Qubein Center · at High Point
Closing line
HPU -16.5✓ HPU covered by 3.5
HPU -16.5✓ HPU covered by 3.5Closing total159.5Over by 6.5
 WCU | This season | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 5-1 |
| 1-4 | ATS | 3-3 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WCU 72–89 HPU · ✓ HPU (93%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WCU | 43 | 30 | 73 |
| HPU | 45 | 48 | 93 |
1st half: WCU 43, HPU 45 (HPU by 2). The model had HPU by 10.3 and a total of 75.4 (actual 88).
Team stats
| WCU | HPU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-56 48% | Field goals | 33-58 57% |
| 8-25 32% | 3-pointers | 12-25 48% |
| 11-18 61% | Free throws | 15-21 71% |
| 29 9 off | Rebounds | 29 8 off |
| 18 | Assists | 12 |
| 8 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 21 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| WCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Kell F | 32 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 11-19 | 2-6 |
| Cord Stansberry G | 31 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3-10 | 3-8 |
| Julien Soumaoro G | 30 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4-9 | 3-7 |
| Abdulai Fanta Kabba C | 29 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Tidjiane Dioumassi G | 19 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tahlan Pettway G | 20 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Fischer Brown G | 13 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Samuel Dada F | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tayeshaun Smith F | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Justin Johnson F | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Vernon Collins Jr. F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: CJ Hyland, Max Williams, Titian DeRosa, Chase McKey, Drew Hollifield
| HPU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam'Ron Fletcher F | 30 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10-15 | 2-3 |
| Owen Aquino F | 30 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Terry Anderson F | 26 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 5-5 | 1-1 |
| Rob Martin G | 25 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 6-11 | 1-5 |
| Chase Johnston G | 17 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Conrad Martinez G | 28 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Scotty Washington G | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Braden Hausen F | 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Caden Miller F | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Babacar Diallo G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| David Fonville G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Josh Ibukunoluwa F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mavrick Miller, Liam Carney, Birgir Irving, Vincent Brady II, Dorian Grosber, Kasen Krueger, Youssouf Singar
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHPU -16.5
ModelHPU -17.3
Model edgeHPU +0.8
W HPU covered
Total
Market159.5
Model161.2
Model edgeOver 1.7
W Over
Projected score
WCU 71.9 · HPU 89.2
WCU 73 · HPU 93
Win probability
HPU 93%
1st half
Spread
HPU -10.3
HPU -2.0
Total
75.4
88 points
Projected score
WCU 32.6 · HPU 42.9
WCU 43 · HPU 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHPU -17.5
1 → WCU
CloseHPU -16.5
1 pt toward WCU
Total
Open159.5
no move
Close159.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
WCU +1000 · HPU -1800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HPU -17.5 · closed HPU -16.5 · moved 1 toward WCUmodel HPU -17.5
model HPU -17.5
Opened 159.5 · unchangedmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WCUlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 1-4 20% | 2-3 40% |
| HPUlast 6 | 5-1 83% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
WCU 0–1 HPUHPU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · WCU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2023-24 | WCU 71 @ HPU 97 | HPU PK | HPU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
W Carolina
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
1-4
20% covers · avg −4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CIN
CINL 63-94
−8.5
8
@
DUKE
DUKEL 54-95
−4.5
16
vs
STET
STETW 76-65
−1.5
19
vs
UNCA
UNCAW 80-73
+8.5
22
@
LIP
LIPL 62-83
−15.5
covered 1didn’t cover 4avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CIN
CINL 63-94
+13.5
8
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-95
−3.5
16
vsSTET
STETW 76-65
−14.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 80-73
+0.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 62-83
−6.5
over 2under 3avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
High Point
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg +4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg +2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
FUR
FURW 97-71
+22.5
11
vs
JAX
JAXW 85-64
+3.5
14
@
UAB
UABL 74-91
−18.5
17
vs
CAN
CANW 93-50
+19.5
20
vs
UIC
UICW 90-80
−0.5
22
vs
UIW
UIWW 91-80
−1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+14.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
−7.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−3.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
−9.5
20
vsUIC
UICW 90-80
+11.5
22
vsUIW
UIWW 91-80
+10.5
over 3under 3avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
W Carolina
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Lipscomb62–83
- Wvs UNC Asheville80–73
- Wvs Stetson76–65
- L@ Duke54–95
- L@ Cincinnati63–94
A week or more of rest.
High Point
5-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Incarnate Word91–80
- Wvs UIC90–80
- Wvs Canisius93–50
- L@ UAB74–91
- Wvs Jacksonville85–64
A week or more of rest.