John Hurst Adams Gymnasium · Neutral site
Closing line
ACU -2.5✓ ACU covered by 8.5
ACU -2.5✓ ACU covered by 8.5Closing total144.5Under by 33.5
 UTSA | This season | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 1-2 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 0-3 |
| 2-1 | O/U | 0-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTSA 73–74 ACU · ✓ ACU (53%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | 26 | 24 | 50 |
| ACU | 39 | 22 | 61 |
1st half: UTSA 26, ACU 39 (ACU by 13). The model had ACU by 0.3 and a total of 68.9 (actual 65).
Team stats
| UTSA | ACU | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-44 36% | Field goals | 20-58 34% |
| 3-15 20% | 3-pointers | 9-22 41% |
| 15-27 56% | Free throws | 12-17 71% |
| 32 9 off | Rebounds | 44 19 off |
| 5 | Assists | 11 |
| 11 | Steals | 12 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| UTSA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamir Simpson G | 36 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 5-13 | 2-6 |
| Dorian Hayes G | 36 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Austin Nunez G | 33 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Kaidon Rayfield F | 21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Matheo Coffi F | 18 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Baboucarr Njie F | 27 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Macaleab Rich G | 16 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Brent Moss G | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Vasean Allette, Pierce Spencer, Daniel Akitoby, Jackson Fazande, LJ Brown, Mo Njie, Stanley Borden
| ACU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradyn Hubbard F | 34 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 7-21 | 2-6 |
| Rich Smith G | 34 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-1 |
| Joseph Venzant G | 29 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Cbo Newton G | 15 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Joseph Scott F | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ma'Shy Hill F | 24 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Yaniel Rivera G | 24 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Christian Alston G | 14 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 3-4 |
| Zy Wright G | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Cade Hornecker F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tylan Lewis G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaiah Neyhart, Isaac Dye
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketACU -2.5
ModelACU -0.8
Model edgeUTSA +1.8
L ACU covered
Total
Market144.5
Model147.1
Model edgeOver 2.6
L Under
Projected score
UTSA 73.2 · ACU 73.9
UTSA 50 · ACU 61
Win probability
ACU 53%
1st half
Spread
ACU -0.3
ACU -13.0
Total
68.9
65 points
Projected score
UTSA 34.3 · ACU 34.6
UTSA 26 · ACU 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenACU -1.5
1 → ACU
CloseACU -2.5
1 pt toward ACU
Total
Open146.5
▼ 2
Close144.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UTSA +115 · ACU -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ACU -1.5 · closed ACU -2.5 · moved 1 toward ACUmodel ACU -1
model ACU -1
Opened 146.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 2 downmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTSAlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% |
| ACUlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 0-3 0% | 0-3 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UTSA
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −7.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
SIUE
SIUEL 60-77
−23.5
12
@
TXST
TXSTL 69-80
−8.5
15
@
DEN
DENW 84-79
+9.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsSIUE
SIUEL 60-77
−16.5
12
@TXST
TXSTL 69-80
+1.5
15
@DEN
DENW 84-79
+14.5
over 2under 1avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Abilene Chrstn
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
0-3
0% covers · avg −6.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-3
0% overs · avg −11.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vs
OMA
OMAW 73-71
−2.5
14
@
SFA
SFAL 66-76
−3.5
18
@TXST
TXSTL 49-63
−12.5
covered 0didn’t cover 3avg −6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsOMA
OMAW 73-71
−6.5
14
@SFA
SFAL 66-76
−0.5
18
@TXST
TXSTL 49-63
−26.5
over 0under 3avg −11.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UTSA
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Denver84–79
- L@ Texas St69–80
- Lvs SIUE60–77
A week or more of rest.
Abilene Chrstn
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Texas St49–63
- L@ SF Austin66–76
- Wvs Omaha73–71
6 days since their last game.