Kimmel Arena · at UNC Asheville
Closing line
UNCA -6.5✓ LIP covered by 1.5
UNCA -6.5✓ LIP covered by 1.5Closing total158.5Under by 25.5
 LIP | This season | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 0-2 |
| 0-2 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 2-0 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIP 77–81 UNCA · ✓ UNCA (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIP | 25 | 39 | 64 |
| UNCA | 29 | 40 | 69 |
1st half: LIP 25, UNCA 29 (UNCA by 4). The model had UNCA by 2.2 and a total of 73.7 (actual 54).
Team stats
| LIP | UNCA | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-63 37% | Field goals | 24-48 50% |
| 7-31 23% | 3-pointers | 6-17 35% |
| 11-15 73% | Free throws | 15-24 63% |
| 36 16 off | Rebounds | 34 9 off |
| 14 | Assists | 9 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 22 | Fouls | 15 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| LIP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Asman F | 30 | 22 | 11 | 2 | 7-11 | 5-7 |
| Mateo Esmeraldo G | 29 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 5-15 | 0-6 |
| Ethan Duncan G | 23 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Ross Candelino G | 23 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Charlie Williams C | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Or Ashkenazi F | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Titas Sargiunas F | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-3 |
| Cole Middleton F | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Kellan Boylan F | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Kennedy Okpara F | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Devyn Martin, Luke Jack, Josh Scott, Luke Carter, Miles White, Logan Suber
| UNCA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Taylor G | 38 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 5-12 | 0-4 |
| Myles Mayfield F | 38 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Justin Wright G | 34 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 10-15 | 4-7 |
| Toyaz Solomon F | 31 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-1 |
| Daniel Thomas F | 19 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jakel Powell G | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Julian Clarke PG | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Sage Tolentino F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brayden Rivers, Hugo Maton, David Hermes, Mitchell Taylor, Rasheed Baldwin, Corey Jones, Connor Dubsky, DJ Patrick
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNCA -6.5
ModelUNCA -3.9
Model edgeLIP +2.6
W LIP covered
Total
Market158.5
Model157.5
Model edgeUnder 1.0
W Under
Projected score
LIP 76.8 · UNCA 80.7
LIP 64 · UNCA 69
Win probability
UNCA 63%
1st half
Spread
UNCA -2.2
UNCA -4.0
Total
73.7
54 points
Projected score
LIP 35.8 · UNCA 38
LIP 25 · UNCA 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCA -6.5
no move
CloseUNCA -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open155.5
▲ 3
Close158.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
LIP +240 · UNCA -290
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCA -6.5 · unchangedmodel UNCA -4
model UNCA -4
Opened 155.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 3 upmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIPlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 0-2 0% | 2-0 100% |
| UNCAlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LIP 1–0 UNCALIP leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · LIP 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023-24 | LIP 86 vs UNCA 75 | UNCA -3.5 | LIP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lipscomb
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
0-2
0% covers · avg −14.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +11.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
VAN
VANL 61-105
−17.5
9
@
MER
MERL 77-92
−11.5
covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −14.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@VAN
VANL 61-105
+11.5
9
@MER
MERL 77-92
+11.5
over 2under 0avg +11.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNC Asheville
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
WICH
WICHL 58-75
−10.5
8
@
GASO
GASOL 90-93
+2.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−24.5
8
@GASO
GASOL 90-93
+20.5
over 1under 1avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Lipscomb
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Mercer77–92
- L@ Vanderbilt61–105
2 days since their last game.
UNC Asheville
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ GA Southern90–93
- L@ Wichita St58–75
3 days since their last game.