CEFCU Arena · at Illinois St
Closing line
ILST -12.5✓ ILST covered by 39.5
ILST -12.5✓ ILST covered by 39.5Closing total146.5Under by 10.5
 CCU | This season | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 2-2 |
| 4-1 | ATS | 1-3 |
| 3-2 | O/U | 1-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CCU 67–76 ILST · ✓ ILST (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCU | 20 | 22 | 42 |
| ILST | 55 | 39 | 94 |
1st half: CCU 20, ILST 55 (ILST by 35). The model had ILST by 4.8 and a total of 67.0 (actual 75).
Team stats
| CCU | ILST | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-66 27% | Field goals | 32-66 48% |
| 3-27 11% | 3-pointers | 13-29 45% |
| 3-5 60% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 34 6 off | Rebounds | 48 6 off |
| 4 | Assists | 19 |
| 2 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| CCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Jones G | 32 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-10 | 0-4 |
| AJ Dancler G | 31 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3-15 | 0-3 |
| Joshua Beadle G | 24 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5-16 | 1-5 |
| Reggie Hill F | 16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Nadjrick Peat F | 12 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tristan Thompson G | 25 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| DaJohn Craig G | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Jerry Ngopot F | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-5 |
| Braeden MacVicar F | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Derrick Green F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jackson Keil G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Charles Dunlap, Devin Brown, Connor Martin, Andre Mulibea
| ILST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boden Skunberg G | 24 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman G | 23 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 6-10 | 4-5 |
| Johnny Kinziger G | 21 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Chase Walker F | 19 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Ty Pence G | 16 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 6-7 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Daugherty F | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Brandon Lieb F | 19 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Mason Klabo G | 17 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Cameron Barnes F | 15 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Landon Wolf G | 15 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Landon Moore G | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Ty Blake G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaac Ericksen, Nick Allen
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketILST -12.5
ModelILST -8.3
Model edgeCCU +4.2
L ILST covered
Total
Market146.5
Model143.1
Model edgeUnder 3.4
W Under
Projected score
CCU 67.4 · ILST 75.7
CCU 42 · ILST 94
Win probability
ILST 77%
1st half
Spread
ILST -4.8
ILST -35.0
Total
67.0
75 points
Projected score
CCU 31.1 · ILST 35.9
CCU 20 · ILST 55
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenILST -9.5
3 → ILST
CloseILST -12.5
3 pts toward ILST
Total
Open142.5
▲ 4
Close146.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
CCU +600 · ILST -1000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ILST -9.5 · closed ILST -12.5 · moved 3 toward ILSTmodel ILST -8.5
model ILST -8.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 4 upmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCUlast 5 | 3-2 60% | 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% |
| ILSTlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% | 1-3 25% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Coastal
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +7.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg −6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
WMU
WMUL 71-76
−2.5
11
vs
WIN
WINW 72-66
+8.5
14
@
JXST
JXSTL 67-74
+0.5
21
@
WIU
WIUW 84-64
+16.5
22
vs
UND
UNDW 75-58
+13.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WMU
WMUL 71-76
+0.5
11
vsWIN
WINW 72-66
−27.5
14
@JXST
JXSTL 67-74
+1.5
21
@WIU
WIUW 84-64
+9.5
22
vsUND
UNDW 75-58
−14.5
over 3under 2avg −6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Illinois St
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −6.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−2.5
9
vs
COR
CORW 76-65
+4.5
14
vs
USC
USCL 67-87
−4.5
16
@
LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
−6.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−21.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
−23.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−1.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
+20.5
over 1under 3avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Coastal
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs North Dakota75–58
- W@ W Illinois84–64
- L@ Jax State67–74
- Wvs Winthrop72–66
- L@ W Michigan71–76
1 day since their last game.
Illinois St
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Long Beach St82–80
- Lvs USC67–87
- Wvs Cornell76–65
- L@ Ohio68–72
A week or more of rest.