Jeffery P. Hazell Athletics Center · at New Haven · Conference game
Closing line
CCSU -3.5✓ CCSU covered by 1.5
CCSU -3.5✓ CCSU covered by 1.5Closing total128.5Over by 28.5
| CCSU | This season | NHVN |
|---|---|---|
| 11-10 | Record | 7-14 |
| 12-9 | ATS | 11-10 |
| 13-8 | O/U | 6-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CCSU 66–65 NHVN · ✓ CCSU (51%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCSU | 41 | 40 | 81 |
| NHVN | 33 | 43 | 76 |
1st half: CCSU 41, NHVN 33 (CCSU by 8). The model had CCSU by 0.4 and a total of 61.5 (actual 74).
Team stats
| CCSU | NHVN | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-49 57% | Field goals | 25-55 45% |
| 9-16 56% | 3-pointers | 5-17 29% |
| 16-22 73% | Free throws | 21-22 95% |
| 28 5 off | Rebounds | 29 8 off |
| 8 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| CCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melo Sanchez G | 34 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Darin Smith Jr. G | 33 | 40 | 4 | 0 | 13-20 | 3-5 |
| Max Frazier F | 31 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Jay Rodgers G | 31 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Daniel James F | 22 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roddy Jones G | 22 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| Elijah Parker G | 19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Mott F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ashton Reynolds G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gabe Spinelli, Nico Ashley, Ja'Kobe Williams, Rashawn Tibby, Adam Fox, James Jones, Corsley Edwards Jr.
| NHVN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Pasha F | 36 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 6-18 | 0-3 |
| Najimi George G | 34 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Jabri Fitzpatrick G | 32 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 6-8 | 2-3 |
| Kheni Briggs G | 20 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Stefano Faloppa F | 17 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zoumana Traore F | 24 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Maison Adeleye G | 21 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Aidan Losiewicz G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Kyle Kearson G | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Teshaun Steele F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Owen Hotaling, Matiss Ogle, Tristan Burth, John Oladipo, Timothy Coleman, Nathan Narcisse, Vere Anthony, Dior Kennedy, Justice Hanna, Dominick LaDuca, Jagger Bascombe
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCCSU -3.5
ModelCCSU -0.4
Model edgeNHVN +3.1
L CCSU covered
Total
Market128.5
Model131.1
Model edgeOver 2.6
W Over
Projected score
CCSU 65.7 · NHVN 65.3
CCSU 81 · NHVN 76
Win probability
CCSU 51%
1st half
Spread
CCSU -0.4
CCSU -8.0
Total
61.5
74 points
Projected score
CCSU 30.9 · NHVN 30.5
CCSU 41 · NHVN 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCCSU -1.5
2 → CCSU
CloseCCSU -3.5
2 pts toward CCSU
Total
Open129.5
▼ 1
Close128.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
CCSU -162 · NHVN +136
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CCSU -1.5 · closed CCSU -3.5 · moved 2 toward CCSUmodel CCSU -0.5
model CCSU -0.5
Opened 129.5 · closed 128.5 · moved 1 downmodel 131
model 131
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCSU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| NHVN | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CCSU 1–0 NHVNCCSU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · CCSU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025-26 | NHVN 61 @ CCSU 72 | CCSU -7.5 | CCSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Connecticut
21 games played
Straight up
11-10
52% wins
Against the spread
12-9
57% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-8
62% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ QUIN | L 49-71 | +9.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 11 | @ BC | W 60-59 | +17.5 | W +18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 16 | @ MASS | L 77-84 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | @ RUTG | W 67-54 | +15.5 | W +28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs SHU | W 108-106 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 214 |
| Dec 3 | @ HALL | L 61-77 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 7 | @ NE | L 56-73 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 13 | @ BING | W 84-67 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 18 | vs FAIR | L 70-84 | -6.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 2 | @ LIU | L 78-84 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 4 | vsNHVN | W 72-61 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 8 | vs STO | W 76-69 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 10 | @ LEM | W 69-59 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 17 | @ SFPA | W 98-90 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 19 | @ MERC | L 61-79 | +1.5 | L −16.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 23 | vs FDU | L 66-76 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 26 | @STO | L 59-61 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | @ WAG | W 62-55 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 31 | vsLIU | L 59-80 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 5 | vs CHST | W 78-67 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 7 | vsWAG | W 84-67 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−12.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
+18.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+5.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
+28.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
−1.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+2.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−15.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+9.5
18
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-84
−20.5
2
@LIU
LIUL 78-84
+0.5
4
vsNHVN
NHVNW 72-61
+3.5
8
vsSTO
STOW 76-69
−0.5
10
@LEM
LEMW 69-59
+11.5
17
@SFPA
SFPAW 98-90
+1.5
19
@MERC
MERCL 61-79
−16.5
23
vsFDU
FDUL 66-76
−17.5
26
@STO
STOL 59-61
−3.5
29
@WAG
WAGW 62-55
+4.5
31
vsLIU
LIUL 59-80
−18.5
5
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-67
+2.5
7
vsWAG
WAGW 84-67
+11.5
covered 12didn’t cover 9avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−30.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
−17.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+16.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
−16.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
+70.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+9.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−9.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+17.5
18
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-84
+10.5
2
@LIU
LIUL 78-84
+15.5
4
vsNHVN
NHVNW 72-61
+2.5
8
vsSTO
STOW 76-69
+10.5
10
@LEM
LEMW 69-59
−18.5
17
@SFPA
SFPAW 98-90
+43.5
19
@MERC
MERCL 61-79
+7.5
23
vsFDU
FDUL 66-76
+1.5
26
@STO
STOL 59-61
−15.5
29
@WAG
WAGW 62-55
−19.5
31
vsLIU
LIUL 59-80
−3.5
5
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-67
+6.5
7
vsWAG
WAGW 84-67
+14.5
over 13under 8avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
New Haven
21 games played
Straight up
7-14
33% wins
Against the spread
11-10
52% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-15
29% overs · avg −5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CONN | L 55-79 | +42.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 7 | vs COLU | L 53-71 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 8 | vs PSU | L 43-87 | +18.5 | L −25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 10 | @ UML | W 73-67 | +10.5 | W +16.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 15 | vs DSU | W 65-52 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 130.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 18 | @HALL | L 45-68 | +25.5 | W +2.5 | 129.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 6 | @BC | L 63-67 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 126.5 | O 130 |
| Dec 10 | @ NJIT | L 64-70 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | O 134 |
| Dec 22 | @ FOR | L 47-65 | +13.5 | L −4.5 | 127.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 29 | @ VAN | L 53-96 | +39.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 2 | @STO | W 70-55 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 4 | @CCSU | L 61-72 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 8 | @LEM | L 47-73 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 137.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 10 | vsFDU | W 65-55 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 130.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 17 | vsWAG | W 80-74 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 129.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 19 | @CHST | W 62-56 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 129.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 23 | vsMERC | L 57-61 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 122.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 29 | @MERC | L 51-70 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 122.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 31 | @SFPA | W 81-69 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 131.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 5 | @LIU | L 55-60 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 7 | vsCHST | L 57-63 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 127.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CONN
CONNL 55-79
+18.5
7
vsCOLU
COLUL 53-71
−10.5
8
vsPSU
PSUL 43-87
−25.5
10
@UML
UMLW 73-67
+16.5
15
vsDSU
DSUW 65-52
+11.5
18
@HALL
HALLL 45-68
+2.5
6
@BC
BCL 63-67
+13.5
10
@NJIT
NJITL 64-70
−8.5
22
@FOR
FORL 47-65
−4.5
29
@VAN
VANL 53-96
−3.5
2
@STO
STOW 70-55
+16.5
4
@CCSU
CCSUL 61-72
−3.5
8
@LEM
LEML 47-73
−20.5
10
vsFDU
FDUW 65-55
+8.5
17
vsWAG
WAGW 80-74
+4.5
19
@CHST
CHSTW 62-56
+7.5
23
vsMERC
MERCL 57-61
−2.5
29
@MERC
MERCL 51-70
−13.5
31
@SFPA
SFPAW 81-69
+13.5
5
@LIU
LIUL 55-60
+4.5
7
vsCHST
CHSTL 57-63
−11.5
covered 11didn’t cover 10avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CONN
CONNL 55-79
−11.5
7
vsCOLU
COLUL 53-71
−24.5
8
vsPSU
PSUL 43-87
−13.5
10
@UML
UMLW 73-67
−2.5
15
vsDSU
DSUW 65-52
−13.5
18
@HALL
HALLL 45-68
−16.5
6
@BC
BCL 63-67
+3.5
10
@NJIT
NJITL 64-70
+3.5
22
@FOR
FORL 47-65
−15.5
29
@VAN
VANL 53-96
+3.5
2
@STO
STOW 70-55
−3.5
4
@CCSU
CCSUL 61-72
+2.5
8
@LEM
LEML 47-73
−17.5
10
vsFDU
FDUW 65-55
−10.5
17
vsWAG
WAGW 80-74
+24.5
19
@CHST
CHSTW 62-56
−11.5
23
vsMERC
MERCL 57-61
−4.5
29
@MERC
MERCL 51-70
−1.5
31
@SFPA
SFPAW 81-69
+18.5
5
@LIU
LIUL 55-60
−20.5
7
vsCHST
CHSTL 57-63
−7.5
over 6under 15avg −5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Connecticut
11-10 overall · 7-5 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wagner84–67
- Wvs Chicago St78–67
- Lvs Long Island59–80
- W@ Wagner62–55
- L@ Stonehill59–61
5 days since their last game.
New Haven
7-14 overall · 5-6 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Chicago St57–63
- L@ Long Island55–60
- W@ Saint Francis Red Wolves81–69
- L@ Mercyhurst51–70
- Lvs Mercyhurst57–61
5 days since their last game.