UVI Sports & Fitness Center · Neutral site
Closing line
AKR -1.5✓ YALE covered by 4.5
AKR -1.5✓ YALE covered by 4.5Closing total156.5Over by 34.5
 YALE | This season | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | Record | 4-1 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 5-0 |
| 4-2 | O/U | 3-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: YALE 80–82 AKR · ✗ AKR (59%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YALE | 46 | 51 | 97 |
| AKR | 37 | 57 | 94 |
1st half: YALE 46, AKR 37 (YALE by 9). The model had AKR by 1.5 and a total of 75.8 (actual 83).
Team stats
| YALE | AKR | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-53 64% | Field goals | 38-61 62% |
| 8-17 47% | 3-pointers | 12-23 52% |
| 21-21 100% | Free throws | 6-9 67% |
| 22 7 off | Rebounds | 19 8 off |
| 21 | Assists | 17 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| YALE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Townsend F | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 8-14 | 1-2 |
| Isaac Celiscar F | 32 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 8-9 | 0-0 |
| Casey Simmons G | 29 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Trevor Mullin G | 24 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Samson Aletan C | 19 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devon Arlington G | 19 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Brathwaite G | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Riley Fox F | 16 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Courtney Wallace G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Sullivan F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jeannot Basima, Jacob Tsai, Alvin Loving, Daniel Ogunyemi
| AKR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavari Johnson G | 35 | 35 | 0 | 8 | 16-22 | 2-7 |
| Evan Mahaffey F | 33 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Shammah Scott G | 32 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 9-12 | 5-6 |
| Eric Mahaffey G | 24 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-1 |
| Amani Lyles F | 22 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sharron Young G | 17 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bowen Hardman G | 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali F | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ognjen Stankovic F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Chabi Barre F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rich Brisco, Conner Groce, Cody Head, Zach Halligan, Tai Perkins, Josh Henderson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAKR -1.5
no move
CloseAKR -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open156.5
no move
Close156.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AKR -1.5 · unchangedmodel AKR -2.5
model AKR -2.5
Opened 156.5 · unchangedmodel 161.5
model 161.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AKR -1.5 | AKR -2.7 | AKR +1.2 | L YALE covered |
| Total | 156.5 | 161.7 | Over 5.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | YALE 79.5 · AKR 82.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AKR -1.5 | YALE -9.0 |
| 1H total | 75.8 | 83 |
| 1H projected score | YALE 37.1 · AKR 38.6 | YALE 46 · AKR 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YALElast 6 | 5-1 83% | 3-3 50% | 4-2 67% |
| AKRlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 5-0 100% | 3-2 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
YALE 1–0 AKRYALE leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · YALE 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024-25 | AKR 58 vs YALE 74 | YALE -4.5 | YALE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Yale
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-2
67% overs · avg +3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+23.5
11
@
QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+30.5
15
vs
STBK
STBKW 86-79
−13.5
18
vs
URI
URIL 77-86
−17.5
21
vs
GB
GBW 73-67
−11.5
23
vs
COFC
COFCW 74-63
+4.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+17.5
11
@QUIN
QUINW 97-60
+0.5
15
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-79
+14.5
18
vsURI
URIL 77-86
+9.5
21
vsGB
GBW 73-67
−8.5
23
vsCOFC
COFCW 74-63
−11.5
over 4under 2avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Akron
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
5-0
100% covers · avg +12.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +5.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
JMU
JMUW 85-71
+5.5
8
vs
PRIN
PRINW 104-69
+21.5
16
@
PUR
PURL 79-97
+0.5
21
vs
IONA
IONAW 96-75
+9.5
23
vs
EVAN
EVANW 97-59
+26.5
covered 5didn’t cover 0avg +12.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+2.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+16.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+12.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
−2.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
−0.5
over 3under 2avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Yale
5-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Charleston74–63
- Wvs Green Bay73–67
- Lvs Rhode Island77–86
- Wvs Stony Brook86–79
- W@ Quinnipiac97–60
1 day since their last game.
Akron
4-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Evansville97–59
- Wvs Iona96–75
- L@ Purdue79–97
- Wvs Princeton104–69
- Wvs James Madison85–71
1 day since their last game.