MGM Grand Garden Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
GONZ -4.5✓ GONZ covered by 5.5
GONZ -4.5✓ GONZ covered by 5.5Closing total178.5Over by 1.5
| GONZ | This season | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| 5-0 | Record | 3-1 |
| 4-1 | ATS | 2-2 |
| 1-4 | O/U | 1-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GONZ 85–87 ALA · ✗ ALA (54%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GONZ | 45 | 50 | 95 |
| ALA | 42 | 43 | 85 |
1st half: GONZ 45, ALA 42 (GONZ by 3). The model had ALA by 0.6 and a total of 80.4 (actual 87).
Team stats
| GONZ | ALA | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-72 49% | Field goals | 31-67 46% |
| 6-22 27% | 3-pointers | 9-29 31% |
| 19-26 73% | Free throws | 14-23 61% |
| 48 20 off | Rebounds | 36 13 off |
| 13 | Assists | 13 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 20 | Fouls | 20 |
| 52 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| GONZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Ike F | 33 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 8-19 | 0-1 |
| Mario Saint-Supery G | 32 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Tyon Grant-Foster G | 30 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 9-16 | 1-4 |
| Braden Huff F | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 9-12 | 0-1 |
| Adam Miller G | 15 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Steele Venters G | 23 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-9 | 4-8 |
| Jalen Warley G | 20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Innocenti G | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Braeden Smith G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Davis Fogle G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Parker Jefferson, Alonzo Metz, Noah Haaland, Ismaila Diagne, Cade Orness, Joaquim ArauzMoore
| ALA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labaron Philon Jr. G | 37 | 29 | 0 | 7 | 11-18 | 3-6 |
| Aiden Sherrell F | 30 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Aden Holloway G | 28 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4-15 | 2-10 |
| Houston Mallette G | 26 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Taylor Bol Bowen F | 14 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Amari Allen G | 30 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Keitenn Bristow F | 19 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| London Jemison F | 8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Davion Hannah G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Noah Williamson C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jacob Martin, Klark James, Collins Onyejiaka, Jack Fagan, Jalil Bethea, Latrell Wrightsell Jr., Preston Murphy Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGONZ -4.5
ModelALA -1.3
Model edgeALA +5.8
L GONZ covered
Total
Market178.5
Model171.7
Model edgeUnder 6.8
L Over
Projected score
GONZ 85.2 · ALA 86.5
GONZ 95 · ALA 85
Win probability
ALA 54%
1st half
Spread
ALA -0.6
GONZ -3.0
Total
80.4
87 points
Projected score
GONZ 39.9 · ALA 40.5
GONZ 45 · ALA 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGONZ -4.5
no move
CloseGONZ -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open173.5
▲ 5
Close178.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
GONZ -215 · ALA +182
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GONZ -4.5 · unchangedmodel ALA -1.5
model ALA -1.5
Opened 173.5 · closed 178.5 · moved 5 upmodel 171.5
model 171.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GONZlast 5 | 5-0 100% | 4-1 80% | 1-4 20% |
| ALAlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
GONZ 1–1 ALASeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · GONZ 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022-23 | GONZ 100 vs ALA 90 | ALA -1.5 | GONZ W |
| Dec 4, 2021-22 | ALA 91 vs GONZ 82 | GONZ -9.5 | ALA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Gonzaga
5 games played
Straight up
5-0
100% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +15.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-4
20% overs · avg −9.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
TXSO
TXSOW 98-43
+25.5
8
vs
OU
OUW 83-68
+4.5
11
vs
CREI
CREIW 90-63
+14.5
14
@
ASU
ASUW 77-65
−1.5
17
vs
SUU
SUUW 122-50
+36.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +15.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTXSO
TXSOW 98-43
−16.5
8
vsOU
OUW 83-68
−15.5
11
vsCREI
CREIW 90-63
−11.5
14
@ASU
ASUW 77-65
−16.5
17
vsSUU
SUUW 122-50
+11.5
over 1under 4avg −9.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alabama
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UND
UNDW 91-62
−7.5
8
@
SJU
SJUW 103-96
+11.5
13
vs
PUR
PURL 80-87
−10.5
19
vs
ILL
ILLW 90-86
+6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−17.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+26.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−5.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
−4.5
over 1under 3avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Gonzaga
5-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Southern Utah122–50
- W@ Arizona St77–65
- Wvs Creighton90–63
- Wvs Oklahoma83–68
- Wvs Texas Southern98–43
A week or more of rest.
Alabama
3-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Illinois90–86
- Lvs Purdue80–87
- W@ St John's103–96
- Wvs North Dakota91–62
5 days since their last game.