Food City Center · at Tennessee
Closing line
TENN -26.5✓ RICE covered by 1.5
TENN -26.5✓ RICE covered by 1.5Closing total143.5Over by 13.5
 RICE | This season | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 3-0 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 1-2 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RICE 60–83 TENN · ✓ TENN (98%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICE | 26 | 40 | 66 |
| TENN | 39 | 52 | 91 |
1st half: RICE 26, TENN 39 (TENN by 13). The model had TENN by 13.9 and a total of 67.0 (actual 65).
Team stats
| RICE | TENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-60 33% | Field goals | 34-65 52% |
| 8-28 29% | 3-pointers | 6-19 32% |
| 18-25 72% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 31 14 off | Rebounds | 47 18 off |
| 8 | Assists | 23 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 52 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| RICE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Smith G | 29 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
| Nick Anderson G | 29 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 6-16 | 3-7 |
| Trae Broadnax G | 24 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0-16 | 0-8 |
| Jimmy Oladokun Jr. F | 18 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Andrew Akuchie F | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam Carroll G | 23 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Stephen Giwa C | 18 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Eternity Eguagie F | 17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dallas Hobbs G | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bodey Howell G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Evan Cochran F | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Presley Patterson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trey Patterson, George Perkins, Aaron Powell, Cole Andrews-Heitz, Jordan Williams
| TENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie G | 33 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 6-12 | 3-6 |
| Felix Okpara F | 27 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 8-10 | 0-1 |
| Nate Ament F | 25 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 6-13 | 0-4 |
| Amaree Abram G | 22 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Cade Phillips F | 17 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ethan Burg G | 24 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 3-7 | 3-5 |
| Jaylen Carey F | 17 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Troy Henderson G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| DeWayne Brown II F | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| J.P. Estrella F | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Amari Evans G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Clarence Massamba G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Grant Hurst, Campbell Duncan, Gavin Paull, Bishop Boswell
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTENN -26.5
ModelTENN -23.3
Model edgeRICE +3.2
W RICE covered
Total
Market143.5
Model143.1
Model edgeUnder 0.4
L Over
Projected score
RICE 59.9 · TENN 83.2
RICE 66 · TENN 91
Win probability
TENN 98%
1st half
Spread
TENN -13.9
TENN -13.0
Total
67.0
65 points
Projected score
RICE 26.6 · TENN 40.5
RICE 26 · TENN 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTENN -27.5
1 → RICE
CloseTENN -26.5
1 pt toward RICE
Total
Open143.5
no move
Close143.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
RICE +3000 · TENN -10000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TENN -27.5 · closed TENN -26.5 · moved 1 toward RICEmodel TENN -23.5
model TENN -23.5
Opened 143.5 · unchangedmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICElast 3 | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% |
| TENNlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Rice
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −8.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
ORE
OREL 63-67
+11.5
11
vs
SFA
SFAL 69-81
−14.5
14
vs
ETAM
ETAMW 71-64
−3.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@ORE
OREL 63-67
−15.5
11
vsSFA
SFAL 69-81
+0.5
14
vsETAM
ETAMW 71-64
−11.5
over 1under 2avg −8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tennessee
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MER
MERW 76-61
−13.5
8
vs
NKU
NKUW 95-56
+11.5
12
vs
UNF
UNFW 99-66
−8.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMER
MERW 76-61
−6.5
8
vsNKU
NKUW 95-56
+13.5
12
vsUNF
UNFW 99-66
+9.5
over 2under 1avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Rice
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs East Texas A&M71–64
- Lvs SF Austin69–81
- L@ Oregon63–67
3 days since their last game.
Tennessee
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs North Florida99–66
- Wvs N Kentucky95–56
- Wvs Mercer76–61
5 days since their last game.