Robins Center · at Richmond
Closing line
RICH -11.5✓ CHSO covered by 16.5
RICH -11.5✓ CHSO covered by 16.5Closing total159.5Under by 10.5
 CHSO | This season | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| 5-6 | Record | 9-2 |
| 7-4 | ATS | 6-5 |
| 6-5 | O/U | 6-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CHSO 70–84 RICH · ✗ RICH (89%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHSO | 39 | 38 | 77 |
| RICH | 35 | 37 | 72 |
1st half: CHSO 39, RICH 35 (CHSO by 4). The model had RICH by 8.2 and a total of 72.5 (actual 74).
Team stats
| CHSO | RICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-65 40% | Field goals | 20-59 34% |
| 10-37 27% | 3-pointers | 7-18 39% |
| 15-23 65% | Free throws | 25-29 86% |
| 47 16 off | Rebounds | 39 10 off |
| 10 | Assists | 10 |
| 6 | Steals | 11 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 21 | Fouls | 16 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 29 |
Players
| CHSO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Williams G | 35 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Jesse Hafemeister F | 25 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5-12 | 2-7 |
| Jacob Taylor G | 23 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Reis Jones F | 20 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Armari Carraway G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| A'lahn Sumler G | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 5-13 | 1-4 |
| Brycen Blaine G | 27 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 7-17 | 5-14 |
| Nate Brafford F | 14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Lase Olalere F | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Devin Brafford F | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Jaquias Franklin G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Anthony Gause, Trent Coleman, Kaleb Lofton, AJ Gladieux, Easton Hupp
| RICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Lopez G | 28 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| Mikkel Tyne G | 23 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Will Johnston G | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Mike Walz C | 16 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Collin Tanner G | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aiden Argabright G | 25 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 24 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2-11 | 2-5 |
| Apostolos Roumoglou F | 19 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| David Thomas G | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jonathan Beagle F | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Robinson F | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Donovan Richardson, Will Harper III, Dylan Homenick, Bryson McGlothin, Kirby Mooney
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketRICH -11.5
ModelRICH -13.9
Model edgeRICH +2.4
L CHSO covered
Total
Market159.5
Model154.7
Model edgeUnder 4.8
W Under
Projected score
CHSO 70.4 · RICH 84.3
CHSO 77 · RICH 72
Win probability
RICH 89%
1st half
Spread
RICH -8.2
CHSO -4.0
Total
72.5
74 points
Projected score
CHSO 32.1 · RICH 40.3
CHSO 39 · RICH 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRICH -12.5
1 → CHSO
CloseRICH -11.5
1 pt toward CHSO
Total
Open151.5
▲ 8
Close159.5
Up 8 since the open
Moneyline
CHSO +575 · RICH -850
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RICH -12.5 · closed RICH -11.5 · moved 1 toward CHSOmodel RICH -14
model RICH -14
Opened 151.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 8 upmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHSO | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| RICH | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Charleston So
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +5.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ VT | L 67-98 | +18.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 10 | @ CIT | W 96-86 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 13 | @ AAMU | L 64-68 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 14 | vs LIN | L 77-83 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 18 | vs IUIN | W 103-91 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 188.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 21 | @ ECU | W 77-65 | +13.5 | W +25.5 | 157.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | @ SC | L 62-74 | +17.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | @ UTM | L 56-73 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 8 | vs SCST | W 84-44 | -12.5 | W +27.5 | 156.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 18 | vs UNF | W 113-90 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | O 203 |
| Dec 21 | @ FUR | L 76-84 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@VT
VTL 67-98
−12.5
10
@CIT
CITW 96-86
+7.5
13
@AAMU
AAMUL 64-68
−2.5
14
vsLIN
LINL 77-83
−3.5
18
vsIUIN
IUINW 103-91
+13.5
21
@ECU
ECUW 77-65
+25.5
28
@SC
SCL 62-74
+5.5
2
@UTM
UTML 56-73
−13.5
8
vsSCST
SCSTW 84-44
+27.5
18
vsUNF
UNFW 113-90
+12.5
21
@FUR
FURL 76-84
+2.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@VT
VTL 67-98
+18.5
10
@CIT
CITW 96-86
+36.5
13
@AAMU
AAMUL 64-68
−20.5
14
vsLIN
LINL 77-83
+4.5
18
vsIUIN
IUINW 103-91
+5.5
21
@ECU
ECUW 77-65
−15.5
28
@SC
SCL 62-74
−14.5
2
@UTM
UTML 56-73
−18.5
8
vsSCST
SCSTW 84-44
−28.5
18
vsUNF
UNFW 113-90
+39.5
21
@FUR
FURL 76-84
+4.5
over 6under 5avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Richmond
11 games played
Straight up
9-2
82% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vsECU | W 87-72 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | vs W&M | W 90-86 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 19 | vs VMI | W 87-54 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 22 | vs GWEB | W 102-67 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 27 | vsFUR | L 72-73 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLT | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ BEL | W 84-76 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 6 | vs ODU | W 86-77 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 13 | vs SIU | W 93-84 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 17 | @ ELON | L 70-73 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | vsCIT | W 80-56 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+9.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
−5.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
+18.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+15.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−4.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−1.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+14.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
−3.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+5.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−6.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
+5.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+15.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
+11.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
−11.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+14.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−2.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−4.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+3.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
+9.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+23.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−18.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
−10.5
over 6under 5avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Charleston So
5-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Furman76–84
- Wvs North Florida113–90
- Wvs SC State84–44
- L@ UT Martin56–73
- L@ South Carolina62–74
A week or more of rest.
Richmond
9-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs The Citadel80–56
- L@ Elon70–73
- Wvs S Illinois93–84
- Wvs Old Dominion86–77
- W@ Belmont84–76
A week or more of rest.