Dean E. Smith Center · at North Carolina
Closing line
UNC -20.5✓ RAD covered by 5.5
UNC -20.5✓ RAD covered by 5.5Closing total162.5Over by 0.5
 RAD | This season | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 2-0 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 2-0 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RAD 66–89 UNC · ✓ UNC (98%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RAD | 31 | 43 | 74 |
| UNC | 44 | 45 | 89 |
1st half: RAD 31, UNC 44 (UNC by 13). The model had UNC by 13.9 and a total of 72.5 (actual 75).
Team stats
| RAD | UNC | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-70 34% | Field goals | 25-65 38% |
| 7-30 23% | 3-pointers | 8-31 26% |
| 19-31 61% | Free throws | 31-49 63% |
| 43 14 off | Rebounds | 55 18 off |
| 6 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 33 | Fouls | 22 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| RAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylon Johnson G | 34 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4-17 | 1-8 |
| Dennis Parker Jr. G | 33 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 8-17 | 2-6 |
| Del Jones G | 29 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 7-18 | 1-5 |
| Tyson Brown F | 18 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mari Jordan G | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brennan Rigsby Jr. G | 21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Frederik Erichsen F | 15 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Lukas Walls G | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Louie Jordan F | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Gabriel Ferreira C | 9 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Warren Keel Jr. G | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bradley Land G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Diogo Alves, Zion Walker
| UNC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Bogavac G | 31 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 7-18 | 3-11 |
| Henri Veesaar C | 28 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 5-7 | 1-1 |
| Jarin Stevenson F | 25 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Kyan Evans G | 24 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Wilson F | 22 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 4-13 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jonathan Powell G | 22 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Derek Dixon G | 18 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Jaydon Young G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Zayden High F | 9 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| James Brown C | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Denis G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Evan Smith, Ivan Matlekovic, John Holbrook, Elijah Davis, Seth Trimble
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNC -21.5
1 → RAD
CloseUNC -20.5
1 pt toward RAD
Total
Open154.5
▲ 8
Close162.5
Up 8 since the open
Moneyline
RAD +1800 · UNC -6000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNC -21.5 · closed UNC -20.5 · moved 1 toward RADmodel UNC -23
model UNC -23
Opened 154.5 · closed 162.5 · moved 8 upmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNC -20.5 | UNC -23.2 | UNC +2.7 | L RAD covered |
| Total | 162.5 | 154.8 | Under 7.7 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | RAD 65.8 · UNC 89 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UNC -13.9 | UNC -13.0 |
| 1H total | 72.5 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | RAD 29.3 · UNC 43.2 | RAD 31 · UNC 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RADlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
| UNClast 2 | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
RAD 0–1 UNCUNC leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · RAD 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2023-24 | RAD 70 @ UNC 86 | UNC -18.5 | RAD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Radford
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −11.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WIU | W 80-75 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWIU
WIUW 80-75
−11.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −11.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWIU
WIUW 80-75
+3.5
over 1under 0avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
North Carolina
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +9.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
CARK
CARKW 94-54
+8.5
7
vs
KU
KUW 87-74
+10.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCARK
CARKW 94-54
−9.5
7
vsKU
KUW 87-74
+1.5
over 1under 1avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Radford
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs W Illinois80–75
A week or more of rest.
North Carolina
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kansas87–74
- Wvs C Arkansas94–54
4 days since their last game.