Conte Forum · at Boston College
Closing line
BC -17.5✓ CCSU covered by 18.5
BC -17.5✓ CCSU covered by 18.5Closing total136.5Under by 17.5
 CCSU | This season | BC |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-1 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CCSU 61–79 BC · ✗ BC (95%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCSU | 26 | 34 | 60 |
| BC | 30 | 29 | 59 |
1st half: CCSU 26, BC 30 (BC by 4). The model had BC by 11.0 and a total of 65.8 (actual 56).
Team stats
| CCSU | BC | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-60 38% | Field goals | 22-67 33% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 7-34 21% |
| 6-10 60% | Free throws | 8-9 89% |
| 41 12 off | Rebounds | 40 15 off |
| 12 | Assists | 12 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 5 | Blocks | 6 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| CCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darin Smith Jr. G | 32 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 6-13 | 1-5 |
| Jay Rodgers G | 29 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| James Jones G | 28 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Max Frazier F | 25 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Ja'Kobe Williams G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Melo Sanchez G | 23 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 5-9 | 5-8 |
| Gabe Spinelli G | 18 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Elijah Parker G | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Mott F | 12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Nico Ashley F | 9 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Daniel James F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Corsley Edwards Jr., Ashton Reynolds, Rashawn Tibby, Roddy Jones, Adam Fox
| BC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Payne G | 36 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 6-14 | 3-8 |
| Aidan Shaw F | 36 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Donald Hand Jr. G | 33 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5-19 | 1-12 |
| Chase Forte G | 29 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3-12 | 1-6 |
| Jayden Hastings F | 22 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Boden Kapke F | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Luka Toews G | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Marko Radunovic F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Caleb Steger G | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Kany Musungay F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jason Asemota F | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Will Eggemeier, Nick Petronio, Akbar Waheed III, Jack DiDonna, Jack Bailey
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBC -17.5
ModelBC -18.3
Model edgeBC +0.8
L CCSU covered
Total
Market136.5
Model140.5
Model edgeOver 4.0
L Under
Projected score
CCSU 61.1 · BC 79.4
CCSU 60 · BC 59
Win probability
BC 95%
1st half
Spread
BC -11.0
BC -4.0
Total
65.8
56 points
Projected score
CCSU 27.4 · BC 38.4
CCSU 26 · BC 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBC -21.5
4 → CCSU
CloseBC -17.5
4 pts toward CCSU
Total
Open144.5
▼ 8
Close136.5
Down 8 since the open
Moneyline
CCSU +1300 · BC -4000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BC -21.5 · closed BC -17.5 · moved 4 toward CCSUmodel BC -18.5
model BC -18.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 8 downmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCSUlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% |
| BClast 2 | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CCSU 0–1 BCBC leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · CCSU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2023-24 | CCSU 68 @ BC 82 | BC -16.5 | CCSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Connecticut
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −12.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −30.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ QUIN | L 49-71 | +9.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−12.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −12.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−30.5
over 0under 1avg −30.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Boston College
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
FAU
FAUL 78-83
−3.5
6
vs
CIT
CITW 76-47
+13.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
+12.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
−21.5
over 1under 1avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Connecticut
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Quinnipiac49–71
5 days since their last game.
Boston College
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs The Citadel76–47
- L@ FAU78–83
5 days since their last game.