Baxter Arena · at Omaha
Closing line
OMA -8.5✓ SUU covered by 3.5
OMA -8.5✓ SUU covered by 3.5Closing total153.5Over by 21.5
 SUU | This season | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 0-3 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 1-2 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SUU 73–81 OMA · ✓ OMA (75%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SUU | 38 | 47 | 85 |
| OMA | 42 | 48 | 90 |
1st half: SUU 38, OMA 42 (OMA by 4). The model had OMA by 4.5 and a total of 72.1 (actual 80).
Team stats
| SUU | OMA | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-68 49% | Field goals | 30-60 50% |
| 7-28 25% | 3-pointers | 10-19 53% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 20-25 80% |
| 35 11 off | Rebounds | 36 8 off |
| 12 | Assists | 17 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| SUU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cale Barclay F | 33 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Elijah Duval G | 27 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 9-17 | 1-7 |
| Jaiden Feroah F | 26 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-3 |
| Isaiah Cottrell F | 15 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Lorenzo Abellar G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zach Bell G | 24 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 8-13 | 1-4 |
| Dylan Jones G | 23 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-8 |
| Tanner Hayhurst G | 19 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Kai Burdick C | 12 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Lee G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Langston Binns, Logan Stephens, Zeplin Kidd, Juok Riak, Brayden Johnson, Chuks Isitua
| OMA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Stubblefield G | 36 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Tony Osburn G | 31 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 9-16 | 2-6 |
| Lance Waddles G | 30 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Kamryn Thomas F | 27 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Brock Scholl F | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Khamani Cooper G | 20 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-2 |
| Ja'Sean Glover G | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Julian Margrave F | 12 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-4 | 4-4 |
| Christian Richardson C | 11 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Valentino Simon F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aidan Skradis, Rob Matos, Isaac Ondekane, Deng Mayar, Benji Nelson, Paul Djobet
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketOMA -8.5
ModelOMA -7.7
Model edgeSUU +0.8
W SUU covered
Total
Market153.5
Model154.0
Model edgeOver 0.5
W Over
Projected score
SUU 73.1 · OMA 80.8
SUU 85 · OMA 90
Win probability
OMA 75%
1st half
Spread
OMA -4.5
OMA -4.0
Total
72.1
80 points
Projected score
SUU 33.8 · OMA 38.3
SUU 38 · OMA 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOMA -8.5
no move
CloseOMA -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open154.5
▼ 1
Close153.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SUU +340 · OMA -450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OMA -8.5 · unchangedmodel OMA -7.5
model OMA -7.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 1 downmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SUUlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
| OMAlast 3 | 0-3 0% | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SUU 1–0 OMASUU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SUU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024-25 | OMA 73 @ SUU 79 | SUU -7.5 | OMA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Southern Utah
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −10.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg 0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
ASU
ASUL 64-81
+0.5
8
vs
RGV
RGVL 72-95
−21.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@ASU
ASUL 64-81
−6.5
8
vsRGV
RGVL 72-95
+6.5
over 1under 1avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Omaha
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +6.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MUR
MURL 77-85
−2.5
6
@
ACU
ACUL 71-73
+2.5
9
@
CSU
CSUL 74-97
−8.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMUR
MURL 77-85
+8.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 71-73
−6.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 74-97
+17.5
over 2under 1avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Southern Utah
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UT Rio Grande72–95
- L@ Arizona St64–81
A week or more of rest.
Omaha
0-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Colorado St74–97
- L@ Abilene Chrstn71–73
- Lvs Murray St77–85
6 days since their last game.