Stroh Center · at Bowling Green
Closing line
BGSU -5.5✓ BGSU covered by 29.5
BGSU -5.5✓ BGSU covered by 29.5Closing total146.5Under by 15.5
 TXST | This season | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TXST 73–72 BGSU · ✗ TXST (52%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | 29 | 19 | 48 |
| BGSU | 40 | 43 | 83 |
1st half: TXST 29, BGSU 40 (BGSU by 11). The model had TXST by 0.6 and a total of 68.0 (actual 69).
Team stats
| TXST | BGSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-54 39% | Field goals | 31-58 53% |
| 3-17 18% | 3-pointers | 10-22 45% |
| 3-7 43% | Free throws | 11-16 69% |
| 26 5 off | Rebounds | 37 7 off |
| 10 | Assists | 16 |
| 4 | Steals | 11 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 18 | Fouls | 10 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| TXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Drone G | 21 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Jalen Bolden G | 20 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Kyndall Davis G | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Kaden Gumbs G | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Makai Willis C | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dimp Pernell G | 27 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-6 |
| Franck Emmou G | 24 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 5-9 | 2-3 |
| Robert Fields C | 18 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| DJ Hall F | 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaelyn Lee G | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Tay Knox C | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Simpson G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Deke Thompson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Barganier F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ky Pernell
| BGSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javontae Campbell G | 29 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 6-13 | 1-3 |
| Josiah Shackelford G | 24 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-11 | 2-8 |
| Justin Thomas G | 23 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Troy Glover II F | 21 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Sam Towns F | 17 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mayar Wol F | 28 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 6-6 | 4-4 |
| Javon Ruffin G | 19 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Makhi Leach G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Jason Kimbrough G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Aiden Goins F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Camden Karel F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Christian Dedivanaj G | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Alijah Adem G | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mohamed Maxamud F | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Preston Squire, Jaxon Pardon, Greg Spurgin
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBGSU -5.5
ModelTXST -0.6
Model edgeTXST +6.1
L BGSU covered
Total
Market146.5
Model145.1
Model edgeUnder 1.4
W Under
Projected score
TXST 72.9 · BGSU 72.2
TXST 48 · BGSU 83
Win probability
TXST 52%
1st half
Spread
TXST -0.6
BGSU -11.0
Total
68.0
69 points
Projected score
TXST 34.3 · BGSU 33.7
TXST 29 · BGSU 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBGSU -3.5
2 → BGSU
CloseBGSU -5.5
2 pts toward BGSU
Total
Open143.5
▲ 3
Close146.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
TXST +180 · BGSU -215
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BGSU -3.5 · closed BGSU -5.5 · moved 2 toward BGSUmodel TXST -0.5
model TXST -0.5
Opened 143.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 3 upmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| BGSU | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas St
30 games played
Straight up
14-16
47% wins
Against the spread
15-15
50% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-12
60% overs · avg +7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EMU | W 64-44 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 135.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 12 | @ TCU | L 71-76 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 16 | @ ACU | L 60-72 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 21 | vs BRAD | L 68-82 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 22 | vs PRIN | W 83-80 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 24 | vs OHIO | W 74-65 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 1 | @ TXSO | W 72-59 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 138.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 8 | vs RICE | W 75-66 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 134.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 14 | @ FAU | L 80-89 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | vs GASO | W 83-61 | -6.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 29 | vs UTA | L 72-80 | -5.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 2 | @ MRSH | L 71-77 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 4 | @ APP | L 61-72 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 9 | @ TROY | W 74-73 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 136.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 11 | @ USM | L 88-92 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 15 | vs GAST | W 94-80 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 18 | vsUSM | W 85-82 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 23 | @ UL | W 89-74 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 25 | @ ARST | L 65-80 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 30 | vsUL | L 61-70 | -11.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 1 | vsARST | L 74-85 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 5 | @ ODU | L 64-75 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 8 | @ CMU | L 70-85 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 13 | @ ULM | W 72-60 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 15 | @ USA | L 65-70 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 19 | vsULM | W 80-63 | -12.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 22 | vsUSA | W 93-92 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | O 185 |
| Feb 25 | vsTROY | L 69-74 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 28 | vs JMU | W 102-93 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | O 195 |
| Mar 6 | vsODU | L 61-64 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEMU
EMUW 64-44
+11.5
12
@TCU
TCUL 71-76
+10.5
16
@ACU
ACUL 60-72
−10.5
21
vsBRAD
BRADL 68-82
−6.5
22
vsPRIN
PRINW 83-80
+9.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 74-65
+11.5
1
@TXSO
TXSOW 72-59
+8.5
8
vsRICE
RICEW 75-66
+2.5
14
@FAU
FAUL 80-89
+0.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 83-61
+15.5
29
vsUTA
UTAL 72-80
−13.5
2
@MRSH
MRSHL 71-77
−4.5
4
@APP
APPL 61-72
−9.5
9
@TROY
TROYW 74-73
+7.5
11
@USM
USML 88-92
−7.5
15
vsGAST
GASTW 94-80
+4.5
18
vsUSM
USMW 85-82
−6.5
23
@UL
ULW 89-74
+9.5
25
@ARST
ARSTL 65-80
−4.5
30
vsUL
ULL 61-70
−20.5
1
vsARST
ARSTL 74-85
−5.5
5
@ODU
ODUL 64-75
−13.5
8
@CMU
CMUL 70-85
−13.5
13
@ULM
ULMW 72-60
+3.5
15
@USA
USAL 65-70
+1.5
19
vsULM
ULMW 80-63
+4.5
22
vsUSA
USAW 93-92
−0.5
25
vsTROY
TROYL 69-74
−3.5
28
vsJMU
JMUW 102-93
+10.5
6
vsODU
ODUL 61-64
−9.5
covered 15didn’t cover 15avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEMU
EMUW 64-44
−27.5
12
@TCU
TCUL 71-76
+6.5
16
@ACU
ACUL 60-72
−5.5
21
vsBRAD
BRADL 68-82
+14.5
22
vsPRIN
PRINW 83-80
+24.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 74-65
−6.5
1
@TXSO
TXSOW 72-59
−7.5
8
vsRICE
RICEW 75-66
+6.5
14
@FAU
FAUL 80-89
+19.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 83-61
−4.5
29
vsUTA
UTAL 72-80
+4.5
2
@MRSH
MRSHL 71-77
+6.5
4
@APP
APPL 61-72
−0.5
9
@TROY
TROYW 74-73
+10.5
11
@USM
USML 88-92
+36.5
15
vsGAST
GASTW 94-80
+25.5
18
vsUSM
USMW 85-82
+16.5
23
@UL
ULW 89-74
+20.5
25
@ARST
ARSTL 65-80
−5.5
30
vsUL
ULL 61-70
−12.5
1
vsARST
ARSTL 74-85
+9.5
5
@ODU
ODUL 64-75
−1.5
8
@CMU
CMUL 70-85
+14.5
13
@ULM
ULMW 72-60
−9.5
15
@USA
USAL 65-70
−1.5
19
vsULM
ULMW 80-63
+2.5
22
vsUSA
USAW 93-92
+51.5
25
vsTROY
TROYL 69-74
+0.5
28
vsJMU
JMUW 102-93
+52.5
6
vsODU
ODUL 61-64
−15.5
over 18under 12avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bowling Green
30 games played
Straight up
12-18
40% wins
Against the spread
14-16
47% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-16
47% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @USM | L 68-77 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 8 | vs DAV | L 85-91 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 16 | @ MSU | L 72-86 | +24.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 19 | vs NIA | W 76-68 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | @ BELL | L 68-80 | -4.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 29 | vs WEB | L 70-73 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 30 | vs NMSU | W 61-60 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 7 | vs MORG | W 102-81 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 14 | @ KC | L 77-85 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 21 | vs STMN | L 68-93 | +3.5 | L −21.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | vs AKR | L 68-71 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 7 | @ WMU | W 83-79 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 11 | @ BALL | L 69-91 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 14 | vs BUF | W 79-61 | -8.5 | W +9.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 18 | vsEMU | L 62-68 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 21 | @ M-OH | L 76-84 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | vs TOL | L 71-84 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 28 | @ KENT | L 57-75 | +12.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 1 | @CMU | L 71-90 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 4 | vs NIU | W 84-77 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 8 | vs CCU | W 67-53 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 140.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 11 | vsOHIO | L 81-86 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 15 | @BUF | W 63-59 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 18 | vsKENT | L 84-91 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 21 | @TOL | W 69-68 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 25 | @EMU | W 65-60 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 1 | vsBALL | W 61-52 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 113 |
| Mar 4 | @NIU | W 71-58 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 129 |
| Mar 7 | vsWMU | L 63-64 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 127 |
| Mar 13 | vsAKR | L 67-96 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@USM
USML 68-77
−4.5
8
vsDAV
DAVL 85-91
−0.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 72-86
+10.5
19
vsNIA
NIAW 76-68
−0.5
23
@BELL
BELLL 68-80
−16.5
29
vsWEB
WEBL 70-73
−0.5
30
vsNMSU
NMSUW 61-60
+4.5
7
vsMORG
MORGW 102-81
+11.5
14
@KC
KCL 77-85
−5.5
21
vsSTMN
STMNL 68-93
−21.5
3
vsAKR
AKRL 68-71
+2.5
7
@WMU
WMUW 83-79
+8.5
11
@BALL
BALLL 69-91
−16.5
14
vsBUF
BUFW 79-61
+9.5
18
vsEMU
EMUL 62-68
−12.5
21
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-84
+1.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 71-84
−10.5
28
@KENT
KENTL 57-75
−5.5
1
@CMU
CMUL 71-90
−12.5
4
vsNIU
NIUW 84-77
+0.5
8
vsCCU
CCUW 67-53
+8.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOL 81-86
−0.5
15
@BUF
BUFW 63-59
+2.5
18
vsKENT
KENTL 84-91
−0.5
21
@TOL
TOLW 69-68
+8.5
25
@EMU
EMUW 65-60
+9.5
1
vsBALL
BALLW 61-52
+7.5
4
@NIU
NIUW 71-58
+8.5
7
vsWMU
WMUL 63-64
−3.5
13
vsAKR
AKRL 67-96
−17.5
covered 14didn’t cover 16avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@USM
USML 68-77
−2.5
8
vsDAV
DAVL 85-91
+28.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 72-86
+6.5
19
vsNIA
NIAW 76-68
−4.5
23
@BELL
BELLL 68-80
+1.5
29
vsWEB
WEBL 70-73
−0.5
30
vsNMSU
NMSUW 61-60
−23.5
7
vsMORG
MORGW 102-81
+31.5
14
@KC
KCL 77-85
+17.5
21
vsSTMN
STMNL 68-93
+7.5
3
vsAKR
AKRL 68-71
−18.5
7
@WMU
WMUW 83-79
+11.5
11
@BALL
BALLL 69-91
+10.5
14
vsBUF
BUFW 79-61
−17.5
18
vsEMU
EMUL 62-68
−23.5
21
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-84
+10.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 71-84
−3.5
28
@KENT
KENTL 57-75
−8.5
1
@CMU
CMUL 71-90
+18.5
4
vsNIU
NIUW 84-77
+14.5
8
vsCCU
CCUW 67-53
−20.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOL 81-86
+11.5
15
@BUF
BUFW 63-59
−32.5
18
vsKENT
KENTL 84-91
+32.5
21
@TOL
TOLW 69-68
−18.5
25
@EMU
EMUW 65-60
−23.5
1
vsBALL
BALLW 61-52
−34.5
4
@NIU
NIUW 71-58
−13.5
7
vsWMU
WMUL 63-64
−16.5
13
vsAKR
AKRL 67-96
+13.5
over 14under 16avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas St
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
Bowling Green
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.