M&T Bank Arena · at Quinnipiac
Closing line
YALE -6.5✓ YALE covered by 30.5
YALE -6.5✓ YALE covered by 30.5Closing total156.5Over by 0.5
| YALE | This season | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-1 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: YALE 82–74 QUIN · ✓ YALE (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YALE | 52 | 45 | 97 |
| QUIN | 28 | 32 | 60 |
1st half: YALE 52, QUIN 28 (YALE by 24). The model had YALE by 4.5 and a total of 73.0 (actual 80).
Team stats
| YALE | QUIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 38-64 59% | Field goals | 24-61 39% |
| 10-18 56% | 3-pointers | 5-24 21% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 7-11 64% |
| 34 12 off | Rebounds | 26 12 off |
| 17 | Assists | 9 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 54 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| YALE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Townsend F | 29 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Isaac Celiscar F | 28 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Samson Aletan C | 26 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Trevor Mullin G | 24 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Casey Simmons G | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Riley Fox F | 19 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 5-5 | 3-3 |
| Jordan Brathwaite G | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-5 | 2-2 |
| Devon Arlington G | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Courtney Wallace G | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Jack Sullivan F | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Jeannot Basima G | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Alvin Loving G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Ogunyemi F | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacob Tsai
| QUIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Zimmerman G | 32 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 7-17 | 1-5 |
| Grant Randall F | 28 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Asim Jones G | 25 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Amarri Monroe F | 20 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Spence Wewe F | 19 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Keith McKnight F | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 6-7 | 0-1 |
| Nate Guerengomba G | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Samson Reilly G | 16 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Ronell Giles Jr. G | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Tai Turnage G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Akintola Akinniyi F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Christopher Skenderi F | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jayden Reid, Braylan Ritvo, Sam Nosakhare
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketYALE -6.5
ModelYALE -7.2
Model edgeYALE +0.7
W YALE covered
Total
Market156.5
Model155.9
Model edgeUnder 0.6
L Over
Projected score
YALE 81.5 · QUIN 74.4
YALE 97 · QUIN 60
Win probability
YALE 73%
1st half
Spread
YALE -4.5
YALE -24.0
Total
73.0
80 points
Projected score
YALE 38.8 · QUIN 34.2
YALE 52 · QUIN 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYALE -7.5
1 → QUIN
CloseYALE -6.5
1 pt toward QUIN
Total
Open155.5
▲ 1
Close156.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
YALE -280 · QUIN +230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YALE -7.5 · closed YALE -6.5 · moved 1 toward QUINmodel YALE -7
model YALE -7
Opened 155.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 1 upmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YALElast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
| QUINlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
YALE 2–0 QUINYALE leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · YALE has won the last 2 meetings · YALE 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2024-25 | QUIN 62 @ YALE 88 | YALE -7.5 | YALE W |
| Dec 11, 2023-24 | YALE 73 @ QUIN 66 | QUIN +8.5 | QUIN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Yale
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +23.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +17.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ NAVY | W 97-68 | -5.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+23.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +23.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@NAVY
NAVYW 97-68
+17.5
over 1under 0avg +17.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Quinnipiac
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
SJU
SJUL 74-108
−7.5
6
vs
CCSU
CCSUW 71-49
+12.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SJU
SJUL 74-108
+25.5
6
vsCCSU
CCSUW 71-49
−30.5
over 1under 1avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Yale
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Navy97–68
4 days since their last game.
Quinnipiac
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs C Connecticut71–49
- L@ St John's74–108
5 days since their last game.