Lenovo Center · at NC State
Closing line
NCSU -30.5✓ NCSU covered by 15.5
NCSU -30.5✓ NCSU covered by 15.5Closing total153.5Over by 20.5
 UNCG | This season | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 2-0 |
| 0-2 | ATS | 2-0 |
| 2-0 | O/U | 2-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNCG 67–89 NCSU · ✓ NCSU (97%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCG | 37 | 27 | 64 |
| NCSU | 47 | 63 | 110 |
1st half: UNCG 37, NCSU 47 (NCSU by 10). The model had NCSU by 13.0 and a total of 73.0 (actual 84).
Team stats
| UNCG | NCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-47 32% | Field goals | 38-68 56% |
| 8-26 31% | 3-pointers | 16-32 50% |
| 26-41 63% | Free throws | 18-23 78% |
| 33 8 off | Rebounds | 43 9 off |
| 7 | Assists | 17 |
| 1 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 25 |
| 8 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 24 |
Players
| UNCG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Whitehead Jr. G | 30 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 6-14 | 4-10 |
| Lilian Marville G | 28 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Justin Neely F | 26 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| KJ Younger G | 18 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Domas Kauzonas F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Valentino Pinedo F | 21 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Antwann Jones G | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Clinton Efinda F | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Assane Mandian G | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Noah Norgaard G | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Landon King G | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Chane Bynum F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordan Brown, Braylen Bowman, Clyde Bailey II
| NCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul McNeil Jr. G | 32 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 8-16 | 6-13 |
| Darrion Williams F | 29 | 32 | 10 | 2 | 12-19 | 6-8 |
| Quadir Copeland G | 24 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 5-7 | 1-1 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin F | 18 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Tre Holloman G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alyn Breed G | 27 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Matt Able G | 25 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-5 |
| Musa Sagnia C | 18 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jerry Deng F | 16 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-5 |
| Scottie Ebube C | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Colt Langdon F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Snell G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zymicah Wilkins, Jayme Kontuniemi, Terrance Arceneaux
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNCSU -30.5
ModelNCSU -21.8
Model edgeUNCG +8.7
L NCSU covered
Total
Market153.5
Model155.8
Model edgeOver 2.3
W Over
Projected score
UNCG 67 · NCSU 88.8
UNCG 64 · NCSU 110
Win probability
NCSU 97%
1st half
Spread
NCSU -13.0
NCSU -10.0
Total
73.0
84 points
Projected score
UNCG 30 · NCSU 43
UNCG 37 · NCSU 47
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCSU -27.5
3 → NCSU
CloseNCSU -30.5
3 pts toward NCSU
Total
Open155.5
▼ 2
Close153.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UNCG +4000 · NCSU -100000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCSU -27.5 · closed NCSU -30.5 · moved 3 toward NCSUmodel NCSU -22
model NCSU -22
Opened 155.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 2 downmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCGlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 0-2 0% | 2-0 100% |
| NCSUlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNC Greensboro
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
0-2
0% covers · avg −8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +24 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
KSU
KSUL 64-93
−10.5
8
vs
ELON
ELONL 90-92
−6.5
covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@KSU
KSUL 64-93
+8.5
8
vsELON
ELONL 90-92
+39.5
over 2under 0avg +24 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC State
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +10.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +18 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
NCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+16.5
7
vs
UAB
UABW 94-70
+4.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 114-66
+34.5
7
vsUAB
UABW 94-70
+1.5
over 2under 0avg +18 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNC Greensboro
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Elon90–92
- L@ Kansas St64–93
4 days since their last game.
NC State
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UAB94–70
- Wvs NC Central114–66
5 days since their last game.