Great Southern Bank Arena · at Missouri St
Closing line
MOST -4.5✓ LIU covered by 18.5
MOST -4.5✓ LIU covered by 18.5Closing total145.5Under by 9.5
 LIU | This season | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | Record | 1-2 |
| 2-4 | ATS | 1-2 |
| 3-3 | O/U | 1-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIU 68–74 MOST · ✗ MOST (69%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIU | 35 | 40 | 75 |
| MOST | 40 | 21 | 61 |
1st half: LIU 35, MOST 40 (MOST by 5). The model had MOST by 3.2 and a total of 66.5 (actual 75).
Team stats
| LIU | MOST | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-48 60% | Field goals | 22-55 40% |
| 6-15 40% | 3-pointers | 3-22 14% |
| 11-18 61% | Free throws | 14-27 52% |
| 33 9 off | Rebounds | 27 13 off |
| 10 | Assists | 7 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 6 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| LIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Gordon G | 37 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Jomo Goings G | 32 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Jamal Fuller G | 32 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 6-11 | 2-3 |
| Malachi Davis G | 26 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 6-9 | 2-4 |
| Shadrak Lasu F | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tre'shawn Sheppard G | 25 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Mason Porter-Brown F | 21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| A.J. Neal Jr. G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Faheim Meran G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Isaiah Miranda, Max Ndlovu-Fraser, Xinyi Li, Gavin Pendergast, Eddie Munyak, Caleb Johnson
| MOST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaxton King G | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 6-13 | 0-4 |
| Kobi Williams G | 36 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Keith Palek III F | 34 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 5-13 | 1-5 |
| Trey Williams Jr. G | 31 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu F | 31 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Darrion Sutton F | 15 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Tyrique Brooks G | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Cameron Boone F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Antwan Burnett, Ryder Cheesman, Melakih Cunningham, Collin Clark, Amar Kuljuhovic, Logan Epes
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMOST -4.5
ModelMOST -5.6
Model edgeMOST +1.1
L LIU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model141.9
Model edgeUnder 3.6
W Under
Projected score
LIU 68.1 · MOST 73.7
LIU 75 · MOST 61
Win probability
MOST 69%
1st half
Spread
MOST -3.2
MOST -5.0
Total
66.5
75 points
Projected score
LIU 31.6 · MOST 34.9
LIU 35 · MOST 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMOST -4.5
no move
CloseMOST -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
▲ 2
Close145.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
LIU +180 · MOST -198
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MOST -4.5 · unchangedmodel MOST -5.5
model MOST -5.5
Opened 143.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 2 upmodel 142
model 142
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIUlast 6 | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% | 3-3 50% |
| MOSTlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Long Island
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
ND
NDL 67-89
−6.5
6
@
IUIN
IUINW 94-90
+8.5
11
@
AF
AFW 76-72
−1.5
15
vs
JMU
JMUW 88-79
+5.5
20
@
FOR
FORL 53-69
−11.5
22
@
ILL
ILLL 58-98
−5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ND
NDL 67-89
+20.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 94-90
−1.5
11
@AF
AFW 76-72
+10.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 88-79
+19.5
20
@FOR
FORL 53-69
−23.5
22
@ILL
ILLL 58-98
−4.5
over 3under 3avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri St
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vs
ARST
ARSTL 85-86
−2.5
15
@
UTA
UTAL 49-67
−14.5
22
vs
RGV
RGVW 74-67
+3.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
+18.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−27.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
−8.5
over 1under 2avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Long Island
3-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Illinois58–98
- L@ Fordham53–69
- Wvs James Madison88–79
- W@ Air Force76–72
- W@ IU Indy94–90
2 days since their last game.
Missouri St
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UT Rio Grande74–67
- L@ UT Arlington49–67
- Lvs Arkansas St85–86
2 days since their last game.