University Arena (MI) · at W Michigan
Closing line
WMU -1.5✓ WMU covered by 21.5
WMU -1.5✓ WMU covered by 21.5Closing total150.5Under by 7.5
 MSM | This season | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | Record | 2-3 |
| 4-1 | ATS | 3-2 |
| 1-4 | O/U | 2-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MSM 73–77 WMU · ✓ WMU (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSM | 34 | 26 | 60 |
| WMU | 38 | 45 | 83 |
1st half: MSM 34, WMU 38 (WMU by 4). The model had WMU by 1.8 and a total of 70.2 (actual 72).
Team stats
| MSM | WMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-52 40% | Field goals | 31-64 48% |
| 9-26 35% | 3-pointers | 9-25 36% |
| 9-11 82% | Free throws | 12-14 86% |
| 32 7 off | Rebounds | 34 8 off |
| 15 | Assists | 14 |
| 1 | Steals | 10 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| MSM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb G | 36 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Mason So G | 31 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Luke McEldon F | 28 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Anastasios Rozakeas G | 23 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Justin Amadi F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Arlandus Keyes G | 26 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 5-11 | 5-10 |
| Trey Deveaux F | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3-11 | 1-4 |
| Patrick Haigh G | 10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Elijah Espinosa F | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Yakhya Diop F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Noah Rogers G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| John Miller IV G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Abdou Khadre Kebe, Jaxon Hartman, Justin May, Anthony Arrington Jr.
| WMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Griffith G | 37 | 30 | 1 | 3 | 10-14 | 5-6 |
| EJ Ryans G | 30 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-11 | 0-6 |
| Brady Swartz G | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 6-10 | 2-4 |
| Max Burton F | 27 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Brewer G | 12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carson Vis G | 24 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Hudson Ward F | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Declan Peterson C | 12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Trey Lewis G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Sharod Barnes G | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Nicholas Errica G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Junior Sileu F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Michael Sulaka F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Camden Thompson, Justice Williams
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWMU -1.5
no move
CloseWMU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open151.5
▼ 1
Close150.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MSM +100 · WMU -120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WMU -1.5 · unchangedmodel WMU -3
model WMU -3
Opened 151.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 1 downmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WMU -1.5 | WMU -3.2 | WMU +1.7 | W WMU covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 149.8 | Under 0.8 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | MSM 73.3 · WMU 76.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WMU -1.8 | WMU -4.0 |
| 1H total | 70.2 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | MSM 34.2 · WMU 36 | MSM 34 · WMU 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSMlast 5 | 1-4 20% | 4-1 80% | 1-4 20% |
| WMUlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mount St Marys
5 games played
Straight up
1-4
20% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-4
20% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
WVU
WVUL 54-70
+3.5
7
vs
BUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−12.5
11
@
SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
+1.5
16
@
CIN
CINL 55-72
+8.5
19
@
MD
MDL 90-95
+12.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
−12.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−8.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
−9.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
−18.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+39.5
over 1under 4avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
W Michigan
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
CCU
CCUW 76-71
+2.5
9
@
CAM
CAML 82-91
+0.5
12
vs
PFW
PFWW 83-71
+15.5
16
@
SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−1.5
20
@
OSU
OSUL 58-91
−6.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+0.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+20.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
−7.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−11.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−10.5
over 2under 3avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mount St Marys
1-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Maryland90–95
- L@ Cincinnati55–72
- W@ Saint Francis Red Wolves74–66
- Lvs Bucknell62–73
- L@ West Virginia54–70
4 days since their last game.
W Michigan
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Ohio State58–91
- L@ South Dakota78–83
- Wvs Purdue FW83–71
- L@ Campbell82–91
- Wvs Coastal76–71
3 days since their last game.