Ocean Center · Neutral site
Closing line
UIW -9.5✓ USI covered by 3.5
Closing total145.5Over by 22.5
| This season | UIW | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | Record | 0-2 |
| 0-3 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 0-3 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USI 68–77 UIW · ✓ UIW (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USI | 38 | 43 | 81 |
| UIW | 41 | 46 | 87 |
1st half: USI 38, UIW 41 (UIW by 3). The model had UIW by 5.7 and a total of 67.9 (actual 79).
Team stats
| USI | UIW | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-61 49% | Field goals | 32-59 54% |
| 5-21 24% | 3-pointers | 4-10 40% |
| 16-21 76% | Free throws | 19-29 66% |
| 27 7 off | Rebounds | 38 11 off |
| 11 | Assists | 12 |
| 4 | Steals | 3 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 23 | Fouls | 22 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 23 |
Players
| USI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismail Habib G | 34 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 8-15 | 1-4 |
| Kaden Brown G | 33 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-8 |
| Ola Ajiboye F | 24 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Tolu Samuels F | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Steven Clay G | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cardell Bailey G | 30 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 7-12 | 3-7 |
| Trey Thomas G | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Devin Curtis F | 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Sheridan Sharp G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Braxton Jones, Ben Ezeagu, Josiah Dunham, Cayden Gehlhausen, Alem Fejzic, Amaree Brown
| UIW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Bailey G | 37 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 9-17 | 2-5 |
| Tahj Staveskie G | 36 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 8-14 | 1-2 |
| Harold Woods G | 34 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Pyke G | 33 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Marcus Glover F | 15 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Love Bettis G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Williams C | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Harrison Reede G | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Lewis Rowe C | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Mihael Tomic G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Esteban Mann F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Drew Barbee, Tyler Simon, Amani Drummond, Isaiah Kortas
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUIW -9.5
ModelUIW -9.7
Model edgeUIW +0.2
L USI covered
Total
Market145.5
Model144.9
Model edgeUnder 0.6
L Over
Projected score
USI 67.6 · UIW 77.3
USI 81 · UIW 87
Win probability
UIW 80%
1st half
Spread
UIW -5.7
UIW -3.0
Total
67.9
79 points
Projected score
USI 31.1 · UIW 36.8
USI 38 · UIW 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUIW -7.5
2 → UIW
CloseUIW -9.5
2 pts toward UIW
Total
Open150.5
▼ 5
Close145.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
USI +360 · UIW -500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UIW -7.5 · closed UIW -9.5 · moved 2 toward UIWmodel UIW -9.5 matches the line
model UIW -9.5 = line ✓
Opened 150.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 5 downmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-3 0% | 0-3 0% | 0-3 0% | |
| 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
0-3
0% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-3
0% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
@
BTLR
L 58-88
−7.5
7
vs
VMI
L 74-78
−1.5
12
@
SDAK
L 74-89
−7.5
covered 0didn’t cover 3avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
@
BTLR
L 58-88
−10.5
7
vs
VMI
L 74-78
−1.5
12
@
SDAK
L 74-89
−1.5
over 0under 3avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Incarnate Word
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −6.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CSU
L 64-98
−23.5
16
@
IU
L 61-69
+20.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
CSU
L 64-98
+14.5
16
@
IU
L 61-69
−27.5
over 1under 1avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
0-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ South Dakota74–89
- Lvs VMI74–78
- L@ Butler58–88
A week or more of rest.
Incarnate Word
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Indiana61–69
- L@ Colorado St64–98
4 days since their last game.