John M. Belk Arena · at Davidson
Closing line
DAV -13.5✓ DAV covered by 2.5
DAV -13.5✓ DAV covered by 2.5Closing total145.5Over by 18.5
 NCAT | This season | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 4-1 |
| 3-0 | ATS | 3-2 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 3-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NCAT 67–79 DAV · ✓ DAV (84%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCAT | 38 | 36 | 74 |
| DAV | 47 | 43 | 90 |
1st half: NCAT 38, DAV 47 (DAV by 9). The model had DAV by 6.7 and a total of 68.3 (actual 85).
Team stats
| NCAT | DAV | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-47 51% | Field goals | 31-55 56% |
| 8-17 47% | 3-pointers | 8-17 47% |
| 18-30 60% | Free throws | 20-35 57% |
| 29 7 off | Rebounds | 35 11 off |
| 8 | Assists | 16 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 26 | Fouls | 22 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| NCAT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Walker F | 35 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 7-10 | 2-3 |
| Trent Middleton Jr. G | 28 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 4-7 | 1-4 |
| Brooklyn Vick G | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Ogletree G | 22 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Amadou Doumbia F | 22 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dwayne Pierce G | 27 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-9 | 1-4 |
| Zamoku Weluche-Ume F | 18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| KJ Debrick F | 16 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Mujahiid Burton G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Will Felton C | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Efstratios Kalliontzis, Yancarlos Cueto, Lo Walker, Chanler Montgomery, Uchenna Kellman-Nicholes, Jalal McKie
| DAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Scovens F | 34 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 7-12 | 1-1 |
| Devin Brown G | 28 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Ian Platteeuw C | 24 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Parker Friedrichsen G | 19 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Sam Brown G | 18 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nick Coval G | 27 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Manie Joses F | 17 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| JaQualon Roberts F | 16 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Roberts Blums G | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| RJ Greer G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Phillip Kavu, Brock Matheny, John Nowland, Joe Hurlburt, Sean Logan, Hunter Adam
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDAV -13.5
ModelDAV -11.4
Model edgeNCAT +2.1
L DAV covered
Total
Market145.5
Model145.9
Model edgeOver 0.4
W Over
Projected score
NCAT 67.2 · DAV 78.6
NCAT 74 · DAV 90
Win probability
DAV 84%
1st half
Spread
DAV -6.7
DAV -9.0
Total
68.3
85 points
Projected score
NCAT 30.8 · DAV 37.5
NCAT 38 · DAV 47
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDAV -14.5
1 → NCAT
CloseDAV -13.5
1 pt toward NCAT
Total
Open148.5
▼ 3
Close145.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
NCAT +800 · DAV -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DAV -14.5 · closed DAV -13.5 · moved 1 toward NCATmodel DAV -11.5
model DAV -11.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 3 downmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCATlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 3-0 100% | 1-2 33% |
| DAVlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% | 3-2 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
NC A&T
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
3-0
100% covers · avg +9.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
SC
SCL 72-91
+3.5
10
vs
SCST
SCSTW 85-62
+20.5
18
@
MORG
MORGW 79-73
+3.5
covered 3didn’t cover 0avg +9.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@SC
SCL 72-91
+19.5
10
vsSCST
SCSTW 85-62
−12.5
18
@MORG
MORGW 79-73
−9.5
over 1under 2avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Davidson
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg −3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
WSU
WSUW 85-69
+11.5
11
@
CLT
CLTW 62-55
+8.5
15
vs
BGSU
BGSUW 91-87
−0.5
21
vs
BC
BCW 59-49
+11.5
23
vs
USU
USUL 60-94
−24.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsWSU
WSUW 85-69
+0.5
11
@CLT
CLTW 62-55
−26.5
15
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-87
+33.5
21
vsBC
BCW 59-49
−32.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 60-94
+6.5
over 3under 2avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
NC A&T
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Morgan St79–73
- Wvs SC State85–62
- L@ South Carolina72–91
A week or more of rest.
Davidson
4-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Utah State60–94
- Wvs Boston College59–49
- Wvs Bowling Green91–87
- W@ Charlotte62–55
- Wvs Washington St85–69
5 days since their last game.