Gallagher-Iba Arena · at Oklahoma St
Closing line
OKST -3.5✓ OKST covered by 4.5
OKST -3.5✓ OKST covered by 4.5Closing total177.5Over by 20.5
 USF | This season | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 4-0 |
| 3-1 | ATS | 2-2 |
| 3-1 | O/U | 1-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USF 82–89 OKST · ✓ OKST (72%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USF | 45 | 50 | 95 |
| OKST | 44 | 59 | 103 |
1st half: USF 45, OKST 44 (USF by 1). The model had OKST by 3.8 and a total of 80.2 (actual 89).
Team stats
| USF | OKST | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-64 47% | Field goals | 38-64 59% |
| 15-39 38% | 3-pointers | 11-22 50% |
| 20-30 67% | Free throws | 16-26 62% |
| 35 14 off | Rebounds | 37 11 off |
| 17 | Assists | 20 |
| 13 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 26 | Fouls | 21 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 20 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| USF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Brown G | 36 | 24 | 3 | 10 | 9-11 | 1-1 |
| Joseph Pinion G | 31 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 6-11 | 6-11 |
| Josh Omojafo G | 31 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Izaiyah Nelson F | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Sanders F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Wes Enis G | 37 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 7-19 | 4-13 |
| Isaiah Jones F | 29 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 4-10 | 4-9 |
| Daimion Collins F | 11 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Gavin Hightower G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tristan Beckford, Onyx Nnani, Xavier Brown, Devin Haid, De'Ante Green, Adriel Nyorha
| OKST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanye Clary G | 34 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 5-9 | 2-3 |
| Vyctorius Miller G | 34 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 7-11 | 4-4 |
| Parsa Fallah F | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Coleman G | 23 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Lefteris Mantzoukas F | 17 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Christian Coleman G | 25 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Anthony Roy G | 16 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 6-11 | 3-7 |
| Jaylen Curry G | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Andrija Vukovic F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Crotty G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mekhi Ragland, Benjamin Ahmed, Robert Jennings II, Daniel Guetta, Kirk Cole
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketOKST -3.5
ModelOKST -6.6
Model edgeOKST +3.1
W OKST covered
Total
Market177.5
Model171.2
Model edgeUnder 6.3
L Over
Projected score
USF 82.3 · OKST 88.9
USF 95 · OKST 103
Win probability
OKST 72%
1st half
Spread
OKST -3.8
USF -1.0
Total
80.2
89 points
Projected score
USF 38.2 · OKST 42
USF 45 · OKST 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOKST -5.5
2 → USF
CloseOKST -3.5
2 pts toward USF
Total
Open177.5
no move
Close177.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
USF +150 · OKST -175
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OKST -5.5 · closed OKST -3.5 · moved 2 toward USFmodel OKST -6.5
model OKST -6.5
Opened 177.5 · unchangedmodel 171
model 171
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USFlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 3-1 75% | 3-1 75% |
| OKSTlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Florida
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +7.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +13 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
FAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+9.5
8
vs
GW
GWL 95-99
−5.5
12
vs
COPP
COPPW 100-50
+15.5
16
@
KENN
KENNW 108-89
+11.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+15.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
+34.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
−17.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+19.5
over 3under 1avg +13 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oklahoma St
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
ORU
ORUW 95-71
+3.5
9
vs
TA&M
TA&MW 87-63
+26.5
12
vs
PV
PVW 94-67
−3.5
16
vs
AMCC
AMCCW 85-69
−4.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
+0.5
9
vsTA&M
TA&MW 87-63
−24.5
12
vsPV
PVW 94-67
−7.5
16
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-69
−0.5
over 1under 3avg −8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Florida
3-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Kennesaw St108–89
- Wvs Coppin St100–50
- Lvs G Washington95–99
- Wvs Florida A&M102–67
3 days since their last game.
Oklahoma St
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas A&M-CC85–69
- Wvs Prairie View94–67
- Wvs Texas A&M87–63
- Wvs Oral Roberts95–71
3 days since their last game.