Charles E. Smith Center · at G Washington
Closing line
GW -17.5✓ GW covered by 22.5
GW -17.5✓ GW covered by 22.5Closing total151.5Over by 22.5
 AMER | This season | GW |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 2-0 |
| 2-0 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 2-0 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AMER 68–84 GW · ✓ GW (91%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMER | 32 | 35 | 67 |
| GW | 51 | 56 | 107 |
1st half: AMER 32, GW 51 (GW by 19). The model had GW by 9.3 and a total of 71.3 (actual 83).
Team stats
| AMER | GW | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-62 45% | Field goals | 33-59 56% |
| 7-28 25% | 3-pointers | 15-28 54% |
| 4-8 50% | Free throws | 26-33 79% |
| 21 5 off | Rebounds | 46 13 off |
| 13 | Assists | 21 |
| 6 | Steals | 12 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 22 | Fouls | 12 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| AMER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Jones F | 27 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 6-11 | 2-4 |
| Wyatt Nausadis G | 26 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Matt Mayock F | 26 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-4 |
| Geoff Sprouse G | 23 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Julen Iturbe F | 17 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kade Sebastian G | 20 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Madden Collins G | 19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-4 |
| Carson McDonald F | 18 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Dean Hogans G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Chris Eagan F | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Luke Brown F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kamran Prince, Shane O'Reilly, Eric Michaels, Adrian Samuels, Noah Jones, Gibraltar Coleman, Jack Anderson, Matthew Casey
| GW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bubu Benjamin G | 30 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Tyrone Marshall Jr. F | 24 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Christian Jones G | 23 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| Rafael Castro F | 22 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Trey Autry G | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tre Dinkins G | 25 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Jean Aranguren G | 25 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Garrett Johnson F | 19 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5-13 | 3-7 |
| Luke Hunger F | 18 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Mohamed Binzagr G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Amir Arrington G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Trey Moss, Jalen Rougier-Roane, Ty Bevins, Vincent Chaudhri
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGW -17.5
ModelGW -15.6
Model edgeAMER +1.9
L GW covered
Total
Market151.5
Model152.1
Model edgeOver 0.6
W Over
Projected score
AMER 68.3 · GW 83.9
AMER 67 · GW 107
Win probability
GW 91%
1st half
Spread
GW -9.3
GW -19.0
Total
71.3
83 points
Projected score
AMER 31 · GW 40.3
AMER 32 · GW 51
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGW -18.5
1 → AMER
CloseGW -17.5
1 pt toward AMER
Total
Open154.5
▼ 3
Close151.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
AMER +1300 · GW -4000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GW -18.5 · closed GW -17.5 · moved 1 toward AMERmodel GW -15.5
model GW -15.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 3 downmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMERlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% |
| GWlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
AMER 2–0 GWAMER leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · AMER has won the last 2 meetings · AMER 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2024-25 | GW 71 @ AMER 81 | AMER +4.5 | AMER W |
| Dec 10, 2022-23 | AMER 69 @ GW 64 | GW -5.5 | AMER W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
American
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +15 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+5.5
9
vs
PENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+22.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
over 2under 0avg +15 ptslonger = bigger margin
G Washington
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
ME
MEW 67-47
−0.5
8
vs
USF
USFW 99-95
+5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsME
MEW 67-47
−29.5
8
vsUSF
USFW 99-95
+34.5
over 1under 1avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
American
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Penn84–78
- L@ Wake Forest74–88
3 days since their last game.
G Washington
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs South Florida99–95
- Wvs Maine67–47
4 days since their last game.