Conte Forum · at Boston College
Closing line
BC -17.5✓ NHVN covered by 13.5
Closing total126.5Over by 3.5
| This season | BC | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 4-5 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 3-6 |
| 0-6 | O/U | 3-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NHVN 58–75 BC · ✓ BC (93%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NHVN | 33 | 30 | 63 |
| BC | 23 | 44 | 67 |
1st half: NHVN 33, BC 23 (NHVN by 10). The model had BC by 9.8 and a total of 62.4 (actual 56).
Team stats
| NHVN | BC | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-49 39% | Field goals | 20-48 42% |
| 5-22 23% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 20-24 83% | Free throws | 17-23 74% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 34 11 off |
| 9 | Assists | 6 |
| 9 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 12 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| NHVN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Najimi George G | 39 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Jabri Fitzpatrick G | 38 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 4-15 | 0-5 |
| Andre Pasha F | 36 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 5-12 | 3-7 |
| Stefano Faloppa F | 30 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Kheni Briggs G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Maison Adeleye G | 27 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-2 |
| Teshaun Steele F | 10 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tristan Burth C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Vere Anthony G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zoumana Traore F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dior Kennedy, Matiss Ogle, Kyle Kearson, John Oladipo, Timothy Coleman, Nathan Narcisse, Owen Hotaling, Justice Hanna, Dominick LaDuca, Aidan Losiewicz, Jagger Bascombe
| BC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Hand Jr. G | 34 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Jayden Hastings F | 28 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Shaw F | 22 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Luka Toews G | 21 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Caleb Steger G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Fred Payne G | 33 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 7-13 | 4-7 |
| Jason Asemota F | 15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Boden Kapke F | 15 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Chase Forte G | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Marko Radunovic F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kany Musungay, Jack DiDonna, Will Eggemeier, Nick Petronio, Akbar Waheed III, Jack Bailey
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBC -18.5
1 → NHVN
CloseBC -17.5
1 pt toward NHVN
Total
Open126.5
no move
Close126.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
NHVN +1300 · BC -2800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BC -18.5 · closed BC -17.5 · moved 1 toward NHVNmodel BC -16.5
model BC -16.5
Opened 126.5 · unchangedmodel 133
model 133
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BC -17.5 | BC -16.5 | NHVN +1.0 | W NHVN covered |
| Total | 126.5 | 133.1 | Over 6.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | NHVN 58.3 · BC 74.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | BC -9.8 | NHVN -10.0 |
| 1H total | 62.4 | 56 |
| 1H projected score | NHVN 26.3 · BC 36.1 | NHVN 33 · BC 23 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-4 33% | 4-2 67% | 0-6 0% | |
| 4-5 44% | 3-6 33% | 3-6 33% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
New Haven
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-6
0% overs · avg −13.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CONN
L 55-79
+18.5
7
vs
COLU
L 53-71
−10.5
8
vs
PSU
L 43-87
−25.5
10
@
UML
W 73-67
+16.5
15
vs
DSU
W 65-52
+11.5
18
@
HALL
L 45-68
+2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
CONN
L 55-79
−11.5
7
vs
COLU
L 53-71
−24.5
8
vs
PSU
L 43-87
−13.5
10
@
UML
W 73-67
−2.5
15
vs
DSU
W 65-52
−13.5
18
@
HALL
L 45-68
−16.5
over 0under 6avg −13.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Boston College
9 games played
Straight up
4-5
44% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-6
33% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 78-83 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 6 | vs | W 76-47 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs | L 59-60 | -17.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | @ | W 76-71 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 63-52 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 49-59 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 90-93 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 73-60 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 3 | vs | L 69-78 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
FAU
L 78-83
−3.5
6
vs
CIT
W 76-47
+13.5
11
vs
CCSU
L 59-60
−18.5
15
@
TEM
W 76-71
+8.5
18
vs
HAMP
W 63-52
−1.5
21
vs
DAV
L 49-59
−11.5
23
vs
TULN
L 90-93
−5.5
26
vs
HARV
W 73-60
+5.5
3
vs
LSU
L 69-78
−1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
FAU
L 78-83
+12.5
6
vs
CIT
W 76-47
−21.5
11
vs
CCSU
L 59-60
−17.5
15
@
TEM
W 76-71
+4.5
18
vs
HAMP
W 63-52
−20.5
21
vs
DAV
L 49-59
−32.5
23
vs
TULN
L 90-93
+42.5
26
vs
HARV
W 73-60
−5.5
3
vs
LSU
L 69-78
−2.5
over 3under 6avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Haven
2-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Seton Hall45–68
- Wvs Delaware St65–52
- W@ UMass Lowell73–67
- Lvs Penn State43–87
- Lvs Columbia53–71
A week or more of rest.
Boston College
4-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs LSU69–78
- Wvs Harvard73–60
- Lvs Tulane90–93
- Lvs Davidson49–59
- Wvs Hampton63–52
3 days since their last game.