Amica Mutual Pavilion · at Providence
Closing line
PROV -29.5✓ PROV covered by 2.5
PROV -29.5✓ PROV covered by 2.5Closing total161.5Over by 2.5
 UNH | This season | PROV |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | Record | 2-2 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 1-3 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 4-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNH 66–93 PROV · ✓ PROV (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNH | 31 | 35 | 66 |
| PROV | 38 | 60 | 98 |
1st half: UNH 31, PROV 38 (PROV by 7). The model had PROV by 16.3 and a total of 74.5 (actual 69).
Team stats
| UNH | PROV | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-64 39% | Field goals | 37-66 56% |
| 8-28 29% | 3-pointers | 10-26 38% |
| 8-9 89% | Free throws | 14-22 64% |
| 34 14 off | Rebounds | 40 14 off |
| 13 | Assists | 21 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 54 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| UNH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Graham G | 32 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 9-19 | 3-8 |
| Davide Poser F | 31 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| John Squire F | 26 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Belal El Shakery F | 26 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 6-16 | 0-4 |
| R.J. Kennedy G | 19 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Comeh Emuobor F | 23 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2-9 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Bike G | 19 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Jon O'Neill F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Giannos Xanthopoulos C | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Dylan Saunders F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Myles Blackley G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nick Sanford G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Antoni Siewruk G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: KiJan Robinson
| PROV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Vaaks G | 30 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 3-5 | 3-4 |
| Jason Edwards G | 30 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 8-11 | 3-6 |
| Jaylin Sellers G | 25 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 7-14 | 2-8 |
| Ryan Mela G | 25 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse F | 21 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamier Jones G | 24 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 6-11 | 1-2 |
| Cole Hargrove F | 17 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Harrell G | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Nilavan Daniels G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jack Williams G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Peteris Pinnis F | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rich Barron, Daquan Davis, Corey Floyd Jr., Duncan Powell
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPROV -27.5
2 → PROV
ClosePROV -29.5
2 pts toward PROV
Total
Open164.5
▼ 3
Close161.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
UNH +4000 · PROV -100000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PROV -27.5 · closed PROV -29.5 · moved 2 toward PROVmodel PROV -27
model PROV -27
Opened 164.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 3 downmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PROV -29.5 | PROV -27.2 | UNH +2.3 | L PROV covered |
| Total | 161.5 | 159.1 | Under 2.4 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | UNH 66 · PROV 93.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PROV -16.3 | PROV -7.0 |
| 1H total | 74.5 | 69 |
| 1H projected score | UNH 29.1 · PROV 45.4 | UNH 31 · PROV 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNHlast 3 | 0-3 0% | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% |
| PROVlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% | 4-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UNH 0–1 PROVPROV leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UNH 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021-22 | UNH 58 @ PROV 69 | PROV -13.5 | UNH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
New Hampshire
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −15.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CLEM
CLEML 38-88
−20.5
9
@
HARV
HARVL 75-86
+4.5
15
@
GMU
GMUL 44-61
+7.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLEM
CLEML 38-88
−20.5
9
@HARV
HARVL 75-86
+13.5
15
@GMU
GMUL 44-61
−39.5
over 1under 2avg −15.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Providence
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-0
100% overs · avg +25.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
HC
HCW 89-79
−13.5
8
vs
VT
VTL 101-107
−8.5
11
vs
PENN
PENNW 106-81
+5.5
14
@
COLO
COLOL 88-97
−7.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
+15.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
+50.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+14.5
14
@COLO
COLOL 88-97
+21.5
over 4under 0avg +25.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Hampshire
0-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ George Mason44–61
- L@ Harvard75–86
- L@ Clemson38–88
3 days since their last game.
Providence
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Colorado88–97
- Wvs Penn106–81
- Lvs Virginia Tech101–107
- Wvs Holy Cross89–79
4 days since their last game.