Detrick Gymnasium · at C Connecticut · Conference game
Closing line
CCSU -7.5✓ FDU covered by 17.5
CCSU -7.5✓ FDU covered by 17.5Closing total140.5Over by 1.5
 FDU | This season | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-13 | Record | 8-7 |
| 6-10 | ATS | 9-6 |
| 5-11 | O/U | 10-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FDU 68–75 CCSU · ✗ CCSU (74%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FDU | 32 | 44 | 76 |
| CCSU | 29 | 37 | 66 |
1st half: FDU 32, CCSU 29 (FDU by 3). The model had CCSU by 4.2 and a total of 67.0 (actual 61).
Team stats
| FDU | CCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-54 52% | Field goals | 25-52 48% |
| 11-22 50% | 3-pointers | 5-15 33% |
| 9-11 82% | Free throws | 11-13 85% |
| 24 6 off | Rebounds | 32 10 off |
| 19 | Assists | 8 |
| 8 | Steals | 2 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| FDU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Niesman G | 38 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 7-12 | 2-4 |
| Eric Parnell G | 35 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 9-15 | 7-12 |
| Cyril Martynov C | 31 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 5-11 | 0-0 |
| Taeshaud Jackson F | 19 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Raysean Johnson G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Jevtic G | 24 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Arthur Cox F | 22 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Ras Elijah Godbolt G | 18 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Sebastian Haubro C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Andrew Canda, Josiah Francis, Chid Ekwommadu, Kody Frey, Noah Melson, Tyler McQuaid, Cole Alexander
| CCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darin Smith Jr. G | 38 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 7-13 | 1-3 |
| Jay Rodgers G | 36 | 19 | 0 | 6 | 8-16 | 1-6 |
| Melo Sanchez G | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| James Jones G | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Max Frazier F | 30 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daniel James F | 15 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Parker G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Ashton Reynolds G | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Roddy Jones G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jayden Mott, Corsley Edwards Jr., Ja'Kobe Williams, Rashawn Tibby, Nico Ashley, Adam Fox, Gabe Spinelli
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCCSU -7.5
ModelCCSU -7.3
Model edgeFDU +0.2
W FDU covered
Total
Market140.5
Model142.9
Model edgeOver 2.4
W Over
Projected score
FDU 67.8 · CCSU 75.1
FDU 76 · CCSU 66
Win probability
CCSU 74%
1st half
Spread
CCSU -4.2
FDU -3.0
Total
67.0
61 points
Projected score
FDU 31.4 · CCSU 35.6
FDU 32 · CCSU 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCCSU -6.5
1 → CCSU
CloseCCSU -7.5
1 pt toward CCSU
Total
Open143.5
▼ 3
Close140.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
FDU +275 · CCSU -345
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CCSU -6.5 · closed CCSU -7.5 · moved 1 toward CCSUmodel CCSU -7.5 matches the line
model CCSU -7.5 = line ✓
Opened 143.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 3 downmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FDU | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
| CCSU | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
FDU 2–8 CCSUCCSU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · CCSU has won the last 6 meetings · FDU 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | FDU 72 @ CCSU 76 | CCSU -9.5 | FDU W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | FDU 66 @ CCSU 87 | CCSU -9.5 | CCSU W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | CCSU 71 @ FDU 60 | FDU +5.5 | CCSU W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | FDU 62 @ CCSU 71 | — | — |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | CCSU 76 @ FDU 60 | FDU +2.5 | CCSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
FDU
16 games played
Straight up
3-13
19% wins
Against the spread
6-10
38% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-11
31% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ISU | L 50-88 | +37.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 8 | @ SPU | L 83-93 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 12 | @ TEX | L 58-93 | +31.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | @ NJIT | L 81-93 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 24 | vs ETAM | L 65-70 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 26 | vs ARMY | L 73-81 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 2 | @ PROV | L 64-94 | +26.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Dec 10 | @ FOR | L 54-75 | +11.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 22 | @ BC | L 61-72 | +16.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | @ MINN | L 43-60 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | U 103 |
| Jan 2 | @ MERC | W 74-67 | +5.5 | W +12.5 | 133.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | @ SFPA | L 82-85 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | vs CHST | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @ NHVN | L 55-65 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 17 | vs LIU | L 59-66 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 19 | vs WAG | W 68-61 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ISU
ISUL 50-88
−0.5
8
@SPU
SPUL 83-93
−3.5
12
@TEX
TEXL 58-93
−3.5
15
@NJIT
NJITL 81-93
−9.5
24
vsETAM
ETAML 65-70
−1.5
26
vsARMY
ARMYL 73-81
−12.5
2
@PROV
PROVL 64-94
−3.5
10
@FOR
FORL 54-75
−9.5
22
@BC
BCL 61-72
+5.5
29
@MINN
MINNL 43-60
+8.5
2
@MERC
MERCW 74-67
+12.5
4
@SFPA
SFPAL 82-85
−5.5
8
vsCHST
CHSTW 70-63
+2.5
10
@NHVN
NHVNL 55-65
−8.5
17
vsLIU
LIUL 59-66
+0.5
19
vsWAG
WAGW 68-61
+4.5
covered 6didn’t cover 10avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ISU
ISUL 50-88
−9.5
8
@SPU
SPUL 83-93
+38.5
12
@TEX
TEXL 58-93
−7.5
15
@NJIT
NJITL 81-93
+27.5
24
vsETAM
ETAML 65-70
−14.5
26
vsARMY
ARMYL 73-81
+1.5
2
@PROV
PROVL 64-94
−4.5
10
@FOR
FORL 54-75
−12.5
22
@BC
BCL 61-72
−8.5
29
@MINN
MINNL 43-60
−36.5
2
@MERC
MERCW 74-67
+7.5
4
@SFPA
SFPAL 82-85
+23.5
8
vsCHST
CHSTW 70-63
−10.5
10
@NHVN
NHVNL 55-65
−10.5
17
vsLIU
LIUL 59-66
−18.5
19
vsWAG
WAGW 68-61
−8.5
over 5under 11avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
C Connecticut
15 games played
Straight up
8-7
53% wins
Against the spread
9-6
60% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-5
67% overs · avg +7.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ QUIN | L 49-71 | +9.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 11 | @BC | W 60-59 | +17.5 | W +18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 16 | @ MASS | L 77-84 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | @ RUTG | W 67-54 | +15.5 | W +28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs SHU | W 108-106 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 214 |
| Dec 3 | @ HALL | L 61-77 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 7 | @ NE | L 56-73 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 13 | @ BING | W 84-67 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 18 | vs FAIR | L 70-84 | -6.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 2 | @LIU | L 78-84 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 4 | vsNHVN | W 72-61 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 8 | vs STO | W 76-69 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 10 | @ LEM | W 69-59 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 17 | @SFPA | W 98-90 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 19 | @MERC | L 61-79 | +1.5 | L −16.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−12.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
+18.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+5.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
+28.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
−1.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+2.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−15.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+9.5
18
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-84
−20.5
2
@LIU
LIUL 78-84
+0.5
4
vsNHVN
NHVNW 72-61
+3.5
8
vsSTO
STOW 76-69
−0.5
10
@LEM
LEMW 69-59
+11.5
17
@SFPA
SFPAW 98-90
+1.5
19
@MERC
MERCL 61-79
−16.5
covered 9didn’t cover 6avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−30.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
−17.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+16.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
−16.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
+70.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+9.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−9.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+17.5
18
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-84
+10.5
2
@LIU
LIUL 78-84
+15.5
4
vsNHVN
NHVNW 72-61
+2.5
8
vsSTO
STOW 76-69
+10.5
10
@LEM
LEMW 69-59
−18.5
17
@SFPA
SFPAW 98-90
+43.5
19
@MERC
MERCL 61-79
+7.5
over 10under 5avg +7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
FDU
3-13 overall · 3-3 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wagner68–61
- Lvs Long Island59–66
- L@ New Haven55–65
- Wvs Chicago St70–63
- L@ Saint Francis Red Wolves82–85
4 days since their last game.
C Connecticut
8-7 overall · 4-2 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Mercyhurst61–79
- W@ Saint Francis Red Wolves98–90
- W@ Le Moyne69–59
- Wvs Stonehill76–69
- Wvs New Haven72–61
4 days since their last game.