Fertitta Center · at Houston
Closing line
HOU -26.5✓ TOW covered by 9.5
HOU -26.5✓ TOW covered by 9.5Closing total130.5Under by 17.5
 TOW | This season | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TOW 53–81 HOU · ✓ HOU (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOW | 26 | 22 | 48 |
| HOU | 33 | 32 | 65 |
1st half: TOW 26, HOU 33 (HOU by 7). The model had HOU by 16.6 and a total of 62.8 (actual 59).
Team stats
| TOW | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-49 39% | Field goals | 26-62 42% |
| 3-18 17% | 3-pointers | 8-32 25% |
| 7-14 50% | Free throws | 5-7 71% |
| 35 9 off | Rebounds | 35 12 off |
| 9 | Assists | 14 |
| 9 | Steals | 11 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| TOW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tejada F | 38 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 5-14 | 1-7 |
| Dylan Williamson G | 38 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-3 |
| Jack Doumbia Jr. F | 31 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 6-12 | 0-2 |
| Caleb Embeya F | 21 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chike Ndefo G | 15 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Schmidt G | 23 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Mor Seck C | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaquan Womack G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Coleman F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Abdou Samb F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaiden Cole, Brandon Holmes, Jon Barton, Ryan Skerry, Ryan Conway
| HOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milos Uzan G | 39 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 4-14 | 3-12 |
| Kingston Flemings G | 36 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 8-10 | 1-3 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. F | 29 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-3 |
| Joseph Tugler F | 29 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 7-14 | 0-0 |
| Emanuel Sharp G | 25 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chase McCarty F | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Ramon Walker Jr. G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Mercy Miller G | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Cedric Lath C | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kalifa Sakho F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bryce Jackson, Isiah Harwell, Kordel Jefferson, Jacob McFarland
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHOU -26.5
ModelHOU -27.7
Model edgeHOU +1.2
L TOW covered
Total
Market130.5
Model133.8
Model edgeOver 3.3
L Under
Projected score
TOW 53.1 · HOU 80.8
TOW 48 · HOU 65
Win probability
HOU 99%
1st half
Spread
HOU -16.6
HOU -7.0
Total
62.8
59 points
Projected score
TOW 23.1 · HOU 39.7
TOW 26 · HOU 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOU -25.5
1 → HOU
CloseHOU -26.5
1 pt toward HOU
Total
Open133.5
▼ 3
Close130.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
TOW +4000 · HOU -100000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOU -25.5 · closed HOU -26.5 · moved 1 toward HOUmodel HOU -27.5
model HOU -27.5
Opened 133.5 · closed 130.5 · moved 3 downmodel 134
model 134
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOWlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
| HOUlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TOW 0–1 HOUHOU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · TOW 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2023-24 | HOU 65 vs TOW 49 | TOW +20.5 | TOW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Towson
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −18.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs L-MD | W 67-56 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsL-MD
L-MDW 67-56
+2.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsL-MD
L-MDW 67-56
−18.5
over 0under 1avg −18.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Houston
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −18.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LEH | W 75-57 | -36.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−18.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −18.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−4.5
over 0under 1avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Towson
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Loyola MD67–56
5 days since their last game.
Houston
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Lehigh75–57
5 days since their last game.