John Paul Jones Arena · at Virginia
Closing line
UVA -24.5✓ UVA covered by 13.5
UVA -24.5✓ UVA covered by 13.5Closing total148.5Under by 4.5
 HAMP | This season | UVA |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HAMP 64–81 UVA · ✓ UVA (93%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HAMP | 19 | 34 | 53 |
| UVA | 47 | 44 | 91 |
1st half: HAMP 19, UVA 47 (UVA by 28). The model had UVA by 10.2 and a total of 68.1 (actual 66).
Team stats
| HAMP | UVA | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-63 32% | Field goals | 33-60 55% |
| 6-26 23% | 3-pointers | 11-22 50% |
| 7-11 64% | Free throws | 14-17 82% |
| 25 11 off | Rebounds | 49 15 off |
| 9 | Assists | 22 |
| 9 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 9 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| HAMP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xzavier Long F | 28 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Daniel Johnson F | 19 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-2 |
| Jalyke Gaines-Wyatt G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1-6 | 1-2 |
| Christian Watson G | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Eunique Rink F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Michael Eley G | 24 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 7-11 | 2-5 |
| Etienne Strothers G | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Josh Ogundele F | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Quintin Cooper G | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Aidan Haskins G | 12 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Kody Williams G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Peter Oduro F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Kennedy G | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
Did not play: Hamza Asadallah, Kellan Lewis
| UVA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallin Hall G | 27 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Thijs De Ridder F | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Sam Lewis G | 22 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 5-6 | 3-4 |
| Malik Thomas G | 21 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Johann Grunloh C | 21 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chance Mallory G | 20 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-2 |
| Ugonna Onyenso C | 18 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 8-10 | 2-3 |
| Jacari White G | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Elijah Gertrude G | 13 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Martin Carrere G | 12 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Carter Lang F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Desmond Roberts G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Owen Odom G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Devin Tillis, Silas Barksdale
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUVA -24.5
ModelUVA -17.0
Model edgeHAMP +7.5
L UVA covered
Total
Market148.5
Model145.4
Model edgeUnder 3.1
W Under
Projected score
HAMP 64.2 · UVA 81.2
HAMP 53 · UVA 91
Win probability
UVA 93%
1st half
Spread
UVA -10.2
UVA -28.0
Total
68.1
66 points
Projected score
HAMP 29 · UVA 39.1
HAMP 19 · UVA 47
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUVA -22.5
2 → UVA
CloseUVA -24.5
2 pts toward UVA
Total
Open147.5
▲ 1
Close148.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
HAMP +2500 · UVA -10000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UVA -22.5 · closed UVA -24.5 · moved 2 toward UVAmodel UVA -17
model UVA -17
Opened 147.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 1 upmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HAMPlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
| UVAlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 0-2 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Hampton
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +29.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MILW | L 86-90 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 176 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MILW
MILWL 86-90
+1.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MILW
MILWL 86-90
+29.5
over 1under 0avg +29.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Virginia
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
RID
RIDW 87-53
+7.5
7
vs
NCCU
NCCUW 81-62
−15.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsRID
RIDW 87-53
−8.5
7
vsNCCU
NCCUW 81-62
−8.5
over 0under 2avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Hampton
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Milwaukee86–90
A week or more of rest.
Virginia
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs NC Central81–62
- Wvs Rider87–53
4 days since their last game.