Athletics-Recreation Center · at Valparaiso
Closing line
VAL -4.5✓ VAL covered by 24.5
VAL -4.5✓ VAL covered by 24.5Closing total146.5Under by 7.5
 WMU | This season | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | Record | 4-2 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 3-3 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WMU 73–75 VAL · ✓ VAL (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | 17 | 38 | 55 |
| VAL | 37 | 47 | 84 |
1st half: WMU 17, VAL 37 (VAL by 20). The model had VAL by 1.4 and a total of 69.0 (actual 54).
Team stats
| WMU | VAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-55 38% | Field goals | 25-55 45% |
| 6-17 35% | 3-pointers | 11-24 46% |
| 7-12 58% | Free throws | 23-26 88% |
| 29 11 off | Rebounds | 37 13 off |
| 11 | Assists | 14 |
| 3 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 8 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 1 | Fast-break points | 1 |
Players
| WMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Griffith G | 33 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 3-12 | 0-5 |
| EJ Ryans G | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Max Burton F | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Brewer G | 19 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Brady Swartz G | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey Lewis G | 18 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5-8 | 3-6 |
| Michael Sulaka F | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Sharod Barnes G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Hudson Ward F | 15 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Declan Peterson C | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Carson Vis G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Justice Williams, Camden Thompson, Nicholas Errica, Junior Sileu
| VAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Whitaker G | 28 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Shon Tupuola F | 25 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Barnes G | 22 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| JT Pettigrew F | 21 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-1 |
| Rakim Chaney G | 16 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mark Brown Jr. G | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Carter Hopoi F | 18 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Owen Dease F | 17 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 7-11 | 4-7 |
| Tucker Tornatta F | 14 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Sader Servilus G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kyonte Thomas G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Camden Webster G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Nick Lombardi G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Joe Vick G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kobe Walker, Jayden Watson, Justus McNair
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAL -6.5
2 → WMU
CloseVAL -4.5
2 pts toward WMU
Total
Open148.5
▼ 2
Close146.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
WMU +170 · VAL -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAL -6.5 · closed VAL -4.5 · moved 2 toward WMUmodel VAL -2.5
model VAL -2.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 2 downmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | VAL -4.5 | VAL -2.5 | WMU +2.0 | L VAL covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 147.4 | Over 0.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | WMU 72.5 · VAL 74.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | VAL -1.4 | VAL -20.0 |
| 1H total | 69.0 | 54 |
| 1H projected score | WMU 33.8 · VAL 35.2 | WMU 17 · VAL 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMUlast 6 | 3-3 50% | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% |
| VALlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
WMU 0–3 VALVAL leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · VAL has won the last 3 meetings · WMU 0-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024-25 | VAL 76 @ WMU 73 | WMU -1.5 | VAL W |
| Nov 13, 2022-23 | WMU 65 @ VAL 81 | VAL -4.5 | VAL W |
| Dec 5, 2021-22 | VAL 71 @ WMU 60 | WMU +6 | VAL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
W Michigan
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +5.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
CCU
CCUW 76-71
+2.5
9
@
CAM
CAML 82-91
+0.5
12
vs
PFW
PFWW 83-71
+15.5
16
@
SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−1.5
20
@
OSU
OSUL 58-91
−6.5
23
vs
MSM
MSMW 83-60
+21.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+0.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+20.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
−7.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−11.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−10.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
−7.5
over 2under 4avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Valparaiso
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −11.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
EIU
EIUW 66-63
−2.5
7
@
UK
UKL 59-107
−15.5
12
vs
NICH
NICHW 68-63
+2.5
16
vs
BRY
BRYW 68-50
+11.5
19
@
CLE
CLEW 90-75
+17.5
26
vs
USI
USIL 56-64
−17.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−15.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
+8.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
−13.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
−25.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+6.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−30.5
over 2under 4avg −11.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
W Michigan
3-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Mount St Marys83–60
- L@ Ohio State58–91
- L@ South Dakota78–83
- Wvs Purdue FW83–71
- L@ Campbell82–91
6 days since their last game.
Valparaiso
4-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles56–64
- W@ Cleveland St90–75
- Wvs Bryant68–50
- Wvs Nicholls68–63
- L@ Kentucky59–107
3 days since their last game.