Pauley Pavilion · at UCLA
Closing line
UCLA -27.5✓ UCLA covered by 3.5
UCLA -27.5✓ UCLA covered by 3.5Closing total146.5Under by 19.5
 SAC | This season | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 3-1 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 0-4 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 1-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SAC 58–86 UCLA · ✓ UCLA (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | 17 | 31 | 48 |
| UCLA | 42 | 37 | 79 |
1st half: SAC 17, UCLA 42 (UCLA by 25). The model had UCLA by 16.6 and a total of 67.8 (actual 59).
Team stats
| SAC | UCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-54 24% | Field goals | 28-58 48% |
| 3-24 13% | 3-pointers | 7-21 33% |
| 19-30 63% | Free throws | 16-24 67% |
| 35 13 off | Rebounds | 44 11 off |
| 9 | Assists | 20 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 25 | Fouls | 25 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| SAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prophet Johnson G | 38 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 4-11 | 1-5 |
| Mikey Williams G | 34 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2-14 | 0-3 |
| Jahni Summers G | 24 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Shaqir O'Neal F | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bear Cherry F | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mark Lavrenov F | 29 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Brandon Gardner F | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Jayden Teat G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Arman Madi G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Taj Glover G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Romari Robinson G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Bronson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jeremiah Nyarko, Zach Anderson
| UCLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Dailey Jr. F | 30 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 5-10 | 0-4 |
| Trent Perry G | 27 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Jamar Brown G | 19 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Brandon Williams F | 18 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Steven Jamerson II F | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donovan Dent G | 24 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 2-9 | 0-3 |
| Skyy Clark G | 20 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Xavier Booker C | 19 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Bilodeau F | 18 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Eric Freeny G | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Jack Seidler G | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Christian Horry G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Peoples Jr. F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Evan Manjikian, Markell Alston
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCLA -27.5
ModelUCLA -27.8
Model edgeUCLA +0.3
W UCLA covered
Total
Market146.5
Model144.6
Model edgeUnder 1.9
W Under
Projected score
SAC 58.4 · UCLA 86.2
SAC 48 · UCLA 79
Win probability
UCLA 99%
1st half
Spread
UCLA -16.6
UCLA -25.0
Total
67.8
59 points
Projected score
SAC 25.6 · UCLA 42.2
SAC 17 · UCLA 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCLA -27.5
no move
CloseUCLA -27.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
▲ 4
Close146.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
SAC +3000 · UCLA -20000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCLA -27.5 · unchangedmodel UCLA -28
model UCLA -28
Opened 142.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 4 upmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAClast 3 | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% |
| UCLAlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 0-4 0% | 1-3 25% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SAC 0–1 UCLAUCLA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SAC 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2022-23 | SAC 50 @ UCLA 76 | UCLA -25.5 | UCLA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Sacramento St
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vs
UCSB
UCSBL 87-92
+2.5
14
@
UCD
UCDL 73-77
+0.5
16
vs
PRES
PRESW 64-62
−4.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsUCSB
UCSBL 87-92
+17.5
14
@UCD
UCDL 73-77
−1.5
16
vsPRES
PRESW 64-62
−24.5
over 1under 2avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCLA
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
0-4
0% covers · avg −13.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
EWU
EWUW 80-74
−23.5
7
vs
PEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−18.5
10
vs
WGA
WGAW 83-62
−9.5
14
vs
ARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−2.5
covered 0didn’t cover 4avg −13.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
+4.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−15.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−1.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−19.5
over 1under 3avg −8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Sacramento St
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Presbyterian64–62
- L@ UC Davis73–77
- Lvs Santa Barbara87–92
2 days since their last game.
UCLA
3-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Arizona65–69
- Wvs West Georgia83–62
- Wvs Pepperdine74–63
- Wvs E Washington80–74
4 days since their last game.