First Horizon Coliseum · at UNC Greensboro
Closing line
UNCG -1.5✓ APSU covered by 7.5
UNCG -1.5✓ APSU covered by 7.5Closing total145.5Under by 13.5
 APSU | This season | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 0-3 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 0-3 |
| 0-2 | O/U | 3-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: APSU 74–75 UNCG · ✗ UNCG (52%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| APSU | 33 | 36 | 69 |
| UNCG | 27 | 36 | 63 |
1st half: APSU 33, UNCG 27 (APSU by 6). The model had UNCG by 0.2 and a total of 69.9 (actual 60).
Team stats
| APSU | UNCG | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-65 40% | Field goals | 21-54 39% |
| 7-25 28% | 3-pointers | 6-24 25% |
| 10-16 63% | Free throws | 15-24 63% |
| 43 11 off | Rebounds | 35 5 off |
| 12 | Assists | 14 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| APSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Parker F | 33 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 9-16 | 2-5 |
| Tate McCubbin G | 31 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 4-12 | 3-8 |
| Rashaud Marshall F | 28 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Zyree Collins PG | 25 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5-13 | 1-3 |
| Anton Brookshire PG | 22 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1-9 | 0-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ja'Corey Robinson G | 21 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Quan Lax G | 18 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Creighton Morisch F | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Matt Enright PG | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Hansel Enmanuel PG | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Wagner G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Travis Torain, Terrell Gaines
| UNCG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Whitehead Jr. G | 37 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Justin Neely F | 35 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 7-11 | 1-3 |
| KJ Younger G | 26 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Lilian Marville G | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Domas Kauzonas F | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Valentino Pinedo F | 28 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Noah Norgaard G | 21 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Clinton Efinda F | 18 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Landon King G | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Assane Mandian G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordan Brown, Clyde Bailey II, Chane Bynum, Braylen Bowman, Antwann Jones
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNCG -1.5
ModelUNCG -0.6
Model edgeAPSU +0.9
W APSU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model149.2
Model edgeOver 3.7
L Under
Projected score
APSU 74.3 · UNCG 74.9
APSU 69 · UNCG 63
Win probability
UNCG 52%
1st half
Spread
UNCG -0.2
APSU -6.0
Total
69.9
60 points
Projected score
APSU 34.9 · UNCG 35
APSU 33 · UNCG 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCG -2.5
1 → APSU
CloseUNCG -1.5
1 pt toward APSU
Total
Open144.5
▲ 1
Close145.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
APSU +100 · UNCG -120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCG -2.5 · closed UNCG -1.5 · moved 1 toward APSUmodel UNCG -0.5
model UNCG -0.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 1 upmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| APSUlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 0-2 0% |
| UNCGlast 3 | 0-3 0% | 0-3 0% | 3-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Austin Peay
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
AF
AFW 74-54
+18.5
11
@
WYO
WYOL 65-79
−8.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@AF
AFW 74-54
−8.5
11
@WYO
WYOL 65-79
−9.5
over 0under 2avg −9 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNC Greensboro
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
0-3
0% covers · avg −10.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-0
100% overs · avg +22.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
KSU
KSUL 64-93
−10.5
8
vs
ELON
ELONL 90-92
−6.5
12
@
NCSU
NCSUL 64-110
−15.5
covered 0didn’t cover 3avg −10.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@KSU
KSUL 64-93
+8.5
8
vsELON
ELONL 90-92
+39.5
12
@NCSU
NCSUL 64-110
+20.5
over 3under 0avg +22.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Austin Peay
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wyoming65–79
- W@ Air Force74–54
4 days since their last game.
UNC Greensboro
0-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ NC State64–110
- Lvs Elon90–92
- L@ Kansas St64–93
3 days since their last game.