John Gray Gymnasium · Neutral site
Closing line
GW -5.5✓ MCN covered by 11.5
GW -5.5✓ MCN covered by 11.5Closing total157.5Over by 20.5
 MCN | This season | GW |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 5-0 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 4-1 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 3-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MCN 73–80 GW · ✗ GW (74%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MCN | 47 | 45 | 92 |
| GW | 39 | 47 | 86 |
1st half: MCN 47, GW 39 (MCN by 8). The model had GW by 4.3 and a total of 71.5 (actual 86).
Team stats
| MCN | GW | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-67 48% | Field goals | 25-54 46% |
| 5-16 31% | 3-pointers | 12-31 39% |
| 23-28 82% | Free throws | 24-30 80% |
| 30 15 off | Rebounds | 41 18 off |
| 15 | Assists | 16 |
| 17 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 7 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 24 |
| 26 | Fouls | 24 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 25 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| MCN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javohn Garcia G | 33 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 5-14 | 2-5 |
| Jacolb Fredson-Cole F | 25 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-2 |
| DJ Richards Jr. G | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-4 |
| Tyshawn Archie G | 17 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Jerrell Colbert F | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Garwey Dual G | 28 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 6-9 | 0-2 |
| Peitok Machar F | 26 | 15 | 14 | 0 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Larry Johnson G | 22 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 6-8 | 1-1 |
| Carl Cherenfant G | 15 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Yanis Ndjonga, T'Johnn Brown, JJ Rembert, Erik Villarreal, Kaleb Brewer, Akim Mazou
| GW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bubu Benjamin G | 24 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Trey Autry G | 24 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Christian Jones G | 23 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Rafael Castro F | 22 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Tyrone Marshall Jr. F | 18 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Garrett Johnson F | 29 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 7-10 | 5-8 |
| Tre Dinkins G | 26 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 4-8 |
| Luke Hunger F | 18 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Jean Aranguren G | 16 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Ty Bevins, Vincent Chaudhri, Amir Arrington, Mohamed Binzagr, Jalen Rougier-Roane, Trey Moss
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGW -5.5
ModelGW -7.4
Model edgeGW +1.9
L MCN covered
Total
Market157.5
Model152.6
Model edgeUnder 4.9
L Over
Projected score
MCN 72.6 · GW 80
MCN 92 · GW 86
Win probability
GW 74%
1st half
Spread
GW -4.3
MCN -8.0
Total
71.5
86 points
Projected score
MCN 33.6 · GW 37.9
MCN 47 · GW 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGW -5.5
no move
CloseGW -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open154.5
▲ 3
Close157.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MCN +210 · GW -250
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GW -5.5 · unchangedmodel GW -7.5
model GW -7.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 3 upmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MCNlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
| GWlast 5 | 5-0 100% | 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
McNeese
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
SCU
SCUL 67-79
−5.5
14
vs
UL
ULW 88-62
+10.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SCU
SCUL 67-79
−5.5
14
vsUL
ULW 88-62
+15.5
over 1under 1avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
G Washington
5 games played
Straight up
5-0
100% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +9.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
ME
MEW 67-47
−0.5
8
vs
USF
USFW 99-95
+5.5
12
vs
AMER
AMERW 107-67
+22.5
15
vs
ODU
ODUW 96-73
+7.5
19
vs
UMBC
UMBCW 89-52
+14.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +9.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsME
MEW 67-47
−29.5
8
vsUSF
USFW 99-95
+34.5
12
vsAMER
AMERW 107-67
+22.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 96-73
+13.5
19
vsUMBC
UMBCW 89-52
−19.5
over 3under 2avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
McNeese
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Louisiana88–62
- L@ Santa Clara67–79
A week or more of rest.
G Washington
5-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UMBC89–52
- Wvs Old Dominion96–73
- Wvs American107–67
- Wvs South Florida99–95
- Wvs Maine67–47
4 days since their last game.