Little Caesars Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
MICH -15.5✓ WAKE covered by 14.5
MICH -15.5✓ WAKE covered by 14.5Closing total168.5Over by 0.5
 WAKE | This season | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 0-2 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WAKE 73–89 MICH · ✓ MICH (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE | 34 | 46 | 4 | 84 |
| MICH | 47 | 33 | 5 | 85 |
1st half: WAKE 34, MICH 47 (MICH by 13). The model had MICH by 9.8 and a total of 75.6 (actual 81).
Team stats
| WAKE | MICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-84 35% | Field goals | 28-62 45% |
| 10-34 29% | 3-pointers | 4-25 16% |
| 16-21 76% | Free throws | 25-37 68% |
| 43 18 off | Rebounds | 50 13 off |
| 17 | Assists | 20 |
| 9 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 8 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 29 | Fouls | 18 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 23 |
Players
| WAKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Calmese G | 38 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 3-16 | 2-6 |
| Mekhi Mason G | 35 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 5-18 | 4-11 |
| Juke Harris G | 28 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 6-14 | 2-6 |
| Omaha Biliew F | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Tre'Von Spillers F | 18 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myles Colvin G | 31 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5-12 | 2-5 |
| Cooper Schwieger F | 27 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Marqus Marion F | 22 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Sebastian Akins G | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Anson Beard Jr., Dimitrije Kovacevic, Isaac Carr, Jaylen Cross, Will Underwood, Vincent Ricchiuti, Owen Kmety
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aday Mara C | 37 | 18 | 13 | 6 | 8-11 | 0-0 |
| Elliot Cadeau G | 36 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 33 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 4-12 | 1-7 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 27 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Trey McKenney G | 23 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-4 |
| L.J. Cason G | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Will Tschetter F | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Oscar Goodman, Ricky Liburd, Malick Kordel, Howard Eisley Jr., Winters Grady, Harrison Hochberg, Charlie May
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMICH -15.5
ModelMICH -16.4
Model edgeMICH +0.9
L WAKE covered
Total
Market168.5
Model161.5
Model edgeUnder 7.0
L Over
Projected score
WAKE 72.6 · MICH 89
WAKE 84 · MICH 85
Win probability
MICH 92%
1st half
Spread
MICH -9.8
MICH -13.0
Total
75.6
81 points
Projected score
WAKE 32.9 · MICH 42.7
WAKE 34 · MICH 47
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -12.5
3 → MICH
CloseMICH -15.5
3 pts toward MICH
Total
Open159.5
▲ 9
Close168.5
Up 9 since the open
Moneyline
WAKE +1100 · MICH -2500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -12.5 · closed MICH -15.5 · moved 3 toward MICHmodel MICH -16.5
model MICH -16.5
Opened 159.5 · closed 168.5 · moved 9 upmodel 161.5
model 161.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAKElast 2 | 2-0 100% | 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% |
| MICHlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
WAKE 1–0 MICHWAKE leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · WAKE 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2024-25 | MICH 70 vs WAKE 72 | WAKE +2.5 | WAKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wake Forest
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-2
0% covers · avg −6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
AMER
AMERW 88-74
−5.5
7
vs
MORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAMER
AMERW 88-74
+22.5
7
vsMORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
over 1under 1avg +8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +18.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +42.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OAK | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +18.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
over 1under 0avg +42.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wake Forest
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Morehead St81–65
- Wvs American88–74
4 days since their last game.
Michigan
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oakland121–78
A week or more of rest.