Jenny Craig Pavilion · at San Diego
Closing line
USD -6.5✓ USD covered by 3.5
USD -6.5✓ USD covered by 3.5Closing total149.5Under by 3.5
 GRAM | This season | USD |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 1-1 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 0-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GRAM 68–76 USD · ✓ USD (76%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GRAM | 26 | 42 | 68 |
| USD | 35 | 43 | 78 |
1st half: GRAM 26, USD 35 (USD by 9). The model had USD by 4.8 and a total of 67.7 (actual 61).
Team stats
| GRAM | USD | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-60 40% | Field goals | 19-53 36% |
| 2-13 15% | 3-pointers | 9-31 29% |
| 18-31 58% | Free throws | 31-32 97% |
| 39 16 off | Rebounds | 36 10 off |
| 10 | Assists | 15 |
| 9 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 7 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 23 | Fouls | 24 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 30 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| GRAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roderick Coffee III F | 33 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Derrius Ward G | 30 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 5-13 | 1-4 |
| Antonio Munoz F | 26 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 6-12 | 0-0 |
| Randarius Jones C | 23 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Jimel Lane F | 21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamil Muttilib G | 26 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-5 |
| P.J. Edwards G | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Rickey Ballard F | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Richard Amaefule F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Devyn Franklin G | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mekhi Fitts, Saliou Seye, Chancellor Perkins, Nazar Mahmoud
| USD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty-Laur Johnson G | 37 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 4-13 | 1-5 |
| Juanse Gorosito G | 33 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Vuk Boskovic F | 23 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-8 | 1-5 |
| Toneari Lane G | 22 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Piotr Winkowski C | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tim Moore Jr. F | 20 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Assane Diop F | 17 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Adrian McIntyre G | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Dominique Ford G | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| D'Arrae Goodwin F | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Alejandro Aviles, Neel Beniwal, Brandon Benjamin, Caleb Versher, Boden Grant, Nick Del Bosque, Gavin Ripp, Kjay Bradley, Emmanuel Callas, Josh Hecht
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSD -6.5
ModelUSD -8.2
Model edgeUSD +1.7
W USD covered
Total
Market149.5
Model144.6
Model edgeUnder 4.9
W Under
Projected score
GRAM 68.2 · USD 76.4
GRAM 68 · USD 78
Win probability
USD 76%
1st half
Spread
USD -4.8
USD -9.0
Total
67.7
61 points
Projected score
GRAM 31.5 · USD 36.3
GRAM 26 · USD 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSD -5.5
1 → USD
CloseUSD -6.5
1 pt toward USD
Total
Open154.5
▼ 5
Close149.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
GRAM +230 · USD -280
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USD -5.5 · closed USD -6.5 · moved 1 toward USDmodel USD -8
model USD -8
Opened 154.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 5 downmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GRAMlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% |
| USDlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 0-2 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Grambling
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
ISU
ISUL 62-102
−6.5
9
@
HOW
HOWW 73-70
+7.5
13
vs
USM
USMW 75-70
+2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@ISU
ISUL 62-102
+19.5
9
@HOW
HOWW 73-70
−9.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 75-70
−3.5
over 1under 2avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Diego
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
IDST
IDSTL 68-71
−7.5
12
vs
IDHO
IDHOW 78-74
+5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsIDST
IDSTL 68-71
−13.5
12
vsIDHO
IDHOW 78-74
−3.5
over 0under 2avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Grambling
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Southern Miss75–70
- W@ Howard73–70
- L@ Iowa State62–102
5 days since their last game.
San Diego
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Idaho78–74
- Lvs Idaho St68–71
6 days since their last game.