DeGol Arena · at Saint Francis Red Wolves
Closing line
MSM -6.5✓ MSM covered by 1.5
MSM -6.5✓ MSM covered by 1.5Closing total149.5Under by 9.5
| MSM | This season | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 0-2 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 0-2 |
| 0-2 | O/U | 2-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MSM 76–70 SFPA · ✓ MSM (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSM | 43 | 31 | 74 |
| SFPA | 34 | 32 | 66 |
1st half: MSM 43, SFPA 34 (MSM by 9). The model had MSM by 3.9 and a total of 68.7 (actual 77).
Team stats
| MSM | SFPA | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-52 52% | Field goals | 23-65 35% |
| 13-30 43% | 3-pointers | 7-27 26% |
| 7-18 39% | Free throws | 13-18 72% |
| 33 7 off | Rebounds | 39 16 off |
| 21 | Assists | 13 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| MSM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb G | 32 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2-7 | 1-6 |
| Trey Deveaux F | 30 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 6-9 | 2-4 |
| Justin Amadi F | 29 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Mason So G | 27 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Luke McEldon F | 24 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Arlandus Keyes G | 24 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4-10 | 3-7 |
| Patrick Haigh G | 23 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5-8 | 5-8 |
| Elijah Espinosa F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Yakhya Diop F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noah Rogers, Justin May, John Miller IV, Anthony Arrington Jr., Abdou Khadre Kebe, Jaxon Hartman, Anastasios Rozakeas
| SFPA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Wicks G | 37 | 15 | 13 | 3 | 4-16 | 2-8 |
| Zion Russell G | 36 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 8-23 | 3-10 |
| Ahmad Harrison G | 18 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Tweedy F | 16 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Ralph Martino Jr. G | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Victor Payne Jr. G | 25 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Gestin Liberis F | 24 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Brandon Russell G | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| KJ Swain Jr. G | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Trey Weiand G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brandon Rabish, Kofi Asare, Kam Wylie, Melvin Weaver III, Paris Papadatos, Chris Moncrief, Carson Rhodes, Ryen Gresko
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMSM -6.5
ModelMSM -6.1
Model edgeSFPA +0.4
L MSM covered
Total
Market149.5
Model146.6
Model edgeUnder 2.9
W Under
Projected score
MSM 76.4 · SFPA 70.3
MSM 74 · SFPA 66
Win probability
MSM 70%
1st half
Spread
MSM -3.9
MSM -9.0
Total
68.7
77 points
Projected score
MSM 36.3 · SFPA 32.4
MSM 43 · SFPA 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSM -4.5
2 → MSM
CloseMSM -6.5
2 pts toward MSM
Total
Open148.5
▲ 1
Close149.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MSM -280 · SFPA +230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSM -4.5 · closed MSM -6.5 · moved 2 toward MSMmodel MSM -6
model MSM -6
Opened 148.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 1 upmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSMlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% | 0-2 0% |
| SFPAlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 0-2 0% | 2-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MSM 4–0 SFPAMSM leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · MSM has won the last 4 meetings · MSM 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024-25 | SFPA 58 @ MSM 66 | MSM -7.5 | MSM W |
| Dec 15, 2023-24 | MSM 72 @ SFPA 65 | SFPA +6.5 | MSM W |
| Feb 12, 2021-22 | MSM 54 @ SFPA 52 | SFPA +3.5 | SFPA W |
| Jan 29, 2021-22 | SFPA 54 @ MSM 71 | MSM -6 | MSM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mount St Marys
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −10.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
WVU
WVUL 54-70
+3.5
7
vs
BUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−12.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
−12.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−8.5
over 0under 2avg −10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Francis Red Wolves
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
0-2
0% covers · avg −9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +16 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
OU
OUL 66-102
−4.5
6
@
TCU
TCUL 63-104
−13.5
covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@OU
OUL 66-102
+18.5
6
@TCU
TCUL 63-104
+13.5
over 2under 0avg +16 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mount St Marys
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Bucknell62–73
- L@ West Virginia54–70
4 days since their last game.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ TCU63–104
- L@ Oklahoma66–102
5 days since their last game.