James A. Rhodes Arena · at Akron · Conference game
Closing line
AKR -15.5✓ AKR covered by 5.5
Closing total155.5Over by 9.5
| This season | AKR | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | Record | 7-3 |
| 7-3 | ATS | 7-3 |
| 2-8 | O/U | 7-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: EMU 73–87 AKR · ✓ AKR (90%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMU | 34 | 38 | 72 |
| AKR | 48 | 45 | 93 |
1st half: EMU 34, AKR 48 (AKR by 14). The model had AKR by 8.6 and a total of 75.0 (actual 82).
Team stats
| EMU | AKR | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-64 39% | Field goals | 39-71 55% |
| 5-19 26% | 3-pointers | 3-18 17% |
| 17-26 65% | Free throws | 12-14 86% |
| 36 16 off | Rebounds | 44 14 off |
| 7 | Assists | 22 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 70 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 25 |
Players
| EMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hart G | 34 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 9-14 | 2-3 |
| Addison Patterson F | 29 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Mohammad Habhab F | 29 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 4-17 | 0-3 |
| Jon Sanders II G | 17 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Godslove Nwabude F | 17 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Rubio G | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Braelon Green G | 17 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Gregory Lawson II G | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Mehki Ellison G | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Mak Manciel G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| John Shanu II C | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Merritt Alderink F | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mbaye N'Diaye, Cooper Smith
| AKR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavari Johnson G | 28 | 25 | 1 | 5 | 11-15 | 0-1 |
| Sharron Young G | 27 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-3 |
| Amani Lyles F | 24 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 7-11 | 0-1 |
| Evan Mahaffey F | 21 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Zach Halligan F | 18 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eric Mahaffey G | 20 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Bowen Hardman G | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Shammah Scott G | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali F | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Ognjen Stankovic F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Rich Brisco F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Conner Groce G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chabi Barre, Cody Head, Tai Perkins, Josh Henderson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAKR -16.5
1 → EMU
CloseAKR -15.5
1 pt toward EMU
Total
Open160.5
▼ 5
Close155.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
EMU +900 · AKR -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AKR -16.5 · closed AKR -15.5 · moved 1 toward EMUmodel AKR -14.5
model AKR -14.5
Opened 160.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 5 downmodel 160.5
model 160.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AKR -15.5 | AKR -14.5 | EMU +1.0 | L AKR covered |
| Total | 155.5 | 160.3 | Over 4.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | EMU 72.9 · AKR 87.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AKR -8.6 | AKR -14.0 |
| 1H total | 75.0 | 82 |
| 1H projected score | EMU 33.2 · AKR 41.8 | EMU 34 · AKR 48 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% | |
| 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
EMU 1–6 AKRAKR leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · EMU 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | AKR 105 @ EMU 81 | EMU +7.5 | AKR W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | EMU 61 @ AKR 60 | AKR -21.5 | EMU W |
| Jan 30, 2023-24 | AKR 77 @ EMU 46 | EMU +10.5 | AKR W |
| Feb 14, 2022-23 | AKR 78 @ EMU 51 | EMU +9.5 | AKR W |
| Jan 13, 2022-23 | EMU 67 @ AKR 104 | AKR -13.5 | AKR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
E Michigan
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
7-3
70% covers · avg +4.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-8
20% overs · avg −10.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 71-49 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 10 | @ | L 66-78 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs | L 83-90 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 186.5 | U 173 |
| Nov 18 | @ | W 72-62 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 97-91 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 24 | @ | L 46-87 | +33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | @ | W 64-56 | +22.5 | W +30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 73-55 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 2 | @ | L 68-84 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 65-80 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
GAST
W 71-49
+18.5
10
@
PITT
L 66-78
+3.5
14
vs
IUIN
L 83-90
−11.5
18
@
DETM
W 72-62
+11.5
21
vs
OAK
W 97-91
+7.5
24
@
LOU
L 46-87
−7.5
26
@
CIN
W 64-56
+30.5
28
vs
NJIT
W 73-55
+3.5
2
@
BTLR
L 68-84
+1.5
10
@
PFW
L 65-80
−11.5
covered 7didn’t cover 3avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
GAST
W 71-49
−29.5
10
@
PITT
L 66-78
+2.5
14
vs
IUIN
L 83-90
−13.5
18
@
DETM
W 72-62
−23.5
21
vs
OAK
W 97-91
+34.5
24
@
LOU
L 46-87
−29.5
26
@
CIN
W 64-56
−26.5
28
vs
NJIT
W 73-55
−13.5
2
@
BTLR
L 68-84
−1.5
10
@
PFW
L 65-80
−2.5
over 2under 8avg −10.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Akron
10 games played
Straight up
7-3
70% wins
Against the spread
7-3
70% covers · avg +5.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-3
70% overs · avg +14.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 85-71 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 104-69 | -13.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 16 | @ | L 79-97 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 96-75 | -11.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 97-59 | -11.5 | W +26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 94-97 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 105-81 | -12.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 97-77 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 88-71 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 100-115 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
JMU
W 85-71
+5.5
8
vs
PRIN
W 104-69
+21.5
16
@
PUR
L 79-97
+0.5
21
vs
IONA
W 96-75
+9.5
23
vs
EVAN
W 97-59
+26.5
24
vs
YALE
L 94-97
−4.5
29
vs
MILW
W 105-81
+11.5
3
vs
BUCK
W 97-77
−3.5
6
@
TULN
W 88-71
+10.5
13
vs
MUR
L 100-115
−19.5
covered 7didn’t cover 3avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
JMU
W 85-71
+2.5
8
vs
PRIN
W 104-69
+16.5
16
@
PUR
L 79-97
+12.5
21
vs
IONA
W 96-75
−2.5
23
vs
EVAN
W 97-59
−0.5
24
vs
YALE
L 94-97
+34.5
29
vs
MILW
W 105-81
+19.5
3
vs
BUCK
W 97-77
+16.5
6
@
TULN
W 88-71
−3.5
13
vs
MUR
L 100-115
+46.5
over 7under 3avg +14.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
E Michigan
5-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Purdue FW65–80
- L@ Butler68–84
- Wvs NJIT73–55
- W@ Cincinnati64–56
- L@ Louisville46–87
A week or more of rest.
Akron
7-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Murray St100–115
- W@ Tulane88–71
- Wvs Bucknell97–77
- Wvs Milwaukee105–81
- Lvs Yale94–97
6 days since their last game.