Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles at Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: Model Line and Edge

Thu, Jan 15, 9:00 PM ETHooper Eblen Center · at Tennessee Tech · Conference game

#304USISouthern Indiana Screaming Eagles71▲ winner

Final

Closing lineTNTC -5.5✓ USI covered by 22.5

Closing total142.5Under by 17.5

Season records: Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles and Tennessee Tech
USI	This season	TNTC
1-13	Record	4-10
5-9	ATS	7-7
5-9	O/U	7-7

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: USI 70–75 TNTC · ✗ TNTC (70%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
USI	27	44	71
TNTC	27	27	54

1st half: USI 27, TNTC 27 (tied). The model had TNTC by 3.4 and a total of 67.8 (actual 54).

Team stats

USI		TNTC
27-71 38%	Field goals	21-60 35%
8-25 32%	3-pointers	3-20 15%
9-19 47%	Free throws	9-15 60%
44 15 off	Rebounds	47 12 off
13	Assists	7
7	Steals	1
6	Blocks	6
3	Turnovers	13
14	Fouls	17
38	Points in paint	34
12	Fast-break points	9

Players

USI	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Cardell Bailey G	23	17	2	0	7-11	2-4
Amaree Brown G	18	3	1	1	1-7	1-4
Steven Clay G	18	6	2	0	2-4	2-4
Sheridan Sharp G	16	0	5	2	0-6	0-0
Ola Ajiboye F	11	2	3	1	1-3	0-0
Bench
Ismail Habib G	35	21	4	7	8-20	2-8
Tolu Samuels F	25	9	10	1	3-9	0-1
Josiah Dunham G	25	3	2	1	1-4	1-4
Devin Curtis F	21	8	9	0	3-5	0-0
Ben Ezeagu F	8	2	3	0	1-2	0-0

Did not play: Alem Fejzic, Trey Thomas, Braxton Jones, Cayden Gehlhausen, Kaden Brown

TNTC	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Malik Ferguson G	29	10	4	0	4-10	0-1
Brandon Muntu G	25	2	2	1	1-4	0-2
Mekhi Cameron G	23	5	4	0	2-9	1-5
Ty Owens G	16	0	2	3	0-3	0-2
Mekhi Turner F	11	4	4	0	2-3	0-0
Bench
Ja'Quavian Florence G	22	9	3	0	4-7	1-2
JaJuan Nicholls F	19	16	7	0	5-9	0-0
Jah'Kim Payne G	18	1	5	1	0-2	0-1
C.J. McPherson G	15	5	2	0	2-5	1-4
Jacobe Whitted F	12	0	3	2	0-3	0-1
Dani Pounds F	8	2	6	0	1-5	0-2
Owen Varnado F	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Maguire Evans, Hagan Preston, Grant Slatten, Colin Ayers

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	TNTC -5.5	TNTC -5.9	TNTC +0.4	L USI covered
Total	142.5	144.8	Over 2.3	L Under
Projected score	—	USI 69.5 · TNTC 75.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	TNTC -3.4	PK
1H total	67.8	54
1H projected score	USI 32.2 · TNTC 35.6	USI 27 · TNTC 27

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
USI LWWLL	5-9	36%	3-4	5-9
TNTC LLLLW	7-7	50%	1-3	1-2

Venue/role: USI away, as underdog; TNTC home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
USI UUOOU	5-9	36%	1-13
TNTC OOUUU	7-7	50%	4-10

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
USI	1-9 10%	4-6 40%	4-6 40%
TNTC	3-7 30%	4-6 40%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22

USI 1–5 TNTCTNTC leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · TNTC has won the last 2 meetings · USI 1-5 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Feb 1, 2024-25	TNTC 78 @ USI 65	USI -1.5	TNTC W
Jan 2, 2024-25	USI 64 @ TNTC 68	TNTC -3.5	TNTC W
Feb 1, 2023-24	USI 74 @ TNTC 71	TNTC -1.5	USI W
Jan 6, 2023-24	TNTC 73 @ USI 59	USI -2.5	TNTC W
Feb 23, 2022-23	TNTC 82 @ USI 79	USI -5.5	TNTC W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

14 games played

Straight up

1-13

7% wins

Against the spread

5-9

36% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

5-9

36% overs · avg −4.1 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-137%

L L L L L W L L L L L L L L

8 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

5-936%

L L L W W W L L L L W W L L

2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

5-936%

U U U O O U O U U U U O O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 5	@BTLR	L 58-88	+22.5	L −7.5	156.5	U 146
Nov 7	vsVMI	L 74-78	+2.5	L −1.5	153.5	U 152
Nov 12	@SDAK	L 74-89	+7.5	L −7.5	164.5	U 163
Nov 20	vsUIW	L 81-87	+9.5	W +3.5	145.5	O 168
Nov 22	vsUIC	L 73-84	+11.5	W +0.5	153.5	O 157
Nov 26	@VAL	W 64-56	+9.5	W +17.5	150.5	U 120
Dec 3	@WMU	L 74-88	+5.5	L −8.5	150.5	O 162
Dec 7	@INST	L 55-77	+11.5	L −10.5	158.5	U 132
Dec 18	vsLR	L 62-77	+2.5	L −12.5	140.5	U 139
Dec 20	vsMORE	L 60-64	+1.5	L −2.5	145.5	U 124
Jan 1	@SIUE	L 55-59	+10.5	W +6.5	136.5	U 114
Jan 3	@LIN	L 80-83	+9.5	W +6.5	147.5	O 163
Jan 8	vsSEMO	L 76-84	+7.5	L −0.5	146.5	O 160
Jan 10	vsUTM	L 56-73	+5.5	L −11.5	137.5	U 129

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

BTLR

L 58-88

−7.5

VMI

L 74-78

−1.5

SDAK

L 74-89

−7.5

UIW

L 81-87

+3.5

UIC

L 73-84

+0.5

VAL

W 64-56

+17.5

WMU

L 74-88

−8.5

INST

L 55-77

−10.5

L 62-77

−12.5

L 60-64

−2.5

SIUE

L 55-59

+6.5

LIN

L 80-83

+6.5

SEMO

L 76-84

−0.5

UTM

L 56-73

−11.5

covered 5didn’t cover 9avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

BTLR

L 58-88

−10.5

VMI

L 74-78

−1.5

SDAK

L 74-89

−1.5

UIW

L 81-87

+22.5

UIC

L 73-84

+3.5

VAL

W 64-56

−30.5

WMU

L 74-88

+11.5

INST

L 55-77

−26.5

L 62-77

−1.5

L 60-64

−21.5

SIUE

L 55-59

−22.5

LIN

L 80-83

+15.5

SEMO

L 76-84

+13.5

UTM

L 56-73

−8.5

over 5under 9avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Tennessee Tech

14 games played

Straight up

4-10

29% wins

Against the spread

7-7

50% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

7-7

50% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

4-1029%

L L L W L L L W W L L L L W

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

7-750%

W W L W L L W W W L L L L W

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

7-750%

U U U O O O O U O O O U U U

3 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@WKU	L 70-82	+14.5	W +2.5	153.5	U 152
Nov 7	@CLT	L 65-70	+12.5	W +7.5	146.5	U 135
Nov 17	vsWGA	L 59-61	-4.5	L −6.5	152.5	U 120
Nov 19	@UPST	W 88-84	+2.5	W +6.5	150.5	O 172
Nov 26	@UK	L 54-104	+37.5	L −12.5	157.5	O 158
Nov 29	@UGA	L 81-123	+34.5	L −7.5	160.5	O 204
Dec 3	@LIP	L 80-83	+10.5	W +7.5	152.5	O 163
Dec 6	@WGA	W 87-59	+1.5	W +29.5	150.5	U 146
Dec 18	vsSEMO	W 85-74	+2.5	W +13.5	155.5	O 159
Dec 20	vsUTM	L 62-86	+2.5	L −21.5	145.5	O 148
Dec 30	vsTNST	L 76-88	+1.5	L −10.5	155.5	O 164
Jan 1	@LR	L 58-77	+1.5	L −17.5	144.5	U 135
Jan 8	@EIU	L 61-71	-1.5	L −11.5	140.5	U 132
Jan 10	@WIU	W 59-54	-3.5	W +1.5	143.5	U 113

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

WKU

L 70-82

+2.5

CLT

L 65-70

+7.5

WGA

L 59-61

−6.5

UPST

W 88-84

+6.5

L 54-104

−12.5

UGA

L 81-123

−7.5

LIP

L 80-83

+7.5

WGA

W 87-59

+29.5

SEMO

W 85-74

+13.5

UTM

L 62-86

−21.5

TNST

L 76-88

−10.5

L 58-77

−17.5

EIU

L 61-71

−11.5

WIU

W 59-54

+1.5

covered 7didn’t cover 7avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

WKU

L 70-82

−1.5

CLT

L 65-70

−11.5

WGA

L 59-61

−32.5

UPST

W 88-84

+21.5

L 54-104

+0.5

UGA

L 81-123

+43.5

LIP

L 80-83

+10.5

WGA

W 87-59

−4.5

SEMO

W 85-74

+3.5

UTM

L 62-86

+2.5

TNST

L 76-88

+8.5

L 58-77

−9.5

EIU

L 61-71

−8.5

WIU

W 59-54

−30.5

over 7under 7avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles @ Tennessee Tech

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

Tennessee Tech

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

Tennessee Tech