Army Black Knights at Cornell Big Red: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Nov 18, 8:30 PM ETNewman Arena · at Cornell

#288ARMYArmy73final

Final

#179CORCornell86▲ winner

Closing lineCOR -17.5✓ ARMY covered by 4.5

Closing total164.5Under by 5.5

Season records: Army and Cornell
ARMY	This season	COR
0-3	Record	1-2
1-2	ATS	1-2
2-1	O/U	2-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: ARMY 75–90 COR · ✓ COR (91%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
ARMY	28	45	73
COR	39	47	86

1st half: ARMY 28, COR 39 (COR by 11). The model had COR by 9.1 and a total of 77.5 (actual 67).

Team stats

ARMY		COR
24-65 37%	Field goals	29-58 50%
6-29 21%	3-pointers	12-25 48%
19-24 79%	Free throws	16-28 57%
36 8 off	Rebounds	41 8 off
10	Assists	20
8	Steals	5
0	Blocks	2
10	Turnovers	15
22	Fouls	20
36	Points in paint	32
11	Fast-break points	14

Players

ARMY	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Ryan Curry G	35	13	2	6	3-14	0-7
Jacen Holloway F	33	22	3	2	9-14	2-4
Kevin McCarthy G	28	5	6	1	2-7	0-3
Tate Laczkowski F	24	1	7	0	0-0	0-0
Jorn Everson F	20	24	2	0	8-15	4-7
Bench
Jackson Furman G	18	4	2	0	2-7	0-4
Jaxson Bell G	13	0	6	1	0-5	0-2
Joshua Eli F	12	4	3	0	0-1	0-0
Alex Engro G	5	0	1	0	0-1	0-1
Dayon Polk G	5	0	2	0	0-1	0-1
Dillon Watt G	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Dylan Benner F	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Dylan Murans F	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Jackson Mayo G	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Jahaan Green, Nnaemeka Ikechi, Brendon O'Keefe, Chanse Perkins

COR	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Adam Hinton G	27	15	9	4	7-15	1-3
Cooper Noard G	27	16	3	0	5-9	1-4
DJ Nix F	26	12	2	3	5-11	1-5
Kaspar Sepp F	23	7	10	0	1-2	1-1
Jacob Beccles G	17	2	3	4	0-3	0-1
Bench
Corbin Zentner G	22	12	1	1	4-6	4-5
Mateen Rafiq G	16	12	1	1	4-5	3-4
Anthony Nimani G	15	4	3	2	1-2	0-0
Gioacchino Panzini F	10	1	1	1	0-0	0-0
DaMaryon Fishburn G	8	0	1	2	0-0	0-0
Ian Imegwu F	6	5	3	2	2-5	1-2
Ryan Burbach G	3	0	2	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Blake Lecklitner, Jax Abalos, Elijah Griffin, AJ Rodriguez, Ty Iwanonkiw, Jake Fiegen, AJ LaBeau, Josh Baldwin

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	COR -17.5	COR -15.4	ARMY +2.1	W ARMY covered
Total	164.5	165.4	Over 0.9	L Under
Projected score	—	ARMY 75 · COR 90.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	COR -9.1	COR -11.0
1H total	77.5	67
1H projected score	ARMY 34.2 · COR 43.3	ARMY 28 · COR 39

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARMY WLL	1-2	33%	1-0	1-2
COR LLW	1-2	33%	—	1-0

Venue/role: ARMY away, as underdog; COR home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARMY OOU	2-1	67%	0-3
COR OUO	2-1	67%	1-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARMYlast 3	0-3 0%	1-2 33%	2-1 67%
CORlast 3	1-2 33%	1-2 33%	2-1 67%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

ARMY 0–1 CORCOR leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ARMY 0-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 8, 2024-25	COR 103 @ ARMY 84	ARMY +3.5	COR W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Army

3 games played

Straight up

0-3

0% wins

Against the spread

1-2

33% covers · avg −8.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-1

67% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-30%

L L L

3 straight losses0 of 3 won

Against the spread

1-233%

W L L

2 straight misses ATS1 of 3 covered

Over / Under

2-167%

O O U

2 of 3 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@STMN	L 76-83	+18.5	W +11.5	151.5	O 159
Nov 11	vsDUKE	L 59-114	+33.5	L −21.5	152.5	O 173
Nov 15	vsHARV	L 52-75	+6.5	L −16.5	146.5	U 127

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

STMN

L 76-83

+11.5

DUKE

L 59-114

−21.5

HARV

L 52-75

−16.5

covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

STMN

L 76-83

+7.5

DUKE

L 59-114

+20.5

HARV

L 52-75

−19.5

over 2under 1avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Cornell

3 games played

Straight up

1-2

33% wins

Against the spread

1-2

33% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-1

67% overs · avg +12.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-233%

L L W

1 of 3 wonno streak

Against the spread

1-233%

L L W

1 of 3 coveredno streak

Over / Under

2-167%

O U O

2 of 3 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@KENT	L 102-110	+6.5	L −1.5	164.5	O 212
Nov 9	@ILST	L 65-76	+6.5	L −4.5	164.5	U 141
Nov 13	@LAF	W 97-78	-4.5	W +14.5	160.5	O 175

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

KENT

L 102-110

−1.5

ILST

L 65-76

−4.5

LAF

W 97-78

+14.5

covered 1didn’t cover 2avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

KENT

L 102-110

+47.5

ILST

L 65-76

−23.5

LAF

W 97-78

+14.5

over 2under 1avg +12.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Army @ Cornell

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Army

Cornell

Army

Cornell