Baptist Health Arena · at E Kentucky
Closing line
WOF -1.5✓ WOF covered by 4.5
WOF -1.5✓ WOF covered by 4.5Closing total153.5Over by 6.5
| WOF | This season | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | Record | 0-5 |
| 2-4 | ATS | 0-5 |
| 5-1 | O/U | 3-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WOF 79–79 EKU · ✓ EKU (50%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WOF | 37 | 46 | 83 |
| EKU | 28 | 49 | 77 |
1st half: WOF 37, EKU 28 (WOF by 9). The model had WOF by 0.1 and a total of 73.8 (actual 65).
Team stats
| WOF | EKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-62 40% | Field goals | 27-72 38% |
| 9-29 31% | 3-pointers | 10-33 30% |
| 24-32 75% | Free throws | 13-16 81% |
| 42 13 off | Rebounds | 46 16 off |
| 15 | Assists | 19 |
| 6 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| WOF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Flynn G | 38 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Nils Machowski G | 35 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 1-7 | 1-7 |
| Kahmare Holmes G | 33 | 30 | 8 | 3 | 10-13 | 4-5 |
| Cayden Vasko G | 31 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 5-15 | 2-7 |
| Rex Stirling F | 21 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brian Sumpter F | 17 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Brendan Rigsbee G | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Chace Watley G | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Max Ortega G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Cannon Richards, Jayden Tyler, Alessandro Perotti, Grayson Collins, Davis Miller, Callum Richard
| EKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Ball F | 33 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 6-16 | 3-9 |
| MJ Williams G | 33 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Yvens Paul F | 30 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-0 |
| Jackson Holt G | 29 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-4 |
| Juan Cranford Jr. G | 12 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Turner Buttry G | 30 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 4-11 | 1-4 |
| Jayden Harris F | 23 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 4-11 | 1-5 |
| Tyler Jackson G | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Asa White C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Montavious Myrick, Amarr Knox, Trey Coles, Rydge Beverly, Mason Miles, Jalen Cooper
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWOF -1.5
ModelEKU -0.0
Model edgeEKU +1.5
L WOF covered
Total
Market153.5
Model157.7
Model edgeOver 4.2
W Over
Projected score
WOF 78.9 · EKU 78.9
WOF 83 · EKU 77
Win probability
EKU 50%
1st half
Spread
WOF -0.1
WOF -9.0
Total
73.8
65 points
Projected score
WOF 37 · EKU 36.8
WOF 37 · EKU 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWOF -1.5
no move
CloseWOF -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open160.5
▼ 7
Close153.5
Down 7 since the open
Moneyline
WOF -120 · EKU +100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WOF -1.5 · unchangedmodel EKU -0
model EKU -0
Opened 160.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 7 downmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WOFlast 6 | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% | 5-1 83% |
| EKUlast 5 | 0-5 0% | 0-5 0% | 3-2 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wofford
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-1
83% overs · avg +7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
GMU
GMUL 46-70
−9.5
8
vs
MILW
MILWW 86-76
+13.5
11
@
AUB
AUBL 62-93
−3.5
15
@
BELL
BELLW 94-86
+4.5
19
vs
UNF
UNFW 86-78
−2.5
26
@
NKU
NKUL 83-93
−6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GMU
GMUL 46-70
−24.5
8
vsMILW
MILWW 86-76
+11.5
11
@AUB
AUBL 62-93
+2.5
15
@BELL
BELLW 94-86
+23.5
19
vsUNF
UNFW 86-78
+2.5
26
@NKU
NKUL 83-93
+26.5
over 5under 1avg +7 ptslonger = bigger margin
E Kentucky
5 games played
Straight up
0-5
0% wins
Against the spread
0-5
0% covers · avg −7.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
vs
WKU
WKUL 79-87
−6.5
12
@
VAN
VANL 62-92
−1.5
18
@
KENT
KENTL 78-93
−4.5
22
vs
MER
MERL 83-95
−16.5
24
@NKU
NKUL 71-82
−6.5
covered 0didn’t cover 5avg −7.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
vsWKU
WKUL 79-87
+3.5
12
@VAN
VANL 62-92
−14.5
18
@KENT
KENTL 78-93
+9.5
22
vsMER
MERL 83-95
+14.5
24
@NKU
NKUL 71-82
−3.5
over 3under 2avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wofford
3-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ N Kentucky83–93
- Wvs North Florida86–78
- W@ Bellarmine94–86
- L@ Auburn62–93
- Wvs Milwaukee86–76
3 days since their last game.
E Kentucky
0-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ N Kentucky71–82
- Lvs Mercer83–95
- L@ Kent State78–93
- L@ Vanderbilt62–92
- Lvs Western KY79–87
5 days since their last game.