XFINITY Center · at Maryland
Closing line
MD -29.5✓ ALCN covered by 9.5
Closing total146.5Over by 1.5
| This season | MD | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | Record | 1-1 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 0-2 |
| 2-1 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALCN 59–87 MD · ✓ MD (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALCN | 27 | 37 | 64 |
| MD | 33 | 51 | 84 |
1st half: ALCN 27, MD 33 (MD by 6). The model had MD by 16.6 and a total of 68.6 (actual 60).
Team stats
| ALCN | MD | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-54 44% | Field goals | 28-56 50% |
| 9-23 39% | 3-pointers | 8-28 29% |
| 7-11 64% | Free throws | 20-27 74% |
| 25 8 off | Rebounds | 37 14 off |
| 13 | Assists | 14 |
| 10 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 20 | Fouls | 11 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| ALCN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Woodard SF | 27 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Travis Roberts SG | 25 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 5-10 | 4-8 |
| Davian Williams PG | 25 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Tycen McDaniels F | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Mike Jones SG | 18 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jameel Morris G | 28 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 9-12 | 3-5 |
| Shane Lancaster G | 24 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Omari Hamilton F | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| William Henderson F | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Jeremy Ellis PF | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Calamese PG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ray Glasgow, Alex Hawkins
| MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Coit G | 32 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Pharrel Payne F | 30 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Andre Mills G | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 6-10 | 3-6 |
| Elijah Saunders F | 26 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Darius Adams G | 26 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Watts G | 21 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Aleks Alston F | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Guillermo Del Pino G | 13 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| George Turkson Jr. G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Collin Metcalf C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rakease Passmore, Solomon Washington, Jaziah Harper, Nick Blake, Lukas Sotell, Myles Rice
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMD -29.5
ModelMD -27.7
Model edgeALCN +1.8
W ALCN covered
Total
Market146.5
Model146.4
Model edgeUnder 0.1
L Over
Projected score
ALCN 59.4 · MD 87
ALCN 64 · MD 84
Win probability
MD 99%
1st half
Spread
MD -16.6
MD -6.0
Total
68.6
60 points
Projected score
ALCN 26 · MD 42.6
ALCN 27 · MD 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMD -30.5
1 → ALCN
CloseMD -29.5
1 pt toward ALCN
Total
Open151.5
▼ 5
Close146.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MD -30.5 · closed MD -29.5 · moved 1 toward ALCNmodel MD -27.5
model MD -27.5
Opened 151.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 5 downmodel 146.5 matches the line
model 146.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-3 0% | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% | |
| 1-1 50% | 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ALCN 0–2 MDMD leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · MD has won the last 2 meetings · ALCN 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024-25 | ALCN 58 @ MD 96 | MD -34.5 | MD W |
| Dec 12, 2023-24 | ALCN 65 @ MD 105 | MD -22.5 | MD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alcorn St
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +8.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
FSU
L 76-108
−4.5
6
@
USA
L 70-76
+12.5
8
@
MINN
L 50-95
−13.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
FSU
L 76-108
+27.5
6
@
USA
L 70-76
+4.5
8
@
MINN
L 50-95
−7.5
over 2under 1avg +8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Maryland
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
0-2
0% covers · avg −10.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
COPP
W 83-61
−6.5
7
vs
GTWN
L 60-70
−14.5
covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
COPP
W 83-61
+4.5
7
vs
GTWN
L 60-70
−14.5
over 1under 1avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alcorn St
0-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Minnesota50–95
- L@ South Alabama70–76
- L@ Florida St76–108
3 days since their last game.
Maryland
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Georgetown60–70
- Wvs Coppin St83–61
4 days since their last game.