Nutter Center · at Wright St
Closing line
WRST -5.5✓ TOL covered by 15.5
WRST -5.5✓ TOL covered by 15.5Closing total159.5Under by 7.5
 TOL | This season | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 0-1 |
| 0-2 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 0-2 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TOL 76–82 WRST · ✗ WRST (71%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 34 | 47 | 81 |
| WRST | 39 | 32 | 71 |
1st half: TOL 34, WRST 39 (WRST by 5). The model had WRST by 3.7 and a total of 74.0 (actual 73).
Team stats
| TOL | WRST | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-55 56% | Field goals | 26-47 55% |
| 5-10 50% | 3-pointers | 6-16 38% |
| 14-19 74% | Free throws | 13-15 87% |
| 28 13 off | Rebounds | 21 6 off |
| 12 | Assists | 10 |
| 11 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 50 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 23 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| TOL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson G | 37 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 8-14 | 1-1 |
| Sean Craig F | 36 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 8-11 | 1-1 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. G | 34 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 2-9 | 1-3 |
| Austin Parks C | 28 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt G | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mynor Strong G | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga F | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Will James Jr. G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Ode G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Toby Nwokolo, Chris Riddle, London Praytor, Phoenix Glassnor
| WRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Imariagbe F | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 7-9 | 0-1 |
| Michael Cooper G | 30 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 6-11 | 3-5 |
| Solomon Callaghan G | 28 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Bryan Etumnu F | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Logan Woods G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dominic Pangonis G | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Sam Alamutu G | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Andrea Holden G | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| TJ Burch G | 13 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Kellen Pickett F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ayden Davis, Alex Bruskotter, PJ Douglas, Isaiah Williams
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWRST -5.5
ModelWRST -6.4
Model edgeWRST +0.9
L TOL covered
Total
Market159.5
Model158.0
Model edgeUnder 1.5
W Under
Projected score
TOL 75.8 · WRST 82.2
TOL 81 · WRST 71
Win probability
WRST 71%
1st half
Spread
WRST -3.7
WRST -5.0
Total
74.0
73 points
Projected score
TOL 35.1 · WRST 38.9
TOL 34 · WRST 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWRST -4.5
1 → WRST
CloseWRST -5.5
1 pt toward WRST
Total
Open158.5
▲ 1
Close159.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
TOL +200 · WRST -240
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WRST -4.5 · closed WRST -5.5 · moved 1 toward WRSTmodel WRST -6.5
model WRST -6.5
Opened 158.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 1 upmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOLlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 0-2 0% | 0-2 0% |
| WRSTlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TOL 2–0 WRSTTOL leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · TOL has won the last 2 meetings · TOL 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2024-25 | WRST 77 @ TOL 86 | TOL -6.5 | TOL W |
| Nov 14, 2023-24 | TOL 78 @ WRST 77 | WRST -2.5 | TOL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Toledo
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
0-2
0% covers · avg −9.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
USA
USAL 74-76
−4.5
8
vs
MRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−14.5
covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−0.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−2.5
over 0under 2avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wright St
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ CAL | L 67-77 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@CAL
CALL 67-77
+4.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@CAL
CALL 67-77
−4.5
over 0under 1avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Toledo
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Marshall73–85
- Lvs South Alabama74–76
3 days since their last game.
Wright St
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ California67–77
5 days since their last game.