The Thunderdome · at Santa Barbara
Closing line
UCSB -3.5✓ LMU covered by 7.5
UCSB -3.5✓ LMU covered by 7.5Closing total145.5Over by 6.5
 LMU | This season | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| 4-0 | Record | 2-0 |
| 3-1 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 1-3 | O/U | 2-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LMU 73–73 UCSB · ✓ LMU (53%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LMU | 31 | 38 | 9 | 78 |
| UCSB | 40 | 29 | 5 | 74 |
1st half: LMU 31, UCSB 40 (UCSB by 9). The model had LMU by 0.7 and a total of 68.3 (actual 71).
Team stats
| LMU | UCSB | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-60 43% | Field goals | 27-71 38% |
| 11-25 44% | 3-pointers | 8-28 29% |
| 15-29 52% | Free throws | 12-17 71% |
| 46 13 off | Rebounds | 41 12 off |
| 14 | Assists | 14 |
| 1 | Steals | 5 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 22 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| LMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Shelley F | 43 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 8-18 | 2-7 |
| Aaron McBride F | 40 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Rodney Brown Jr. G | 32 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| AJ Thomas G | 20 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-0 |
| Rick Issanza C | 12 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myron Amey Jr. G | 37 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 11-19 | 6-7 |
| Rokas Jocius F | 23 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Josh Dalton F | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Nakyel Shelton G | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jael Martin F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Smith, Marley Zeller, George Tupy, Kevin Carney, Jan Vide, Tanner Thomas
| UCSB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney G | 40 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 6-16 | 3-9 |
| Miro Little G | 39 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 8-16 | 0-3 |
| Colin Smith F | 36 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 6-13 | 4-7 |
| Jason Fontenet II G | 35 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| Hosana Kitenge F | 25 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1-9 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zion Sensley G | 19 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Michael Simcoe F | 16 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| CJ Shaw G | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Evans Kipruto C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Marvin McGhee IV G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Zuffelato, John Simcoe, Kyle Haughy, ZZ Clark, Bryce Bedgood, Isaac Shingange, Koat Keat Tong
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCSB -3.5
ModelLMU -0.8
Model edgeLMU +4.3
W LMU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model145.9
Model edgeOver 0.4
W Over
Projected score
LMU 73.3 · UCSB 72.5
LMU 78 · UCSB 74
Win probability
LMU 53%
1st half
Spread
LMU -0.7
UCSB -9.0
Total
68.3
71 points
Projected score
LMU 34.5 · UCSB 33.8
LMU 31 · UCSB 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSB -3.5
no move
CloseUCSB -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▼ 2
Close145.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
LMU +145 · UCSB -170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSB -3.5 · unchangedmodel LMU -1
model LMU -1
Opened 147.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 2 downmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LMUlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 3-1 75% | 1-3 25% |
| UCSBlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LMU 1–1 UCSBSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · LMU 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024-25 | UCSB 58 @ LMU 60 | LMU -2.5 | UCSB W |
| Dec 16, 2023-24 | UCSB 68 vs LMU 59 | LMU -3.5 | UCSB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
LMU
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
EWU
EWUW 70-62
−1.5
8
vs
UAPB
UAPBW 94-72
+2.5
11
@
UTEP
UTEPW 71-58
+14.5
14
vs
TROY
TROYW 74-63
+6.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsEWU
EWUW 70-62
−21.5
8
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-72
+8.5
11
@UTEP
UTEPW 71-58
−15.5
14
vsTROY
TROYW 74-63
−3.5
over 1under 3avg −8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Santa Barbara
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +15 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
SJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+1.5
11
@
SAC
SACW 92-87
−2.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+12.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
+17.5
over 2under 0avg +15 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
LMU
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Troy74–63
- W@ UTEP71–58
- Wvs AR-Pine Bluff94–72
- Wvs E Washington70–62
3 days since their last game.
Santa Barbara
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Sacramento St92–87
- Wvs San José St85–74
6 days since their last game.