 0-3 | ATS | 1-2 |
| 2-1 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UML 67–90 WAKE · ✓ WAKE (98%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UML | 38 | 37 | 75 |
| WAKE | 48 | 61 | 109 |
1st half: UML 38, WAKE 48 (WAKE by 10). The model had WAKE by 13.9 and a total of 73.5 (actual 86).
Team stats
| UML | WAKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-61 46% | Field goals | 38-68 56% |
| 6-22 27% | 3-pointers | 13-30 43% |
| 13-18 72% | Free throws | 20-24 83% |
| 30 9 off | Rebounds | 37 10 off |
| 13 | Assists | 19 |
| 3 | Steals | 14 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| UML | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Spencer G | 34 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Jared Frey G | 27 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1-8 | 1-8 |
| Austin Green F | 26 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Darrel Yepdo G | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Shawn Simmons II F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| JJ Massaquoi F | 23 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 11-15 | 0-0 |
| Khalil Farmer G | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-5 |
| Victor Okojie F | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Angel Montas Jr. G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jerrell Roberson II F | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Walter G | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kris Johnson G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Keenan Bey F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| WAKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juke Harris G | 26 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 8-14 | 1-5 |
| Omaha Biliew F | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 4-4 | 3-3 |
| Nate Calmese G | 24 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 5-6 | 3-4 |
| Tre'Von Spillers F | 22 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 8-9 | 0-0 |
| Mekhi Mason G | 20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1-9 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myles Colvin G | 24 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 3-6 |
| Cooper Schwieger F | 16 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Marqus Marion F | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Carr G | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Jaylen Cross G | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Sebastian Akins G | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Vincent Ricchiuti F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Anson Beard Jr. G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Will Underwood G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dimitrije Kovacevic, Owen Kmety
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWAKE -30.5
ModelWAKE -23.3
Model edgeUML +7.2
L WAKE covered
Total
Market165.5
Model157.0
Model edgeUnder 8.5
L Over
Projected score
UML 66.9 · WAKE 90.1
UML 75 · WAKE 109
Win probability
WAKE 98%
1st half
Spread
WAKE -13.9
WAKE -10.0
Total
73.5
86 points
Projected score
UML 29.8 · WAKE 43.7
UML 38 · WAKE 48
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWAKE -28.5
2 → WAKE
CloseWAKE -30.5
2 pts toward WAKE
Total
Open163.5
▲ 2
Close165.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UML +4000 · WAKE -100000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WAKE -28.5 · closed WAKE -30.5 · moved 2 toward WAKEmodel WAKE -23.5
model WAKE -23.5
Opened 163.5 · closed 165.5 · moved 2 upmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMLlast 3 | 0-3 0% | 0-3 0% | 2-1 67% |
| WAKElast 3 | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMass Lowell
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
0-3
0% covers · avg −14.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
CONN
CONNL 47-110
−26.5
10
vs
NHVN
NHVNL 67-73
−16.5
13
@
COLU
COLUL 72-86
−0.5
covered 0didn’t cover 3avg −14.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@CONN
CONNL 47-110
+5.5
10
vsNHVN
NHVNL 67-73
−2.5
13
@COLU
COLUL 72-86
+1.5
over 2under 1avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wake Forest
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
AMER
AMERW 88-74
−5.5
7
vs
MORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vs
MICH
MICHL 84-85
+14.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAMER
AMERW 88-74
+22.5
7
vsMORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 84-85
+0.5
over 2under 1avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMass Lowell
0-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Columbia72–86
- Lvs New Haven67–73
- L@ UConn47–110
3 days since their last game.
Wake Forest
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Michigan84–85
- Wvs Morehead St81–65
- Wvs American88–74
5 days since their last game.